Table of Contents
Table of Figures
Related titles also available from BLOOMBERG PRESS
BLOOMBERG MARKET ESSENTIALS: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Fibonacci Analysis
by Constance Brown
DeMark Indicators
by Jason Perl
Option Strategies for Directionless Markets
by Anthony J. Saliba with Joseph C. Corona and Karen E. Johnson
Trading Option Greeks
by Dan Passarelli
Breakthroughs in Technical Analysis
edited by David Keller
Trading ETFs
Gaining an Edge with Technical Analysis
by Deron Wagner
New Insights on Covered Call Writing
by Richard Lehman and Lawrence G. McMillan
New Thinking in Technical Analysis
edited by Rick Bensignor
A complete list of our titles is available at
www.bloomberg.com/books
Attention Corporations
This book is available for bulk purchase at special discount. Special editions or chapter reprints can also be customized to specifications. For information, please e-mail Bloomberg Press, press@bloomberg.com, Attention: Director of Special Markets, or phone 212-617-7966.
2008 by Aerodynamic Investments, Inc.
All rights reserved. Protected under the Berne Convention. No part of this book may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of the publisher except in the case of brief quotations embodied in critical articles and reviews. For information, please write: Permissions Department, Bloomberg Press, 731 Lexington Avenue, New York, NY 10022 or send an e-mail to press@bloomberg.com.
BLOOMBERG, BLOOMBERG ANYWHERE, BLOOMBERG.COM, BLOOMBERG MARKET ESSENTIALS, Bloomberg Markets, BLOOMBERG NEWS, BLOOMBERG PRESS, BLOOMBERG PROFESSIONAL, BLOOMBERG RADIO, BLOOMBERG TELEVISION, and BLOOMBERG TRADEBOOK are trademarks and service marks of Bloomberg Finance L.P. (BFLP), a Delaware limited partnership, or its subsidiaries. The BLOOMBERG PROFESSIONAL service (the BPS) is owned and distributed locally by BFLP and its subsidiaries in all jurisdictions other than Argentina, Bermuda, China, India, Japan, and Korea (the BLP Countries). BFLP is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Bloomberg L.P. (BLP). BLP provides BFLP with all global marketing and operational support and service for these products and distributes the BPS either directly or through a non-BFLP subsidiary in the BLP Countries. All rights reserved.
This publication contains the authors opinions and is designed to provide accurate and authoritative information. It is sold with the understanding that the author, publisher, and Bloomberg L.P. are not engaged in rendering legal, accounting, investment-planning, or other professional advice. The reader should seek the services of a qualified professional for such advice; the author, publisher, and Bloomberg L.P. cannot be held responsible for any loss incurred as a result of specific investments or planning decisions made by the reader.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Brown, Constance M.
Fibonacci analysis/Constance Brown.
p. cm.(Bloomberg market essentials)
Includes bibliographical references and index.
Summary: Fibonacci Analysis gives traders a first step toward applying Fibonacci analysis in the market. The book covers key elements of this technical analysis tool. Traders will get up to speed quickly on its unique benefits. The major ratios between numbers in the Fibonacci sequence describe predictable market patterns. Fibonacci analysis analyzes these movements to identify future market pricesProvided by publisher.
ISBN 978-1-57660-261-4 (alk. paper)
1. Investment analysis. 2. Speculation. 3. Fibonacci numbers. I. Title.
HG4529.B762 2008
332.632042dc22
2008021539
Geometry has two great treasures: one is the theorem of Pythagoras; the other, the division of a line into extreme and mean ratio. The first we may compare to a measure of gold; the second we may name a precious jewel.
Johannes Kepler (1571-1630)
Acknowledgments
FIBONACCI ANALYSIS IS a personal passion of mine, and I would like to thank the entire team at Bloomberg Pressincluding David George, JoAnne Kanaval, Dru-Ann Chuchran, and Leah Shrirofor raising the quality bar to the highest standard possible. My special thanks go to Stephen Isaacs. With each book weve done together, my trust in him grows.
Another important part of the team behind this book was Market Analyst Software, the Australian software vendor that has developed features and tools to push this subject past industry conventions. I would particularly like to thank Jonathan Garrett and Matthew Humphreys, who have struggled through many versions of the software development process to support my many requests. None of this would be possible without the support of the companys founder, Mathew Verdouw, who is committed to creating a revolution in technical analysis.
Last, but not least, is the personal support I was given behind the scenes from enthused colleagues and friends. That must also include the little Trade Street Gallery Coffeehouse in Tryon, NC, which attracts phenomenally accomplished Ivy League professors, physicists, business executives, and artisans and musicians who make an impact in such diverse fields as the Broadway theater and specialized fabrics protecting the worlds firefighters. The Trade Street Gallery Coffeehouse is a mecca of talents, and the positive energy and enthusiasm is indeed infectious.
A lot of people have cared about and devoted their best efforts to this work. I hope this book will stand up to the test of time and become worn and dog-eared from years of use.
Introduction
TRADERS HAVE BEEN asking me for more than ten years to write this book. Being a fund manager, there was no chance I would write a comprehensive book on the price-projection methods I used or the research that was developing from the methodology. But times change and a wise partner of mine asked, What is your business exit strategy going to be? He explained that all the knowledge and wisdom you have gained over the years will be lost if you have no plan to pass it on to the next generation. It is not enough to come, extract from the markets, and then hide in a cave with the best gems you have polished over the years tucked safely away in the deepest partitions of your mind. What good was the journey if someone does not pick up the flag and continue to move it forward?
I never felt ready to put into print the most important work that the markets had trained me to use as the cornerstone of my various geometric methods. There was always more I needed to prepare before unveiling this work to my peers. It is alarming how time seems to fly by and indeed odd how someone becomes branded a specialist. One day, I was just working hard to catch the leaders in my craft, and then one morning, I awoke to find that the person looking back at me in the mirror was the one being hounded by others to reveal a deep hidden secret she held. There were no secrets except what was earned through hard work and a relentless passion to gain a better understanding of why something worked with each new market experience.