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Michael Wolff - Television Is the New Television: The Unexpected Triumph of Old Media in the Digital Age

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Television Is the New Television: The Unexpected Triumph of Old Media in the Digital Age: summary, description and annotation

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The closer the new media future gets, the further victory appears. --Michael Wolff
This is a book about what happens when the smartest people in the room decide something is inevitable, and yet it doesnt come to pass. What happens when omens have been misread, tea leaves misinterpreted, gurus embarrassed?
Twenty years after the Netscape IPO, ten years after the birth of YouTube, and five years after the first iPad, the Internet has still not destroyed the giants of old media. CBS, News Corp, Disney, Comcast, Time Warner, and their peers are still alive, kicking, and making big bucks. The New York Times still earns far more from print ads than from digital ads. Super Bowl commercials are more valuable than ever. Banner ad space on Yahoo can be bought for a relative pittance.
Sure, the darlings of new mediaBuzzfeed, HuffPo, Politico, and many morekeep attracting ever more traffic, in some cases truly phenomenal traffic. But as Michael Wolff shows in this fascinating and sure-to-be-controversial book, their buzz and venture financing rounds are based on assumptions that were wrong from the start, and become more wrong with each passing year. The consequences of this folly are far reaching for anyone who cares about good journalism, enjoys bingeing on Netflix, works with advertising, or plans to have a role in the future of the Internet.
Wolff set out to write an honest guide to the changing media landscape, based on a clear-eyed evaluation of who really makes money and how. His conclusion: The Web, social media, and various mobile platforms are not the new television. Television is the new television.
We all know that Google and Facebook are thriving by selling online adsbut theyre aggregators, not content creators. As major brands conclude that banner ads next to text basically dont work, the value of digital traffic to content-driven sites has plummeted, while the value of a television audience continues to rise. Even if millions now watch television on their phones via their Netflix, Hulu, and HBO GO apps, that doesnt change the balance of power. Television by any other name is the game everybody is trying to winincluding outlets like The Wall Street Journal that never used to play the game at all.
Drawing on his unparalleled sources in corner offices from Rockefeller Center to Beverly Hills, Wolff tells us whats really going on, which emperors have no clothes, and which supposed geniuses are due for a major fall. Whether he riles you or makes you cheer, his book will change how you think about media, technology, and the way we live now.

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PORTFOLIO PENGUIN An imprint of Penguin Random House LLC 375 Hudson Street - photo 1

PORTFOLIO / PENGUIN

An imprint of Penguin Random House LLC

375 Hudson Street

New York, New York 10014

penguin.com

Copyright 2015 by Michael Wolff Penguin supports copyright. Copyright fuels creativity, encourages diverse voices, promotes free speech, and creates a vibrant culture. Thank you for buying an authorized edition of this book and for complying with copyright laws by not reproducing, scanning, or distributing any part of it in any form without permission. You are supporting writers and allowing Penguin to continue to publish books for every reader.

ISBN 978-0-698-40552-3

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CONTENTS
PROLOGUE

Television Is the New Television The Unexpected Triumph of Old Media in the Digital Age - image 2

THE STORY. THE MUSIC. THE LAUGHS.

On November 14, 2007, Kevin Morris, a forty-four-year-old entertainment lawyer, given to penumbral debates about modern culture and the state of media, and with a roster of major Hollywood clients, convened a daylong meeting in his law firms Los Angeles offices in the Creative Artists Agency building on the Avenue of the Stars.

A year after Google bought YouTube, Morris was wrestling with the increasingly fraught relationship between the traditional media business, which almost all of his clients were part of, and the new, aggressive posture of digital media, located 350 miles north, and a world away, in Silicon Valley. Morris, aware as everybody was of what had happened to the music industry, saw this as something of an emergency moment.

At the same time, Morris felt that logically both sides had a set of common interests, and in the end certainly needed a working understanding.

His collegial idea was to assemble interested players on both sides to discuss this shared ground, because, as he said optimistically in his invitation: Its about the story. Its about the music. Its about the laughs.

On the old media side, you had Brad Grey, the chairman of Paramount Pictures and producer of The Sopranos; Doug Herzog, who had variously run Comedy Central, MTV, and Fox Television; Kevin Reilly, a senior executive at NBC and Fox; Anthony Zuiker, the creator of CSI; Matt Stone, the cocreator and coproducer of South Park; LL Cool J, the actor and rapper; Michael Mann, the film director; Donny Deutsch, the advertising executive and CNBC personality; and Scarlett Johansson, John Cusack, and Matthew McConaughey, the actors.

No matter how successfulperhaps as a particular result of their successeach reflected the anxieties of an industry that was ever more frequently being told it was threatened on all fronts and, culturally speaking, totally yesterday.

On the digital side, you had a less august but significantly more cocky group: Jordon Hoffner of YouTube; Kurt Abrahamsen and Adam Stewart from Google in Los Angeles (the home office had passed on the invitation); Mark Kvamme of the venture capital firm Sequoia Capital, which had backed the Web series Funny or Die; and Marc Andreessen, the creator of Netscape, on his way to being among the most significant and influential venture capital figures in Silicon Valley

The imbalance was notable and uncomfortable for everyone or at least for everyone on the old media side. There was, even, a kind of slack-jawed responseperhaps not least of all because Hollywood power is not used to being challengedto the certainty, impatience, and what rather seemed like the advanced intelligence of the tech side. Very quickly it all seemed something like a math class mixing slow students with advanced ones.

Morris began the day gamely recalling his college economics and Joseph Schumpeter and creative destruction and the need to come to terms with how great transformations happenhow to manage destruction. He drew a triangle on a whiteboard, with one point for tech, one point for talent, one point for media companies. We are all in this together, he said confidently.

When that did not get an obvious assent, he changed it into a kind of exhortation: Are we all in this together?

Well, that depends, responded Andreessen finally.

The technology view was in fact quite the opposite of dependence or cooperation or much meeting of the minds. It was rather that the new digital media world had unlocked media secrets: user-generated content, and new types of functionality, and a view of media that embraced remarkable new efficiency and could now only look at the traditional media discipline as hopelessly inefficient.

Kvamme, sure that Funny or Die would trump in its over-the-top distribution and bare-bones economics the $2-million-an-episode South Park with its cumbersome and costly ViacomComedy Central relationship (the South Park creators had just negotiated a 50/50 deal to split digital profits with Viacom, which had committed to handling advertising), got up and went to the whiteboard and brusquely erased media companies on the triangle, replacing it with just consumeremphasizing this new, disintermediated world.

The Google guys were even more direct, pointing out, with some impatience, that there was quite some lack of understanding in the room about the nature of the revolution that was under way.

It was Andreessen, whose word alone would come nearly to have the power to create tech success, who was perhaps most daunting and in the end most frighteningsignaling how far apart the two sides were, and how precarious the television business suddenly seemed. Andreessens lack of regard seemed all the more confounding because he kept expressing his own personal enthusiasm for television, telling everyone what was on his list to watch in the coming weeks. And yet that sentiment was divorced from the future as he saw it and as he described the complicated new terms and relationships in a world of digital media.

Finally, to what had become from Morris a kind of pleaAre we in this together?Andreessen replied, Excuse me. We are against each other. This is a zero-sum game.

We all wanted to run away, recalled Matt Stone in 2014.

A funny thing happened over the intervening years, though. A strange schism developed. While everywhere there was the belief, near absolute, that the future of media lay with some ever-transforming technology, twenty years into this revolution, the value of traditional media, even with big losses in print and music, dramatically grew, with an Ernst & Young study in 2014 finding traditional media and entertainment companies increasing their lead as one of the most profitable industries, with television margins as high as almost 50 percent.

And yet, at the same time, there was the unquestioned certainty that technology had fundamentally altered media behavior and scaleMark Zuckerberg would say in late 2014 that you cant really build a business with fewer than a billion usersand hence the nature of media leadership and economics.

In fact, Matt Stones South Park, continuing its remarkable seventeen-year run on Comedy Central, recently made a $30 million yearly digital deal with Hulu, while Funny or Die languished.

Despite all this, the belief continues, cultlike, that digital media will soon and decisively prevail.

BLINDED BY THE NEW Its not hard to make a case for the newand for overthrowing - photo 3
BLINDED BY THE NEW

Its not hard to make a case for the newand for overthrowing the old. There is, for instance, quite obviously, irresistibly really, that totem of the old media establishment, the fair-haired boy of traditionalism, CBS chairman and CEO Les Moonves, with his singular passion and talent for old-fashioned American television, no matter that it seemed otherwise consigned to the dust heap.

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