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John F. Cogan - Healthy, Wealthy, and Wise: 5 Steps to a Better Health Care System

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John F. Cogan Healthy, Wealthy, and Wise: 5 Steps to a Better Health Care System

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In this second edition of their 2005 work, the authors offer market-based alternatives to recent health care reforms that center on tax changes, insurance market changes, and the redesign of Medicare and Medicaid. They show that, by promoting cost- conscious behavior and competition in both private markets and government programs such as Medicare and Medicaid, we can slow the rate of growth of health care costs, expand access to high-quality health care, and slow down runaway spending.

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Healthy Wealthy and Wise The Hoover Institution gratefully acknowledges - photo 1

Healthy, Wealthy, and Wise

Picture 2 The Hoover Institution gratefully acknowledges

the following individuals and foundations

for their significant support of this publication:

J AN AND J IM B OCHNOWSKI
L YNDE AND H ARRY B RADLEY F OUNDATION
F OUNDATION FOR B ETTER H EALTH

Healthy, Wealthy,
and Wise

5 Steps to a Better Health Care System

SECOND EDITION

John F. Cogan,
R. Glenn Hubbard, and
Daniel P. Kessler

THE HOOVER INSTITUTION PRESS

Stanford University Stanford, California

and

THE AEI PRESS

Publisher for the American Enterprise Institute W ashington, D.C.

Picture 3T HE H OOVER I NSTITUTION ON W AR , R EVOLUTION AND P EACE , founded at Stanford University in 1919 by Herbert Hoover, who went on to become the thirty-first president of the United States, is an interdisciplinary research center for advanced study on domestic and international affairs.

www.hoover.org

Picture 4T HE A MERICAN E NTERPRISE I NSTITUTE is a community of scholars and supporters committed to expanding liberty, increasing individual opportunity, and strengthening free enterprise.

www.aei.org

Hoover Institution Press Publication No. 582

Hoover Institution at Leland Stanford Junior University,
Stanford, California 94305-6010

Copyright 2011 by the Board of Trustees of the Leland Stanford Junior University and the American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, Washington, D.C.

Copyright 2005 by the American Enterprise Institute for Public Policy Research, Washington, D.C. and the Hoover Institution, Stanford, California

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be used or reproduced in any manner whatsoever without permission in writing from the Hoover Institution and the American Enterprise Institute except in the case of brief quotations embodied in news articles, critical articles, or reviews. The views expressed in the publications of the Hoover Institution and American Enterprise Institute are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the staff, advisory panels, officers, or trustees of the Hoover Institution or the American Enterprise Institute.

First edition 2005
Second edition, first printing 2011

Manufactured in the United States of America

Cataloging-in-Publication Data is available from the Library of Congress.

ISBN-13: 978-0-8179-1064-8 (cloth. : alk. paper)

ISBN-13: 978-0-8179-1066-2 (e-book)

Contents

The Good: Innovation

The Bad: High Costs and a Large Uninsured Population

High Costs: No Easy Answer

The Uninsured Population: Many Causes, Uncertain Consequences

The Ugly: Backlash against Markets and the Misguided Policy Response

The Backlash against Markets

The Misguided Policy Response

Increase Individual Involvement in Health Care Decisions

In Private Markets, Reform Taxation of Health Spending

Increase Cost Sharing in Government Programs

Deregulate Insurance Markets and Redesign Medicare and Medicaid

Deregulate Insurance Markets

Redesign Medicare and Medicaid

Expand Provision of Health Information

Control Anticompetitive Behavior

Reform the Malpractice System

Study the Tax Preference for Nonprofits

Effects of Reforms on Health Care Spending

Tax Deductibility

Tax Credit

Insurance-Market Reform

Malpractice Reform

Summary and Discussion

Effects of Reforms on the Number of Uninsured

Tax Deductibility

Tax Credit

Insurance-Market and Malpractice Reforms

Summary and Discussion

Effects of Reforms on the Federal Budget

Tax Deductibility

Tax Credit

Insurance-Market and Malpractice Reforms

Subsidy for the Chronically Ill

Summary and Discussion

Distributional Impact

Preface to the Second Edition

When we published the first edition of this book in 2005, our country faced an important fork in the road in health policy: shift to more patient-centered health care, with incentives to control costs and promote innovation, or surrender to pressure for expansion of the role of government, with diminished incentives for both cost containment and innovation. With the passage of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (PPACA) in 2010, President Obama and the Congress chose the second path.

This new law represents a wrong turn. Unpopular with the American people in no small part because of the uncompromising legislative process through which it was enacted, the law put the crucial first step of cost containment and innovation in the back seat of a car driven by costly expansion of access within a system of flawed incentives. This approach will lead to higher health spending, greater government involvement in health care administration, and negative effects on the U.S. economic activity.

There is a better way.

Fundamental reform centering on tax changes, insurance-market changes, and the redesign of Medicare and Medicaid can slow the rate of growth of health care costs, expand access to high-quality health care, and slow down the runaway budget train. While we wish the PPACA had not been passed and we believe Congress should start over, we also present pathways toward sensible reform within the recently enacted law and, importantly, within the existing frameworks of the Medicare and Medicaid programs.

It remains the case that unintended consequences of a handful of public policies are in large part responsible for the problems of the health care system. These policies share a common feature, now amplified by the PPACA: they fail to promote the proper functioning of markets. In two areas in particular, tax policy and health insurance regulation, government policy continues to actively hinder the operation of markets for health services.

Since the books initial publication, we have conducted additional research on the consequences of tax policy for health spending and health insurance. We present that work, along with updated estimates of the impact of our proposal on the federal budget, the number of insured Americans, and health care spending.

Our closing point in the first edition is now more true after the passage of the 2010 law: the time to implement sensible reforms is now. Failure to do so will exacerbate the problems of wasteful cost growth and lack of insurance. It will inevitably increase the pressure for more public intervention, with adverse consequences for the quality of health care and economic growth more broadly.

John F. Cogan R. Glenn Hubbard Daniel P. Kessler

Acknowledgments

We are grateful to Joe Antos, Chris DeMuth, Doug Holtz-Eakin, Al Hubbard, Ben Lytle, Cindy Miller, Sam Nussbaum, Mark Pauly, Dhan Shapurji, Marc Sumerlin, and Janet Stokes Trantwein for helpful comments and discussions; to Evan Lodes for exceptional research assistance; and to Sam Thernstrom and Barbara Egbert for excellent editorial advice.

Introduction

Health care in the United States has made remarkable advances over the past forty years. Dramatic improvements in medical technology have expanded both the length and quality of life. In general, Americans are remarkably satisfied with the quality of their health care. Yet our health care system also has several well-known problems: high costs, significant numbers of people without insurance, and glaring gaps in quality and efficiency.

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