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Richard Heinberg - The Partys Over: Oil, War and the Fate of Industrial Societies

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February 1, 2003

The Partys Over (TPO) is an excellently and thoroughly researched treatment of precisely the oil depletion problem, almost entirely free of the usual hidden political agendas, irrelevant personal memoirs, and philosophical delusions.

I would recommend TPO to anybody on this list . . . as a convenient and politically neutral Pack-O-Facts that can be offered to friends, family, colleagues, policy makers, and anybody else in your life or world that you may feel needs a sober sit-down and some rational talking-to about the energy future of industrial civilization.

The Endnotes section at the books end, organized by chapter, is the best bibliography Ive ever seen on all aspects of the topic. This book bears direct comparison to only three other more-or-less mass or general market books that Im aware of:

  • Thom Hartmann, Last Hours of Ancient Sunlight;
  • Jeremy Rifkin, The Hydrogen Economy;
  • Kenneth Deffeyes, Hubberts Peak: The Impending World Oil Shortage.

    • With respect to these, I feel that TPO is:

    • less irrelevantly philosophical than Hartmanns book, more up- to-date, and more pointedly technical in sources used.
    • very similar to the first half of Rifkins work, where he delineates the problem, but again a more comprehensive and at the same time more focused presentation. The second half of Rifkins work, where he cheerleads in rather political mode for a salvaging of the worlds economy via distributed hydrogen/fuel-cell infrastructure is not directly relevant, except I suppose inasmuch as it would seem to contradict Heinbergs skepticism about propping up global industrial civilization through a 11th hour switch to alternatives. Id personally go with Heinbergs conclusions.
    • again, in topic/coverage very similar to Deffeyes quite interesting work, but frankly for those who want a quick and focused rollup presentation/package for opening the topic with others, Deffeyes work is overly encumbered with too much aranca about oil geology and personal authors memoirs.

    Overall, The Partys Over will serve as the state-of-the-art topic-opener on Hubbert catastrophism, for people on this list, well into the foreseeable future.

    Scott Meredith
    AlasBabylon list owner

    Richard Heinberg: author's other books


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    Advance Praise for The Partys Over Richard Heinberg has distilled complex - photo 1
    Advance Praise for
    The Partys Over
    Richard Heinberg has distilled complex facts, histories, and events into a readable overview of the energy systems that keep todays mass society running. The result is jarring. The Partys Over is the book we need to reorient ourselves for a realistic future.
    Chellis Glendinning, Ph.D., author of Chiva: A Village
    Takes on the Global Heroin Trade and Off the Map:
    An Expedition Deep into Empire and the Global Economy
    A few generations hence, our descendants will look back on the industrial world of today with a combination of awe, wonderment, and horror. Their past is our future a transitional era of dwindling energy supplies, resource wars, and industrial collapse. If societies a century from now have managed to learn how to live peacefully, modestly, and sustainably, it may be at least partly because the advice in this timely book was heeded.
    Thom Hartmann, author of
    The Last Hours of Ancient Sunlight and Unequal Protection:
    The rise of corporate dominance and theft of human rights
    As Richard Heinberg makes shockingly clear in this extraordinarily well-researched and -written book, our way of life will soon change dramatically, as oil production and reserves both begin to decline. He also makes clear that our actions now will strongly affect what is left of the world when this shift away from oil takes place. But before we can act we must understand, and before we can understand we must be informed. In this compelling book, Richard Heinberg gives us the tools the information and understanding to act. The Partys Over is a wise and important work.
    Derrick Jensen, author of A Language Older than Words and The Culture of Make Believe
    The Partys Over begins with a commanding review of world history, where past and current developments including war, empire, and population growth are interpreted as functions of cheap or increasingly scarce and expensive energy. The discussion of substitutes for fast-depleting fossil fuels, and the formidable impediments to making the transition that would allow industrial civilization to continue, are important to every investor and citizen.
    Virginia Deane Abernethy, Ph.D., author of Population Politics
    Richard Heinbergs The Partys Over is outstanding. I hope that the US President and Congress read this book. The world and the US populations are projected to double in 50 and 70 years, respectively, and global oil supplies are projected to be mostly depleted in 50 years! I agree with Heinberg that society is headed for serious trouble in the near future.
    David Pimentel, Professor, Department of Entomology, Systematics and Ecology, Cornell University
    Mariners often say that nine tenths of navigation is knowing where you are: Richard Heinbergs The Partys Over is the seminal book that locates us most accurately on the dangerous map of industrial life. Heinberg helps lay and expert reader alike to understand oil peak and its staggering ramifications for what many of us consider normal life. The Partys Over provides a solid grounding for grasping both the unfortunate extent of our dependence on the twin hydrocarbons oil and natural gas (and other forms of big energy), as well as the enormity of the task of transitioning towards a post carbon world.
    Julian Darley, author of
    High Noon for Natural Gas: The New Energy Crisis and coauthor of Relocalize Now! Getting Ready for Climate Change and the End of Cheap Oil, and founder and director of Post Carbon Institute
    Richard Heinberg is absolutely brilliant and more in touch with big-picture issues and small-picture nuances than any writer I know. When Heinberg writes, I listen.
    Michael C. Ruppert, author of Crossing the Rubicon: The Decline of the American Empire at the End of the Age of Oil, and publisher of From the Wilderness
    THE
    PARTY'S
    OVER
    Oil, War and the Fate
    of Industrial Societies
    Richard Heinberg
    Cataloging in Publication Data A catalog record for this publication is - photo 2
    Cataloging in Publication Data:
     A catalog record for this publication is available from the National Library of Canada.
    First edition copyright 2003 by Richard Heinberg.
    Second edition copyright 2005 by Richard Heinberg.
    All rights reserved.
    Second printing, second edition, September 2005.
    Printed in Canada.
    Cover image Andrew Morgan.
    Paperback ISBN: 0-86571-529-7
    Inquiries regarding requests to reprint all or part of The Partys Over should be addressed to New Society Publishers at the address below.
    To order directly from the publishers, please call toll-free (North America)
    1-800-567-6772, or order online at www.newsociety.com
    Any other inquiries can be directed by mail to:
    New Society Publishers
    P.O. Box 189, Gabriola Island, BC V0R 1X0, Canada
    1-800-567-6772
    New Society Publishers mission is to publish books that contribute in fundamental ways to building an ecologically sustainable and just society, and to do so with the least possible impact on the environment, in a manner that models this vision. We are committed to doing this not just through education, but through action. We are acting on our commitment to the worlds remaining ancient forests by phasing out our paper supply from ancient forests worldwide. This book is one step toward ending global deforestation and climate change. It is printed on acid-free paper that is 100 percent old growth forest-free (100 percent post-consumer recycled), processed chlorine free, and printed with vegetable-based, low-VOC inks. For further information, or to browse our full list of books and purchase securely, visit our website at: www.newsociety.com
    NEW SOCIETY PUBLISHERS
    www.newsociety.com
    Contents
    CHAPTER 2: PARTY TIME: THE HISTORIC INTERVAL
    OF CHEAP, ABUNDANT ENERGY
    CHAPTER 4: NON-PETROLEUM ENERGY SOURCES:
    CAN THE PARTY CONTINUE?
    CHAPTER 6: MANAGING THE COLLAPSE:
    STRATEGIES AND RECOMMENDATIONS
    I am deeply indebted to three geologists who read parts of the manuscript and offered invaluable corrections, additions, and advice: C. J. Campbell, who read the entire manuscript and offered editorial as well as technical suggestions; Jean Laherrre, who read and supplied helpful resource materials.
    I am also indebted to Ron Swenson, an expert on renewable energies, who offered immensely valuable insights and suggestions for .
    For the past several years my students at New College of California have heard me develop the ideas for this book in lectures; during the same period my colleagues on staff and faculty have engaged me in frequent conversations about issues related to the book. I would like to thank all of these wonderful people, both for their comments and for their patience with me as I doggedly pursued this topic.
    Readers of my monthly MuseLetter read early drafts of chapters and also offered helpful suggestions. I thank them for their loyalty and interest.
    Thanks to Chris Plant and the rest of the staff at New Society Publishers for taking on a controversial topic.
    I must mention my debt of gratitude to Jay Hanson, whose research and documentation of this topic on his web site provided much of the original inspiration for this book.
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