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Mark Horrocks - Horse Racing Betting Dutching System

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Mark Horrocks Horse Racing Betting Dutching System
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Introduction

I have written many books around UK horse racing systems and this one I really enjoyed due to the simplicity of this horse racing dutching system and how easy it is to apply.

The system uses the excellent free racing post website where you can obtain all the form data you need to use this system. Plus you do not have to be a form expert to understand it.

You should aim at using Betfair to place your dutch bets due to the better prices and the ability to get even better prices pre-off the race.

Understand the system before placing your horse dutching bets, I hope you enjoy it!

Why I Wrote The Book

I use the excellent Bet Angel trading tool software that allows me to place my horse racing dutching bets quickly and understand the total book value I am betting to say 40% very quickly.

You can calculate the total book value manually and there are plenty of free dutching calculators online, excel spreadsheets etc.

When I started dutching I watched many Youtube videos on the strategy and tried these but kept on losing a majority of the time i.e. not making a profit long term. A typical racing day would consist of say 4 small profits say 1 to 2 profit for 4 races for a 10 dutching stake and then get wiped out with a losing bet so basically I would be in a negative position. I was dutching to approximately 80% book value which normally consisted of the top 5 or 6 in the betting market for a horse race. What made this approach so infuriating is that there could be 10 horses in a race I had 5 of them to a book value of 80% and still lose!

This is when I decided to aim for more profit per horse race i.e. a lower book value say 30% to 50% and never break this rule.

So if we adopt this dutching strategy for the 4 races mentioned earlier and aim for our maximum 50% book value limit. We would profit approximately 9 per race if our horse won. So 4 X 9 = 36 as opposed to 4 X 2 = 8. This new approach allows us to absorb losses and still be in profit.

Ok you might argue you have a better probability winning with a 80% book value as compared to 50% which is correct however it is high consistency but low profit.

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Contents
Introduction. Why I Wrote The Book How The System Works. Example UK Handicap Horse Races More Detail On This Dutching Strategy Lowering Your Book Value Percentage My Other Books On Amazon
UK Horse Racing Betting Systems Paperback 7 Feb. 2020
https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B084DGQNKK
Best Horse Racing System Paperback 10 May 2020
https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B088BF1CG7
The Two Step Horse Racing System Kindle Edition
https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B084QHSKYH
UK Horse Racing Handicap System: Took 2 Years To Computer Model Paperback 8 May 2020
https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B088BBPDPG
The 6f 7f Furlong Hope Horse Lay System Simple To Use And Profitable Kindle Edition
https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B084RHCCSX
Betfair Place Market UK Horse Handicap System Kindle Edition
https://www.amazon.co.uk/dp/B089FHPSM7 Horse Racing Betting Dutching System
Introduction
I have written many books around UK horse racing systems and this one I really enjoyed due to the simplicity of this horse racing dutching system and how easy it is to apply. The system uses the excellent free racing post website where you can obtain all the form data you need to use this system. Plus you do not have to be a form expert to understand it.

You should aim at using Betfair to place your dutch bets due to the better prices and the ability to get even better prices pre-off the race. Understand the system before placing your horse dutching bets, I hope you enjoy it!

Why I Wrote The Book
I use the excellent Bet Angel trading tool software that allows me to place my horse racing dutching bets quickly and understand the total book value I am betting to say 40% very quickly. You can calculate the total book value manually and there are plenty of free dutching calculators online, excel spreadsheets etc. When I started dutching I watched many Youtube videos on the strategy and tried these but kept on losing a majority of the time i.e. not making a profit long term. A typical racing day would consist of say 4 small profits say 1 to 2 profit for 4 races for a 10 dutching stake and then get wiped out with a losing bet so basically I would be in a negative position.

I was dutching to approximately 80% book value which normally consisted of the top 5 or 6 in the betting market for a horse race. What made this approach so infuriating is that there could be 10 horses in a race I had 5 of them to a book value of 80% and still lose! This is when I decided to aim for more profit per horse race i.e. a lower book value say 30% to 50% and never break this rule. So if we adopt this dutching strategy for the 4 races mentioned earlier and aim for our maximum 50% book value limit. We would profit approximately 9 per race if our horse won. So 4 X 9 = 36 as opposed to 4 X 2 = 8.

This new approach allows us to absorb losses and still be in profit. Ok you might argue you have a better probability winning with a 80% book value as compared to 50% which is correct however it is high consistency but low profit. I soon learnt you cannot dutch horse races blind it is as simple as that as you will lose. You need a strategy and you need to understand the correct horse form variables and horse races. In this book I will show you a simple system to dutch horses for a great profit. In the book I assume you understand horse dutching, I do not want to waste time explaining the mechanics behind this.

Lets get started!

How The System Works
The horse dutching system works for UK Handicap Horse Races only! You will need access to the internet and the Racing Post website this is free. https://www.racingpost.com Betfair Horse Race Price History. A great website! https://www.betfairpromo.com/betfairsp/prices/ I am not going to explain horse form in detail in this book as this is not required. This horse racing system is a step by step process that you just follow and is not ambiguous. The horse racing system consists of 4 simple steps below, I will explain each step in detail later. 1st ,2nd ,3rd and record the horses BHB ( OR Official Rating ) it ran off. 1st ,2nd ,3rd and record the horses BHB ( OR Official Rating ) it ran off.

Step 3 From Step 2 above we now list the horses in BHB ( OR Official Rating ) descending order i.e. the horse with highest BHB ( OR Official Rating ) first with the lowest BHB at the bottom of the list. Step 4 From the list of horses in Step 3 above we now select the top 6 highest BHB ( OR Official Rating ) horses in the list. These are the horses we will place our dutching bet subject to another qualifier which I will explain in the book later. This is how simple this horse racing dutching system is but I will show you later in the book how to choose the best handicap races to dutch in.

1) Newcastle 6.45 10th March 2020 Winner Dawaaleeb 25/1
Horse Last Race BHB ( OR Official Rating ) Dawaaleeb 21/06/2019 Helovaplan 22/07/2019 Tangled 09/10/2019 Little Jo 27/02/2019 Samphire Coast 06/03/2020 Global Art 77 28/11/2019 Paparazzi 19/02/2020 Aegeus Etikaal Paddyplex Champagne Rules Athmad The above table displays the top 6 horses and their last race BHB and the last race date where I obtained the last race BHB ( OR Official Rating ) figure.
1) Newcastle 6.45 10th March 2020 Winner Dawaaleeb 25/1
Horse Last Race BHB ( OR Official Rating ) Dawaaleeb 21/06/2019 Helovaplan 22/07/2019 Tangled 09/10/2019 Little Jo 27/02/2019 Samphire Coast 06/03/2020 Global Art 77 28/11/2019 Paparazzi 19/02/2020 Aegeus Etikaal Paddyplex Champagne Rules Athmad The above table displays the top 6 horses and their last race BHB and the last race date where I obtained the last race BHB ( OR Official Rating ) figure.

The list is in Last Race BHB descending order. We need to obtain the last race BHB for each horse to compile the list. Important! Notice the two horses below have the same Last Race BHB ( OR Official Rating ) of . When this situation occurs you need to order by the horses weight difference from the last race and the weight the horse is carrying in the race being analysed in ascending order ( the lowest weight difference first ). Global Art 77 28/11/2019 Paparazzi 19/02/2020 Lets look at their weight difference below starting with their last race weight, There are 14 pounds to a stone! You can find the weight a horse is carrying today on a race card and from past results. Horses Last Race Weight Global Art 2811 2019 9 -4 9 stone 4 pounds Total - photo 1 Horses Last Race Weight Global Art 28/11/ 2019 9 -4 ( 9 stone 4 pounds ) Total Weight In Pounds ( 9X14)+4 = 130 Paparazzi 19/02/2020 8-13 ( 8 stone 13 pounds ) Total Weight In Pounds ( 8X14 )+13 = 125 Horses Weight In The Newcastle 6.45 10 th March 2020 Global Art 28/11/ 2019 9 -7 ( 9 stone 7 pounds ) Total Weight In Pounds ( 9X14)+7 = 133 Paparazzi 19/02/2020 9-5 ( 9 stone 5 pounds ) Total Weight In Pounds ( 9X14 )+5 = 131 So the weight difference from todays race and the horses last race Global Art -130 = 3 pounds Paparazzi 131-125 = 6 pounds So the horse Paparazzi is carrying more weight so we favour the horse Global Art as its carrying less weight! So we order our list of horses in BHB descending order and then followed by the horses weight difference in ascending order! Now we have the important weight topic out of the way lets move on. Horses Last Race Weight Global Art 2811 2019 9 -4 9 stone 4 pounds Total - photo 1 Horses Last Race Weight Global Art 28/11/ 2019 9 -4 ( 9 stone 4 pounds ) Total Weight In Pounds ( 9X14)+4 = 130 Paparazzi 19/02/2020 8-13 ( 8 stone 13 pounds ) Total Weight In Pounds ( 8X14 )+13 = 125 Horses Weight In The Newcastle 6.45 10 th March 2020 Global Art 28/11/ 2019 9 -7 ( 9 stone 7 pounds ) Total Weight In Pounds ( 9X14)+7 = 133 Paparazzi 19/02/2020 9-5 ( 9 stone 5 pounds ) Total Weight In Pounds ( 9X14 )+5 = 131 So the weight difference from todays race and the horses last race Global Art -130 = 3 pounds Paparazzi 131-125 = 6 pounds So the horse Paparazzi is carrying more weight so we favour the horse Global Art as its carrying less weight! So we order our list of horses in BHB descending order and then followed by the horses weight difference in ascending order! Now we have the important weight topic out of the way lets move on.

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