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Michael Freeman - The Global Spread of Islamism and the Consequences for Terrorism

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Michael Freeman The Global Spread of Islamism and the Consequences for Terrorism

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Terrorism motivated by Islamist religious ideology has been on the rise for the last forty years and has been called the fourth wave of terrorism. Generally speaking, the previous Anarchist, Nationalist, and Marxist waves arose out of some combination of geo-political events and local grievances. The current wave, however, did not seem to arise out of any analogous conditions. While there were certainly events that helped catalyze Islamist movements, these events did not seem to create the specific grievances that would lead us to expect the wave of terrorism that followed. In other words, our commonly held notions of how changes in structural conditions lead to grievances that, in turn, give rise to terrorism fail to explain the current Islamist wave of terrorism. Absent a better explanation of this current wave of terrorism, our understanding of it is flawed, as are the policies and actions taken to mitigate and defeat it. In The Global Spread of Islamism and the Consequences for Terrorism, Michael Freeman examines the causes of terrorism, and how potential causal factors have changed over time by looking at several key events of 1979, how these events created incentives for different actors to spread the supply of Islamism, the institutions that they created in various countries, and the terrorists coming out of these institutions. 1979 marked the emergence of revolutionary Islam as a global political force, the beginning of market revolutions in China and Britain that would radically alter the international economy, and the first stirrings of the resistance movements in Eastern Europe and Afghanistan that ultimately led to the collapse of the Soviet Union. By tracing the conflict in Syria, terrorism and sectarianism in Iraq, the war in Yemen, the nuclear and missile programs, the security apparatus in Iran, and fundamentalist operations around the world, Michael Freeman looks at the broader, and more accepted (and not necessarily violent) ideology from which many Islamic terrorists eventually arise.

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A compelling and incisive analysis of how Saudi Arabia has spread an extreme version of Islam to Indonesia, Pakistan, Britain, the United States, and other countries that should make policymakers rethink the free pass they have consistently given to the Saudis.
Phil Williams, professor of international security, Graduate School of Public and International Affairs at the University of Pittsburgh
In this interesting study Michael Freeman focuses on the supply side of ideology, specifically on the deliberate dissemination of Islamist ideologies (and associated institutional infrastructures) by Saudi Arabia and other Gulf States to various countries outside of the Arab world (Indonesia, Pakistan, the UK, and the U.S.). In his conclusion he surveys possible countermeasures that might be employed to block the supply chain of Islamist ideology and thereby inhibit further radicalization and a potential shift toward more jihadist violence, though he ruefully recognizes that the Islamist ideological genie cannot be stuffed back into its magic lamp and that the aspects that most need to be addressed are nearly impossible to change.
Jeffrey M. Bale, professor of nonproliferation and terrorism studies at Middlebury Institute of International Studies
The Global Spread of Islamism and the Consequences for Terrorism
Michael Freeman
with Katherine Ellena and Amina Kator-Mubarez
Potomac Books
An imprint of the University of Nebraska Press
2021 by Michael Freeman.
Cover designed by University of Nebraska Press; cover image: iStock.com / Zeferli.
All rights reserved. Potomac Books is an imprint of the University of Nebraska Press.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Names: Freeman, Michael, 1973 author. | Ellena, Katherine, author. | Kator-Mubarez, Amina, author.
Title: The global spread of Islamism and the consequences for terrorism / Michael Freeman; with Katherine Ellena, Amina Kator-Mubarez.
Description: Lincoln: Potomac Books, an imprint of the University of Nebraska Press, 2021. | Includes bibliographical references and index. |
Identifiers: LCCN 2020021093
ISBN 9781640123700 (hardback)
ISBN 9781640124141 (epub)
ISBN 9781640124158 (mobi)
ISBN 9781640124165 (pdf)
Subjects: LCSH : Islamic fundamentalism. | TerrorismReligious aspectsIslam. | Middle EastHistory1979 | Islamic countriesHistory.
Classification: LCC BP 166.14. F 85 F 77 2021 | DDC 320.55/7dc23
LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2020021093
The publisher does not have any control over and does not assume any responsibility for author or third-party websites or their content.
Contents
The Supply of an Ideology
Terrorism motivated by religious ideology has been on the rise since 1980 and has been called the fourth wave of terrorism. The fourth (religious, and predominantly Islamist) wave, however, did not seem to arise from any analogous conditions. While there were certainly events that helped catalyze Islamist movements (to be explored later), these events did not seem to create the specific grievances that would lead us to expect the wave of terrorism that followed. In other words, our commonly held notionsof how changes in structural conditions lead to grievances that in turn give rise to terrorismfail to explain the current Islamist wave of terrorism. Absent a better explanation of this current wave of terrorism, our understanding of it is flawed, as are the policies and actions taken to mitigate and defeat it.
What, then, explains the rise of the current wave of Islamic extremist terrorism, or, more simply, why is it occurring now and not earlier or later? One approach to answering this question would involve examining how the ideologies of the current wave have evolved. For example, al-Qaedas rise in the 1990s can be attributed to the ideological innovations of Ibn Taymiyyah, Mawdudi, Qutb, bin Laden, and others who transformed notions of jihad from attacking foreign occupiers of Muslim lands to attacking apostate Muslim governments (the near enemy) and the external supporters of those apostate governments (the far enemy). This ideological evolution approach is useful in describing how the ideology evolved but cannot fully explain why particular conceptual innovations gained wider appeal and why other ideologies did not.
Another approach to answering this question would be to examine the causes of terrorism and how potential causal factors, across various levels of analysis, including systemic or root causes, might have changed over time.
What is missing from these approaches is an understanding of what could be called the supply side of ideology. Ideologies are usually driven by demand. As described above, people who have grievanceswhether political, economic, social, or religiousseek out (or demand) an ideology that can make sense of their situation. For example, people facing socioeconomic repression might find a Marxist ideology particularly appealing, while people faced with an invasion of their homeland might turn to a nationalist ideology, and so on. According to this approach, the grievances that people face drive the demand for an ideology; the greater the grievance, the greater the demand for the corresponding ideology.
The supply side of ideologies, on the other hand, addresses how ideologies get promulgated and adopted, similar to the discussion of the framing process within social movement theory.
The argument and cases presented here are explicitly not generalizable. To be clear, we acknowledge that most terrorism is demand or grievance driven. There are very few examples of the supply side of terrorism. Modern Islamist terrorism, though, cannot be fully explained without incorporating the supply side. Moreover, misunderstanding the current wave of terrorism as demand driven has led to myriad ineffective policies. Spreading democracy, expanding the economic effects of globalization, or ending occupations of Muslim lands have not, and will not by themselves undermine al-Qaeda or ISIS , because these are not the grievances driving them. Stopping the supply of Islamist ideologies is necessary for this wave and its affiliated groups to be defeated. Stopping the supply is no easy task (we will return to this topic in the conclusion).
Before proceeding, it should be made clear that this book is not examining the spread of a terrorist ideology per se. Doing so, in terms of Islamic terrorism, would involve tracing the ideological contributions of various individuals (Mawdudi, Ibn Taymiyyah, Qutb, etc.) to what Marc Sageman calls the global Salafi jihad. Such work has already been excellently done.
A few more words about what this book is not are in order. First, although several events in 1979 are integral to the supply story, events in other years (briefly listed below) were also important, and so this book is not arguing that only the events of 1979 were critical. Second, while the supply of Islamism increased dramatically after 1979, this does not mean that its roots do not extend well before 1979; it simply grew much faster after several catalyzing events. Third, as mentioned before, while this book focuses on the supply side of the equation, other issues (like grievances) are always part of the picture for most terrorist movements and waves and even, to some extent, modern Islamist terrorismthey just cannot adequately explain the timing of the current wave. Fourth, this book does not address the roots and spread of Shia extremism. Iranian motivations for exporting the countrys ideology, the locations where this has occurred, and the consequences for violence would all follow a different pattern than that presented here.
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