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National Research Council - Vision 21: FOSSIL FUEL OPTIONS FOR THE FUTURE

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National Research Council Vision 21: FOSSIL FUEL OPTIONS FOR THE FUTURE

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Vision 21

FOSSIL FUEL OPTIONS FOR THE FUTURE

Committee on R&D Opportunities for Advanced Fossil-Fueled Energy Complexes

Board on Energy and Environmental Systems

Commission on Engineering and Technical Systems

National Research Council

NATIONAL ACADEMY PRESS

Washington, D.C.

National Academy Press
2101 Constitution Avenue, N.W.
Washington, D.C.20418

NOTICE: The project that is the subject of this report was approved by the Governing Board of the National Research Council, whose members are drawn from the councils of the National Academy of Sciences, the National Academy of Engineering, and the Institute of Medicine. The members of the committee responsible for the report were chosen for their special competences and with regard for appropriate balance.

This report and the study on which it is based were supported by Contract No. DE-FG01-98EE35047 (Task #4) from the U.S. Department of Energy. Any opinions, findings, conclusions, or recommendations expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the view of the organizations or agencies that provided support for the project.

ISBN 0-309-17185-7 e-pub ISBN

International Standard Book Number: 0-309-06979-3

Available in limited supply from:

Board on Energy and Environmental Systems

National Research Council

2101 Constitution Avenue, N.W.

HA-270

Washington, DC 20418

202-334-3344

Additional copies available for sale from: National Academy Press 2101 Constitution Avenue, N.W. Box 285 Washington, DC 20055 800-624-6242 or 202-334-3313 (in the Washington metropolitan area)
http://www.nap.edu

Copyright 2000 by the National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved.
Printed in the United States of America.
THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES

National Academy of Sciences

National Academy of Engineering

Institute of Medicine

National Research Council

The National Academy of Sciences is a private, nonprofit, self-perpetuating society of distinguished scholars engaged in scientific and engineering research, dedicated to the furtherance of science and technology and to their use for the general welfare. Upon the authority of the charter granted to it by the Congress in 1863, the Academy has a mandate that requires it to advise the federal government on scientific and technical matters. Dr. Bruce M. Alberts is president of the National Academy of Sciences.

The National Academy of Engineering was established in 1964, under the charter of the National Academy of Sciences, as a parallel organization of outstanding engineers. It is autonomous in its administration and in the selection of its members, sharing with the National Academy of Sciences the responsibility for advising the federal government. The National Academy of Engineering also sponsors engineering programs aimed at meeting national needs, encourages education and research, and recognizes the superior achievements of engineers. Dr. William A. Wulf is president of the National Academy of Engineering.

The Institute of Medicine was established in 1970 by the National Academy of Sciences to secure the services of eminent members of appropriate professions in the examination of policy matters pertaining to the health of the public. The Institute acts under the responsibility given to the National Academy of Sciences by its congressional charter to be an adviser to the federal government and, upon its own initiative, to identify issues of medical care, research, and education. Dr. Kenneth I. Shine is president of the Institute of Medicine.

The National Research Council was organized by the National Academy of Sciences in 1916 to associate the broad community of science and technology with the Academys purposes of furthering knowledge and advising the federal government. Functioning in accordance with general policies determined by the Academy, the Council has become the principal operating agency of both the National Academy of Sciences and the National Academy of Engineering in providing services to the government, the public, and the scientific and engineering communities. The Council is administered jointly by both Academies and the Institute of Medicine. Dr. Bruce M. Alberts and Dr. William A. Wulf are chairman and vice chairman, respectively, of the National Research Council.

COMMITTEE ON R&D OPPORTUNITIES FOR ADVANCED FOSSIL-FUELED ENERGY COMPLEXES

JAMES J. MARKOWSKY (chair),

NAE, American Electric Power (retired), Columbus, Ohio

1 National Academy of Engineering.

DAVID H. ARCHER,

NAE, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

RICHARD E. BALZHISER,

NAE, Electric Power Research Institute, Palo Alto, California

DONALD A. BRAND,

NAE, Pacific Gas and Electric (retired), Novato, California

RAMON ESPINO,

University of Virginia, Charlottesville

ENRIQUE IGLESIA,

University of California, Berkeley

EDWARD S. RUBIN,

Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

ROBERT H. SOCOLOW,

Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey

SAMUEL S. TAM,

Bechtel Technology and Consulting, San Francisco, California

CRAIG TEDMON, consultant,

Hayden Lake, Idaho

PHILIP W. WINKLER,

Air Products and Chemicals, Allentown, Pennsylvania

RONALD H. WOLK,

Wolk Integrated Technical Services, San Jose, California

JOHN M. WOOTTEN,

Peabody Group, Saint Louis, Missouri

Liaison from the Board on Energy and Environmental Systems

WILLIAM FULKERSON,

University of Tennessee, Knoxville

Project Staff

RICHARD CAMPBELL, program officer and study director

JAMES ZUCHETTO, board director

CRISTELLEN BANKS, project assistant (until October 31, 1999)

BOARD ON ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL SYSTEMS

ROBERT L. HIRSCH (chair),

Advanced Power Technologies, Inc., Washington, D.C.

RICHARD E. BALZHISER,

NAE, Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. (retired), Menlo Park, California

1 National Academy of Engineering.

EVERETT H. BECKNER,

Lockheed Martin Corporation, Albuquerque, New Mexico (until December 2, 1999)

WILLIAM L. FISHER,

NAE, University of Texas, Austin

CHRISTOPHER FLAVIN,

Worldwatch Institute, Washington, D.C.

WILLIAM FULKERSON,

Oak Ridge National Laboratory (retired) and University of Tennessee, Knoxville

EDWIN E. KINTNER,

NAE, GPU Nuclear Corporation (retired), Norwich, Vermont

GERALD L. KULCINSKI,

NAE, University of Wisconsin, Madison

EDWARD S. RUBIN,

Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

ROBERT W. SHAW JR.,

Aret Corporation, Center Harbor, New Hampshire

JACK SIEGEL,

Energy Resources International, Inc., Washington, D.C.

ROBERT SOCOLOW,

Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey

K. ANNE STREET, consultant,

Alexandria, Virginia

KATHLEEN C. TAYLOR,

NAE, General Motors Corporation, Warren, Michigan

JACK WHITE,

The Winslow Group, LLC, Fairfax, Virginia

JOHN J. WISE,

NAE, Mobil Research and Development Company (retired), Princeton, New Jersey

Liaisons from the Commission on Engineering and Technical Systems

RUTH M. DAVIS,

NAE, Pymatuning Group, Inc., Alexandria, Virginia

GAIL DE PLANQUE,

NAE,

consultant,

Potomac, Maryland

LAWRENCE T. PAPAY,

NAE, Science Applications International Corporation, San Diego, California

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