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Brown Bridget - Reaching across the waters: facing the risks of cooperation in international waters

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Brown Bridget Reaching across the waters: facing the risks of cooperation in international waters
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Foreword; About the Authors; Acknowledgments; Abbreviations; Overview; Perceived Risk; Figures Framework:; O.1 Framework: Risks and Opportunities to Cooperation; Tables; O.1 Five Categories of Risk; Enhancing Cooperation; O.2 Seven Categories of Risk Reduction; Key Messages; Chapter 1 Introduction and Approach; Justification; Background; Assessing Risk; 1.1 Five Categories of Risk; Reducing Risk and Building Opportunity; Role of Third Parties; A New Way of Looking at a Cooperation Decision; Assumptions; 1.1 Framework: Risks and Opportunities to Cooperation; Cases and Tipping Points.;This volume reviews the experience of cooperation in five international river basins, focusing on the perceptions of risks and opportunities by decision makers in countries responding to a specific prospect of cooperation. For each basin, the analysis centered on tipping points, or periods in time when policymakers in the countries involved were faced with a critical decision concerning water cooperation. This study was inspired, in part, by the intensified involvement of the World Bank and development partners in shared international waters, resulting in a growing interest to better underst.

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Reaching across the Waters Reaching across the Waters Facing the Risks of - photo 1

Reaching across the Waters

Reaching across the Waters

Facing the Risks of Cooperation in International Waters

Ashok Subramanian

Bridget Brown

Aaron Wolf

2012 International Bank for Reconstruction and DevelopmentThe World Bank 1818 - photo 2

2012 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development/The World Bank

1818 H Street NW

Washington DC 20433

Telephone: 202-473-1000

Internet: www.worldbank.org

Some rights reserved

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This work is a product of the staff of The World Bank with external contributions. Note that The World Bank does not necessarily own each component of the content included in the work. The World Bank therefore does not warrant that the use of the content contained in the work will not infringe on the rights of third parties. The risk of claims resulting from such infringement rests solely with you.

The findings, interpretations, and conclusions expressed in this work do not necessarily reflect the views of The World Bank, its Board of Executive Directors, or the governments they represent. The World Bank does not guarantee the accuracy of the data included in this work. The boundaries, colors, denominations, and other information shown on any map in this work do not imply any judgment on the part of The World Bank concerning the legal status of any territory or the endorsement or acceptance of such boundaries.

Nothing herein shall constitute or be considered to be a limitation upon or waiver of the privileges and immunities of The World Bank, all of which are specifically reserved.

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This work is available under the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Unported license (CC BY 3.0) http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0. Under the Creative Commons Attribution license, you are free to copy, distribute, transmit, and adapt this work, including for commercial purposes, under the following conditions:

AttributionPlease cite the work as follows: Subramanian, Ashok, Bridget Brown, and Aaron Wolf. 2012. Reaching across the Waters: Facing the Risks of Cooperation in International Waters. Washington, DC: World Bank. DOI. 10.1596/978-0-8213-9594-3 License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 3.0

TranslationsIf you create a translation of this work, please add the following disclaimer along with the attribution: This translation was not created by The World Bank and should not be considered an official World Bank translation. The World Bank shall not be liable for any content or error in this translation.

All queries on rights and licenses should be addressed to the Office of the Publisher, The World Bank, 1818 H Street NW, Washington, DC 20433, USA; fax: 202-522-2625; e-mail: .

ISBN (paper): 978-0-8213-9594-3

ISBN (electronic): 978-0-8213-9595-0

DOI (print): 10.1596/978-0-8213-9594-3

Cover photo: Leonard Abrams

Cover design: Naylor Design, Washington, D.C.

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Subramanian, Ashok, 1950

Reaching across the waters : facing the risks of cooperation in international waters / Ashok Subramanian, Bridget Brown, and Aaron Wolf.

p. cm.

Includes bibliographical references.

ISBN 978-0-8213-9594-3 ISBN 978-0-8213-9595-0 (electronic)

1. Water-supplyManagementInternational cooperation. 2. Water resources developmentInternational cooperation. I. Brown, Bridget. II. Wolf, Aaron T. III. Title.

HD1691.S823 2012

333.91dc23

2012017466

Contents
Foreword
About the Authors
Acknowledgments
Abbreviations

Overview

Perceived Risk

Enhancing Cooperation

Key Messages

Chapter 1 Introduction and Approach

Justification

Background

Assessing Risk

Reducing Risk and Building Opportunity

Role of Third Parties

A New Way of Looking at a Cooperation Decision

Assumptions

Cases and Tipping Points

Objectives

Notes

References

Chapter 2 Application of the Framework

Introduction of the Cases and Context

Analysis of Cases

Eastern Nile, 19992004

Ganges, 199498

Niger, 19982004

Syr Darya, 19962002

Zambezi, 200004

Summary

Notes

References

Chapter 3 Understanding Risk

The Five Categories of Risk

Core versus Operational Risks

Notes

References

Chapter 4 Enhancing Cooperation

Reducing Risk

Building Opportunity

Various Paths to Cooperation

Notes

References

Chapter 5 Pointers for Partners

Specific Partner Actions

Additional Considerations

Systematic, Iterative Action

Notes

References

Chapter 6 Conclusion: Lessons Learned

On Risk and Risk Reduction

On Opportunity and Opportunity Enhancement

On Supporting Cooperation

Reference

Appendix A Global Streams of Influence

Introduction

International Water Law: The Legal Stream

The Global Environmental MovementThe Environment Stream

The Inception and Institutionalization of IWRMThe IWRM Stream

Conclusion

Notes

References

Maps

2.1 The Eastern Nile River Basin

2.2 The Ganges River Basin

2.3 The Niger River Basin

2.4 The Syr Darya River Basin

2.5 The Zambezi River Basin

Figures Framework:

O.1 Framework: Risks and Opportunities to Cooperation

1.1 Framework: Risks and Opportunities to Cooperation

2.1 Summary of Key Observations

4.1 Matching Risk Reduction Strategies to Risks

4.2 Paths to Cooperation

5.1 Timeline of Suggested Partner Actions

6.1 Lessons Learned

A.1 Timeline of Events along the Three Streams of Influence

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