Steve Paikin - Bill Davis: Nation Builder, and not so Bland After All

Copyright Steve Paikin, 2016

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Editor: Michael Carroll

Interior and cover design: Laura Boyle

Epub Design: Carmen Giraudy

Cover image: Archives of Ontario/ C221-0-0-30/ Premier of Ontario, Bill Davis ca. 1960/ Copyright Transferred to Archives of Ontario.

Library and Archives Canada Cataloguing in Publication

Paikin, Steve, 1960-, author

Bill Davis : nation builder, and not so bland after all / Steve Paikin.

Includes index.

Issued in print and electronic formats.

ISBN 978-1-4597-3175-2 (hardback).--ISBN 978-1-4597-3176-9 (pdf).--ISBN 978-1-4597-3177-6 (epub)

1. Davis, William G., 1929-. 2. Ontario--Politics and government--1943-1985. 3. Premiers (Canada)-

Ontario--Biography. 4. Ontario. Legislative Assembly--Biography. 5. Legislators--Ontario--Directories.

I. Title.

FC3076.1.D38P35 2016 971.304092 C2016-904001-1 C2016-904002-X

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Election night June 12, 2014 was one of the most anticipated in Ontario political history. Because the public opinion surveys were all over the map, none of the so-called experts could predict with any certainty what was about to transpire. Millions of Ontarians would turn on their television sets that night with no clue as to who was going to win.

I got a taste of that uncertainty just a few days earlier. After taping an episode of The Agenda on TVO with the provincial finance minister and his opposition critics, and when the cameras were no longer rolling, I asked all of them what they thought would happen on election night. Michael Prue, who was running for re-election for the New Democratic Party in BeachesEast York, forecast another minority government for the Liberals. But Vic Fedeli, a rookie member for the Progressive Conservatives from Nipissing, was feeling so bullish about things that he saw a majority government for his PCs. The finance minister himself, Charles Sousa, whose rejected budget was the cause of the election in the first place, looked down, shook his head, and didnt even dare predict. I confess I was taken aback by his apparent lack of confidence in the Liberal Partys re-election prospects.

On the night of June 12, I anchored TVOs live, four-hour, commercial-free election broadcast. It was the ninth Ontario election Id covered. After eight elections, youd think I would have a strong sense of what was about to happen. But I didnt. Sources Ive long trusted over the years were all saying different things.

Then the numbers started to come in. The Liberals quickly jumped out to a solid lead. Then they surpassed the all-important 54-seat count enough for a majority government. And yet none of the other network Decision Desks was prepared to declare definitively that the Liberals had indeed won their majority. Everyone was just too skittish and lacked confidence to make the call.

But as the night wore on, as the Liberal numbers firmed up, and as the Tory numbers just fell flat, shock gave way to acceptance: Premier Kathleen Wynne had saved the Liberals bacon, and thanks to a remarkably efficient vote, captured a solid majority government with just 38.7 percent of the total votes cast. Not only that, she had broken the rookie curse.

Not since 1971 had Ontarians given an unambiguous victory to a first-time leader. In that case, a young 41-year-old rookie leader named William Grenville Davis inherited the PC mantle from Premier John P. Robarts in February, then enlarged the size of the PC majority in the ensuing October election. But for more than four decades after that election, no governing party had figured out how to transfer power from one leader to the next successfully. Until now.

The other big takeaway on election night in 2014 was how thoroughly Ontarians repudiated PC Leader Tim Hudaks unadulterated, unambiguous, small- c conservative agenda. Seventy percent of them voted against it. Since Bill Daviss departure in 1985, and in almost every general election thereafter, Progressive Conservatives had abandoned the moderate, pragmatic centre that was such a feature of the 42-year-long Tory dynasty (from 194385) and had moved harder to the right. The result: just two election wins in nearly 30 years, both by Mike Harris (in 1995 and 1999). While true-blue conservatives interpreted those mandates as Ontarians finally embracing their inner Common Sense Revolutionary zeal, many other observers didnt. They saw those wins as a reaction (maybe overreaction?) to an ineffective and unlucky NDP government a market correction, if you like.

And so the 2014 election result crystallized for many what had become increasingly clear over the years. First, in Ontario, there is only about 30 percent of the population that embraces a hard right-wing agenda of deep tax cuts, an increasingly confrontational approach with unions, and a fervent dislike of government in general and the public sector in particular. Second, that right-wing core is simply not big enough to win elections.

The bottom line: its still Bill Daviss Ontario.

Thats right. Almost three decades after he retired from a quarter-century-long career in politics, its still Bill Daviss Ontario. Despite the influx of millions of people from faraway places, whose customs and religious practices are a million miles removed from the Christian town of Brampton he grew up in, its still Bill Daviss Ontario.