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Bertelsmann Stiftung - From Cooperation to Partnership: Moving Beyond the Russia-EU Deadlock: Europe in Dialogue 1/2013

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From Cooperation to Partnership: Moving Beyond the Russia-EU Deadlock: Europe in Dialogue 1/2013
Author:
Bertelsmann Stiftung
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Verlag BertelsmannStiftung
Genre:
Science / Politics
Year:
2013
City:
Gütersloh
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The balance between self-assertion of member countries and solidarity of the Union will be the key factor in any debates over shaping the future of the European Union. The Europe in Dialogue series contributes to these debates by critically scrutinizing political concepts, processes, and institutions, and suggesting ways of reforming internal and external European policymaking. To further broaden the debate, the book includes authors from nonmember countries who provide a range of outside, looking in perspectives on the issues.ContentsPolitical Modernisation and European Perspective Russia and the European Union: Looking Back and Looking AheadEU-Russia Relations: A Partnership for Modernisation?Mutual Perceptions and Constructing Identities Russia and the European Union: Identities and InterpretationsRussia and the European Union: From Cooperation to Genuine PartnershipProspects for Overcoming Stagnation in Bilateral RelationsJoint Economic Interest and Global Impact of EU and Russia The EU-Russia Strategic Partnership: Finding a Way ForwardWhen Are We Going to Have a Common European Economic Space? Common Economic Interests and the Global Impact of the EU and RussiaShaping the Agenda of New Russian-European Relations in a Global Perspective The Only Reasonable Third Way for RussiaThe Systemic Roots of Russia-EU DeadlockThe Future of Russia: From Europe to Eurasia?The Future of Russia from a Chinese Perspective

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Bertelsmann Stiftung (ed.)

From Cooperation to Partnership:
Moving Beyond the
Russia-EU Deadlock

Europe in Dialogue 1/2013

Bibliographic information published by the Deutsche Nationalbibliothek

The Deutsche Nationalbibliothek lists this publication in the

Deutsche Nationalbibliografie; detailed bibliographic data

is available on the Internet at http://dnb.d-nb.de .

2013 E-Book Edition

2013 Verlag Bertelsmann Stiftung, Gtersloh

Responsible: Stefani Weiss

Copy editor: Alfred Clayton

Production editor: Christiane Raffel

Cover design: Elisabeth Menke

Cover illustration: Photodisc

Typesetting and Printing: Hans Kock Buch- und Offsetdruck GmbH, Bielefeld

ISBN 978-3-86793-546-3 (Print)

ISBN 978-3-86793-547-0 (E-Book PDF)

ISBN 978-3-86793-548-7 (E-Book EPUB)

www.bertelsmann-stiftung.org/publications

Contents

Forword

Andrei Zagorski

Sabine Fischer

Hanna Smith

Vladislav Belov

Igor Yurgens

Andreas Metz, Rainer Lindner

Fyodor Lukyanov

Slawomir Debski

Jeffrey Mankoff

Xueling Guan, Meng Zhang

Forword

Since spring 2013 we can be certain: Europeans and Russians are flying together to Mars. However, for quite a long time nothing as positive as this has been in evidence in the political relations between Russia and the EU. The construction of a Common European Home, which started 20 years ago to the accompaniment of high hopes and a great deal of enthusiasm, has come to a standstill. Since 2008, the two sides have been negotiating a new Partnership and Cooperation Agreement that is designed to replace the 1997 Agreement, which expired in 2007. When and whether these negotiations can reach a successful conclusion is a matter for conjecture. The relationship is clearly no longer as friendly as it used to be, and over the years the way in which the two sides talk to each other has become far more abrasive. In the run-up to the Vilnius summit in November 2013, at which the EU will be talking to its eastern neighbours, one has had the impression that we are back in the darkest days of the Cold War. Russia has issued a stern warning to the former Soviet republics, including the largest of them, Ukraine, and told them not to deepen their relations with the EU. Armenia has already backed down, and, instead of concluding an Association and Free Trade Agreement with the EU, now intends to join the Russian-led Eurasian Customs Union.

This volume is devoted to the questions of why the integration of Russia into the Euro-Atlantic community has failed to materialise, at least for the time being, and of what options are still available when it comes to improving relations between the EU and Russia. We asked eight noted experts on European-Russian relations from Russia and the EU to analyse the state of mutual relations and to suggest various ways in which they could grow and develop. Furthermore, contributors from the U.S. and China shed some light on the European-Russian relationship from a global perspective.

The results of these analyses paint a sobering picture. Although the two sides could actually benefit from each other, the EU and Russia now tend to define themselves as rivals and not as partners who are looking for a joint response to the challenges of globalisation. The reasons that the contributors adduce in order to explain this state of affairs are both complex and numerous. Thus the EU member states are primarily frustrated by the lack of progress being made in the area of modernisation, and of course by President Vladimir Putins authoritarian style of government. On the other hand, Russia now seems to find the Chinese approach to modernisation more attractive, especially since the EU displayed unmistakable signs of weakness during the euro crisis. However, the Chinese approach to modernisation has another undeniable advantage. It means that Russia is not going to be compelled to implement democratic reforms, and this in turn means that the power of the elites in Moscow is not going to be called into question. In the EU, people tend to overlook the fact that its modernisation strategy can be a success only if the political elites show a willingness to pursue long-term economic and welfare state goals and do not, as is still the case, spend all their time thinking about how to maintain their hold on power.

The Russians view the attempts by the EU to bring its influence to bear on the post-Soviet space with the help of Partnership and Association Agreements as hostile acts and have responded with an organisation of their own, the Eurasian Union, and by imposing quite specific sanctions. As a result of these developments, the EU is once again wrestling with a familiar dilemma. Should it jettison its value-based approach and, in keeping with the saying He may be a son of a bitch, but hes our son of a bitch, conclude an Association Agreement with Ukraine without having made sufficient progress in the area of democratic reforms and the rule of law? Or should it continue to adhere to its standards, which on the one hand means that it can retain its credibility, though on the other, as things stand at present, it may persuade Ukraine to fall into line with Russia?

Here, as the contributors admit, good advice is in short supply, for there does not seem to be such a thing as a quick fix. If the EU wishes to promote democracy, the rule of law and good governance in Russia and in its immediate neighbourhood, and that is something which it no doubt considers to be of paramount importance, it needs to interact to a far greater extent with civil society in Russia and in the states in its eastern neighbourhood. And for this reason there is in fact only one thing that it can do. It needs to overcome its fears about the influx of cheap labour and liberalise the visa regime. If the interaction between EU member states and Russia can become more intense on the level of the man in the street, it may be possible to overcome prejudice, to de-ideoligise their relationship, and to embark on genuine cooperation in the area of modernisation. Quite a lot can still be achieved with youth exchange programmes and in the higher education sector, where cooperation could take the form of foreign semesters and the provision of scholarships. All this will take a long time to come to fruition. But we should start now, and not wait another 20 years.

Finally, we would like to thank the authors for their in-depth and thought-provoking analyses. We are particularly grateful to Iris Kempe, who worked tirelessly on the planning for this volume. Without her circumspect editorial support it could not have been completed.

Joachim Fritz-Vannahme

Director

Programme Europes Future

Bertelsmann Stiftung

Political Modernisation and European Perspective

Russia and the European Union: Looking Back and Looking Ahead

Andrei Zagorski

Introduction

At the beginning of the previous decade, the European Union reviewed its policy options for the time after eastward enlargement. This process resulted in the development of the European Neighbourhood Policy (ENP), and in 2009 led to the introduction of the Eastern Partnership, which offered the countries of eastern Europe and the South Caucasus political association and economic integration with the European Union, but not full membership.

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