The World Bank - East Asia: The Road to Recovery (World Bank Publication)
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East Asia: The Road to Recovery (World Bank Publication)
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East Asia: The Road to Recovery carefully analyzes the events that led to the current economic crisis in East Asia, the tremendous effects the crisis has had on the Asian economies, and prospects for the regions future. Chapters in the book cover the regions trade and competitiveness; the financial sector at the center of the crisis; the corporate sectors financial performance and governance; the social crisis resulting from the financial crash; protection of the environment as well as the people; and policies for sustainable recovery. This book not only discusses how this catastrophe could ever have taken place, but more importantly, what can be done to ensure that it wont happen again.
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Copyright 1998 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/THE WORLD BANK 1818 H Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20433
All rights reserve Manufactured in the United States of America First printing September 1998
The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this publication and accepts no responsibility whatsoever for any consequence of their use. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this volume do not imply on the part of the World Bank Group any judgment on the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries.
The material in this publication is copyrighted. Requests for permission to reproduce portions of it should be sent to the Office of the Publisher at the address shown in the copyright notice above. The World Bank encourages dissemination of its work and will normally give permission promptly and, when the reproduction is for noncommercial purposes, without asking a fee. Permission to copy portions for classroom use is granted through the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc., Suite 910, 222 Rosewood Dr., Danvers, Massachusetts 01923, U.S.A.
Cover design by The Magazine Group Cover photo by Curt Carnemark/World Bank
ISBN 0-8213-4299-1
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data has been applied for.
Page iii
Contents
Abbreviations and Acronyms
v
Acknowledgements
vii
Foreword
ix
Executive Summary
xiii
Chapter 1 East Asian Crisis: An Overview
1
Was the miracle real?
2
Why did East Asia falter?
3
Emergence of structural vulnerability
4
Trigger
9
Contagion
10
From currency and financial crisis to economic and social crisis
12
Conclusions and organization of this study
16
Chapter 2 Trade and Competition
19
Causes of the 1996 export slowdown
20
Cyclical or structural?
22
Competition from China and other low-cost exporters
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