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Terry Louise Root - Biodiversity in a Changing Climate: Linking Science and Management in Conservation

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Terry Louise Root Biodiversity in a Changing Climate: Linking Science and Management in Conservation

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One major consequence of climate change is abrupt, dramatic changes in regional biodiversity. Even if the most optimistic scenarios for mitigating climate change transpire, the fate of many wild species rests on the shoulders of people engaged in conservation planning, management, and policy. Providing managers with the latest and most useful climate change research is critical and requires challenging the conventional divide between scientists and managers.
Biodiversity in a Changing Climate promotes dialogue among scientists, decision makers, and managers who are grappling with climate-related threats to species and ecosystems in diverse forms. The book includes case studies and best practices used to address impacts related to climate change across a broad spectrum of species and habitatsfrom coastal krill and sea urchins to prairie grass and mountain bumblebees. Focused on California, the issues and strategies presented in this book will prove relevant to regions across the West, as well as other regions, and provide a framework for how scientists and managers in any region can bridge the communication divide to manage biodiversity in a rapidly changing world.
Biodiversity and a Changing Climate will prove an indispensable guide to students, scientists, and professionals engaged in conservation and resource management.

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BIODIVERSITY in a CHANGING CLIMATE
BIODIVERSITY in a CHANGING CLIMATE
Linking Science and Management in Conservation

Edited by

Terry L. Root, Kimberly R. Hall, Mark P. Herzog, and Christine A. Howell

Picture 1

UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA PRESS

The publisher gratefully acknowledges the generous contribution to this book provided by the Stephen Bechtel Fund.

University of California Press, one of the most distinguished university presses in the United States, enriches lives around the world by advancing scholarship in the humanities, social sciences, and natural sciences. Its activities are supported by the UC Press Foundation and by philanthropic contributions from individuals and institutions. For more information, visit www.ucpress.edu.

University of California Press

Oakland, California

2015 by The Regents of the University of California

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Biodiversity in a changing climate: Linking science and management in conservation / edited by Terry L. Root, Kimberly R. Hall, Mark P. Herzog, Christine A. Howell. -- First edition.

p. cm.

Includes bibliographical references and index.

ISBN 978-0-520-27885-1 (cloth : alk. paper) ISBN 0-520-27885-2 (cloth : alk. paper) ISBN 978-0-520-28671-9 (pbk. : alk. paper) ISBN 0-520-28671-5 (pbk. : alk. paper) ISBN 978-0-520-96180-7 (ebook) ISBN 0-520-96180-3 (ebook)

1. BiodiversityClimatic factorsCalifornia. 2. Biodiversity conservationCalifornia. I. Root, Terry Louise, 1954editor. II. Hall, Kimberly Reade, 1967- editor. III. Herzog, Mark Paul, 1969- editor. IV. Howell, Christine Ann, 1969 editor.

QH 105. C 2 B 55 2015

577.2209794--dc232014041571

Manufactured in China

24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15

10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

The paper used in this publication meets the minimum requirements of ANSI / NISO Z 39.48-1992 ( R 2002) ( Permanence of Paper ). Picture 2

TO STEPHEN H. SCHNEIDER

A visionary, who not only understood the magnitude of trouble greenhouse gas emissions could cause, but helped us all understand how we must work together to avoid the worst of that trouble. Yet, climate change was not on his list of the worlds five worst problems, which were: Ignorance, Greed, Denial, Tribalism, and Short-Term Thinking. We indeed lost a great man in 2010.

TO GUIDO FRANCO

Without his wisdom, this book and much of Californias problem-solving science related to energy would not occur.

TO PATTY GLICK

An unsung hero in our battle with climate change. She has tirelessly worked to focus the attention of scientist, resource managers, decision makers and the public on the risk of climate change on wildlife.

CONTENTS

Terry L. Root and Kimberly R. Hall

Kimberly R. Hall

Michael D. Mastrandrea and William R. L. Anderegg

William R. L. Anderegg and Terry L. Root

Jeffrey G. Dorman

Christopher J. Osovitz and Gretchen E. Hofmann

Rebecca M. Quiones

Brendan Colloran, Gretchen LeBuhn, and Mark Reynolds

Lori Hargrove and John T. Rotenberry

K. Blake Suttle, Erika S. Zavaleta, and Sasha Gennet

Laura Koteen

Jason P. Sexton and Alden B. Griffith

Jessica L. Blois and Elizabeth A. Hadly

Morgan W. Tingley

LIST OF CONTRIBUTORS
EDITORS

KIMBERLY R. HALL

Michigan State University

MARK P. HERZOG

US Geological Survey

CHRISTINE A. HOWELL

US Forest Service

TERRY L. ROOT

Stanford University

CONTRIBUTING AUTHORS

WILLIAM R. L. ANDEREGG

Princeton University

JESSICA L. BLOIS

University of California, Merced

BRENDAN COLLORAN

Archimedes Incorporated

San Francisco, CA

JEFFREY G. DORMAN

University of California, Berkeley

SASHA GENNET

The Nature Conservancy

San Francisco, CA

ALDEN B. GRIFFITH

Wellesley College

ELIZABETH A. HADLY

Stanford University

LORI HARGROVE

University of California, Riverside

GRETCHEN E. HOFMANN

University of California, Santa Barbara

LAURA KOTEEN

University of California, Berkeley

GRETCHEN LEBUHN

San Francisco State University

MICHAEL D. MASTRANDREA

Stanford University

CHRISTOPHER J. OSOVITZ

University of South Florida

REBECCA M. QUINIES

University of California, Davis

MARK REYNOLDS

The Nature Conservancy

San Francisco, CA

JOHN T. ROTENBERRY

University of California, Riverside

JASON P. SEXTON

University of California, Merced

K. BLAKE SUTTLE

Imperial College London

MORGAN W. TINGLEY

University of Connecticut

ERIKA S. ZAVALETA

University of California, Santa Cruz

MANAGERS

DEBORAH ASELTINE-NEILSON

CA Department of Fish and Wildlife

ANDREA CRAIG

The Nature Conservancy

Los Molinos CA

MARK FISHER

University of California Natural Reserve System

DAN HOWARD

Cordell Bank National Marine Sanctuary

ROB KLINGER

US Geological Survey

Yosemite Field Station

TINA MARK

US Forest Service

Tahoe National Forest

ALLAN MUTH

University of California Natural Reserve System

JULIE PERROCHET

US Forest Service

Klamath National Forest

ANNE POOPATANAPONG

US Forest Service

Idyllwild Ranger Station

JENNY RECHEL

US Forest Service

Pacific Southwest Research Station

MARK STROMBERG

Hastings Natural History Reservation

PREFACE

Terry L. Root and Kimberly R. Hall

Since the mid-1970s, our planet has been experiencing noticeable changes in global climate, such as rapid warming, which have strongly affected humans and natural systems. Current climate projections for the future suggest continued acceleration in the pace of these changes, leading to greater risk of harm, especially for those species and human populations that are least able to cope with change. Until collaborative efforts of governments find ways to reduce substantially the emissions of greenhouse gases and stabilize global climate patterns, those of us interested in conserving biodiversity will need to find direct ways to facilitate species adaptations to ever-changing climate conditions. As scientists and resource managers, it is absolutely essential that we communicate the impacts that we are seeing, as this is one way to help promote climate change mitigation efforts to replace fossil fuel energy with that generated via renewable energy. Further, we must use what we are learning to help develop and implement strategies that prepare people and species for the inevitable continued changes in climate that will occur before mitigation strategies can produce results. Indeed, if we fail to act in these ways, the number of species extinctions will likely be higher than humanity can afford to lose.

The challenge of helping natural systems adapt is huge, but not insurmountable, if all concerned pool their knowledge, expertise, and resources. Specifically, we are referring to scientists conducting decision-relevant research, natural resource managers, and conservation practitioners implementing climate-updated protocols in the field, and, especially, decision-makers who help shape policy. Strengthening the dialogue between researchers and practitioners will inevitably inspire new, proactive approaches to management. This kind of partnership also provides opportunities to identify constraints to the kinds of innovative actions needed to reduce risks to natural (and human) systems, as some actions may require changes in existing policies or new legislative tools before they can be implemented. By strengthening scientistmanager partnerships and aligning our messaging, we also improve our ability to promote needed updates to those in a position to implement policy change. As we strengthen these relationships, we also increase the odds that we will save a greater number of species from extinction, and will protect more people from climate-related risks.

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