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Robert Owen Freedman - The Middle East after Iraqs invasion of Kuwait

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Freedman has collected an array of first-rate political analysts with differing perspectives and areas of expertise. . . . The result is a work of uniformly high quality . . . readable and up to date.--Jerrold D. Green, University of Arizona Center for Middle East Studies We may not live to see the end of the ripple effect of Iraqs invasion of Kuwait in August 1990 and the ensuing Gulf War. Meanwhile, this collection is one of the first systematic attempts to investigate the implications of that invasion for the significant political actors, in the Middle East and beyond. From varied perspectives and fields of interest, well-respected political scientists focus on the military dynamics of the war and its political effects on the Persian Gulf, on the Arab-Israeli zone of conflict, and on the superpowers. Of particular interest to many readers will be the analysis of both U.S. military and diplomatic strategy during the war and U.S. efforts to convene the Arab-Israeli peace talks after the war; Soviet President Mikhail Gorbachevs attempts to follow a minimax strategy under which he sought a minimum level of cooperation with the United States while retaining maximum influence in Iraq; the debate in Japan about whether to get involved in the Allied war effort; and the reasons for Palestinian support of Iraq during the war. Other subjects analyzed in the book include Saddam Husseins postwar strategy for staying in power; Jordans effort to walk a narrow tightrope between the Allies and Iraq; Syrian, Iranian, and Egyptian exploitation of the war to improve their regional positions; and the changes in Israel and Saudi Arabia precipitated by the war. Robert O. Freedman is Peggy Meyerhoff Pearlstone Professor of Political Science and dean of the School of Graduate Studies at Baltimore Hebrew University. He is the editor of Intifada: Its Impact on Israel, the Arab World, and the Superpowers (UPF, 1991) and a prolific author and frequent lecturer on the Middle East. Contents Preface Introduction Part I: The Military and Political Dynamics of the Gulf War The Persian Gulf War: A Political-Military Assessment, by Bard E. ONeill and Ilana Kass Part II: The Policy of External Powers U.S. Policy toward the Middle East after Iraqs Invasion of Kuwait, by Robert E. Hunter Moscow and the Iraqi Invasion of Kuwait, by Robert O. Freedman Fire on the Other Side of the River: Japan and the Persian Gulf War, by Eugene Brown Part III: The Gulf Region Iraq after the Invasion of Kuwait, by Laurie Mylroie Iran from the August 1988 Cease-fire to the April 1992 Majlis Elections, by Shireen T. Hunter Saudi Arabia: Desert Storm and After, by F. Gregory Gause, III Part IV: The Eastern Mediterranean Israel, the Gulf War, and Its Aftermath, by Marvin Feuerwerger The Palestinians and the Iraqi Invasion of Kuwait, by Helena Cobban Syria since 1988: From Crisis to Opportunity, by Alasdair Drysdale Jordanian Policy from the Intifada to the Madrid Peace Conference, by Adam Garfinkle Unipolarity and Egyptian Hegemony in the Middle East, by Louis Cantori

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title The Middle East After Iraqs Invasion of Kuwait author - photo 1

title:The Middle East After Iraq's Invasion of Kuwait
author:Freedman, Robert Owen.
publisher:University Press of Florida
isbn10 | asin:0813012147
print isbn13:9780813012148
ebook isbn13:9780813019543
language:English
subjectMiddle East--Politics and government--1979-
publication date:1993
lcc:DS63.1.M4844 1993eb
ddc:939.4
subject:Middle East--Politics and government--1979-
Page iii
The Middle East after Iraq's Invasion of Kuwait
Edited by Robert O. Freedman
University Press of Florida
GAINESVILLE / TALLAHASSEE / TAMPA / BOCA RATON
PENSACOLA / ORLANDO / MIAMI / JACKSONVILLE
Page iv
Copyright 1993 by the Board of Regents of the State of Florida
Printed in the United States of America on acid-free paper
All rights reserved
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
The Middle East after Iraq's invasion of Kuwait / edited by Robert O.
Freedman.
p. cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN 0813012147 (alk. paper). ISBN 0813012155 (pbk.:
alk. paper)
1. Middle EastPolitics and government1979 I. Freedman,
Robert Owen.
DS63.1.M4844 1993 9318252
CIP
The University Press of Florida is the scholarly publishing agency for the State University System of Florida, comprised of Florida A & M University, Florida Atlantic University, Florida International University, Florida State University, University of Central Florida, University of Florida, University of North Florida, University of South Florida, and University of West Florida.
University Press of Florida
15 Northwest 15th Street
Gainesville, FL 32611
Page v
To my secretary,
ELISE BARON,
for her many years of dedicated service
Page vii
CONTENTS
Preface
ix
Introduction
Robert O. Freedman
1
One. The Military and Political Dynamics of the Gulf War
1. The Persian Gulf War. A Political-Military Assessment
Bard E. O'Neill and Ilana Kass
17
Two. The Policy of External Powers
2. U.S. Policy toward the Middle East after Iraq's Invasion of Kuwait
Robert E. Hunter
59
3. Moscow and the Iraqi Invasion of Kuwait
Robert O. Freedman
74
4. Fire on the Other Side of the River: Japan and the Persian Gulf War
Eugene Brown
137
Three. The Gulf Region
5. Iraq after Its Invasion of Kuwait
Laurie Mylroie
167
6. Iran from the August 1988 Cease-fire to the April 1992 Majlis Election
Shireen T. Hunter
183
7. Saudi Arabia: Desert Storm and After
F. Gregory Gause, III
207

Page viii
Four. The Eastern Mediterranean
8. Israel, the Gulf War, and Its Aftermath
Marvin Feuerwerger
237
9. The Palestinians and the Iraqi Invasion of Kuwait
Helena Cobban
253
10. Syria since 1988: From Crisis to Opportunity
Alasdair Drysdale
276
11. Jordanian Policy from the Intifada to the Madrid Peace Conference
Adam Garfinkle
297
12. Unipolarity and Egyptian Hegemony in the Middle East
Louis Cantori
335
Contributors
359
Bibliography
361
Index
369

Page ix
PREFACE
The Middle East has long been one of the most volatile regions on the globe. Wars, coups d'tat, rapid shifts in alliances and alignments, numerous intra-Arab, intrastate, and regional conflicts, and constant intervention by the superpowers have wracked the region since the first Arab-Israeli war in 1948. In an effort to increase public understanding of this complex region, the Center for the Study of Israel and the Contemporary Middle East of Baltimore Hebrew University was founded in 1977 and has held a series of conferences bringing together Middle Eastern specialists from various perspectives to analyze and discuss the region.
The first conference, held in 1978, examined the impact of the Arab-Israeli conflict on the Middle East, and the papers were later published as World Politics and the Arab-Israeli Conflict, edited by Robert O. Freedman (New York: Pergamon, 1979). The second conference, held in 1979 (two years into the administration of Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin), made a preliminary analysis of the dynamics of the Begin regime. Following the Israeli election of 1981, the papers were updated and published as Israel in the Begin Era, edited by Robert O. Freedman (New York: Praeger, 1982). The third conference, which took place in 1982, dealt with Middle Eastern developments in the period between the Camp David agreements of 1978 and the Israeli invasion of Lebanon in 1982. These papers were published as
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