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Long Mo - China’s Demographic Dilemma of Population Aging and Population Control

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Long Mo China’s Demographic Dilemma of Population Aging and Population Control
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This book is the first systematic quantitative assessment of the dual difficulties of mitigating the aging of the Chinese population at the same time as controlling the overall size of the population. It argues that appropriately and gradually relaxing birth control policies in China can effectively mitigate the enormous economic pressure China will face from the aging of the population and simultaneously keep the size of the population within acceptable limits, thus realizing a strategic equilibrium between the pressures exerted by the size and aging of the population. This research uses an innovative quantitative indicator: the Aging and Economic Coordination Indicator (AECI) to measure macroeconomic pressure exerted by the aging of the population, and it is the first to use this quantitative method to systematically and quantitatively assess the degree and trends of, as well as controls over, economic pressure resulted the aging of the Chinese population over the time span 1980 to 2050.

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Contents
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Research Series on the Chinese Dream and Chinas Development Path Series - photo 1
Research Series on the Chinese Dream and Chinas Development Path
Series Editors
Li Yang
Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing, China
Li Peilin
Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing, China

Project Director

Xie Shouguang, President, Social Sciences Academic Press

Academic Advisors

Cai Fang, Gao Peiyong, Li Lin, Li Qiang, Ma Huaide, Pan Jiahua, Pei Changhong, Qi Ye, Wang Lei, Wang Ming, Zhang Yuyan, Zheng Yongnian, Zhou Hong

Drawing on a large body of empirical studies done over the last two decades, this Series provides its readers with in-depth analyses of the past and present and forecasts for the future course of Chinas development. It contains the latest research results made by members of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences. This series is an invaluable companion to every researcher who is trying to gain a deeper understanding of the development model, path and experience unique to China. Thanks to the adoption of Socialism with Chinese characteristics, and the implementation of comprehensive reform and opening-up, China has made tremendous achievements in areas such as political reform, economic development, and social construction, and is making great strides towards the realization of the Chinese dream of national rejuvenation. In addition to presenting a detailed account of many of these achievements, the authors also discuss what lessons other countries can learn from Chinas experience.

More information about this series at http://www.springer.com/series/13571

Long Mo and Yuhong Wei
Chinas Demographic Dilemma and Potential Solutions
Population Aging and Population Control
Long Mo Guangxi Province Institute of Population Nanning Guangxi China - photo 2
Long Mo Guangxi Province Institute of Population Nanning Guangxi China - photo 3
Long Mo
Guangxi Province Institute of Population, Nanning, Guangxi, China
Yuhong Wei
Guangxi Province Institute of Population, Nanning, Guangxi, China
Translated by Evan Harold Villarrubia
ISSN 2363-6866 e-ISSN 2363-6874
Research Series on the Chinese Dream and Chinas Development Path
ISBN 978-981-10-1490-1 e-ISBN 978-981-10-1491-8
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-10-1491-8

Jointly published with Social Sciences Academic Press

The print edition is not for sale in China (Mainland). Customers from China (Mainland) please order the print book from: Social Sciences Academic Press.

Sponsored by the Chinese Fund for the Humanities and Social Sciences
Social Sciences Academic Press 2020
This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publishers, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed.
The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use.
The publishers, the authors, and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publishers nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publishers remain neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

This Springer imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

The registered company address is: 152 Beach Road, #21-01/04 Gateway East, Singapore 189721, Singapore

Series Preface

Since Chinas reform and opening began in 1978, the country has come a long way on the path of Socialism with Chinese characteristics, under the leadership of the Communist Party of China. Over 30 years of reform, efforts and sustained spectacular economic growth have turned China into the worlds second largest economy, and wrought many profound changes in the Chinese society. These historically significant developments have been garnering increasing attention from scholars, governments, and the general public alike around the world since the 1990s, when the newest wave of China studies began to gather steam. Some of the hottest topics have included the so-called China miracle, Chinese phenomenon, Chinese experience, Chinese path, and the Chinese model. Homegrown researchers have soon followed suit. Already hugely productive, this vibrant field is putting out a large number of books each year, with Social Sciences Academic Press alone having published hundreds of titles on a wide range of subjects.

Because most of these books have been written and published in Chinese, however, readership has been limited outside Chinaeven among many who study Chinafor whom English is still the lingua franca. This language barrier has been an impediment to efforts by academia, business communities, and policy-makers in other countries to form a thorough understanding of contemporary China, of what is distinct about Chinas past and present may mean not only for her future but also for the future of the world. The need to remove such an impediment is both real and urgent, and theResearch Series on the Chinese Dream and Chinas Development Pathis my answer to the call.

This series features some of the most notable achievements from the last 20 years by scholars in China in a variety of research topics related to reform and opening. They include both theoretical explorations and empirical studies, and cover economy, society, politics, law, culture, and ecology, the six areas in which reform and opening policies have had the deepest impact and farthest-reaching consequences for the country. Authors for the series have also tried to articulate their visions of the Chinese Dream and how the country can realize it in these fields and beyond.

All of the editors and authors for theResearch Series on the Chinese Dream and Chinas Development Pathare both longtime students of reform and opening and recognized authorities in their respective academic fields. Their credentials and expertise lend credibility to these books, each of which having been subject to a rigorous peer review process for inclusion in the series. As part of the Reform and Development Program under the State Administration of Press, Publication, Radio, Film, and Television of the Peoples Republic of China, the series is published by Springer, a Germany-based academic publisher of international repute, and distributed overseas. I am confident that it will help fill a lacuna in studies of China in the era of reform and opening.

Xie Shouguang
Introduction
Background, Significance, and Methods of Research
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