Hans Joachim Joachim Schellnhuber - Climate Change as a Security Risk

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Climate Change as a Security Risk

Members of the German Advisory Council on Global Change (WBGU)

(as of 11 May 2007)

Prof Dr Renate Schubert (chair), Economist

Director of the Institute for Environmental Decisions, ETH Zurich (Switzerland)

Prof Dr Hans Joachim Schellnhuber CBE (vice chair), Physicist

Director of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research and visiting professor at Oxford University, UK

Prof Dr Nina Buchmann, Ecologist

Professor of Grassland Science, Institute of Plant Sciences, ETH Zurich (Switzerland)

Prof Dr Astrid Epiney, Lawyer

Professor of International Law, European Law and Swiss Public Law, Universit de Fribourg (Switzerland)

Dr Rainer Griehammer, Chemist

Director of the Institute for Applied Ecology, Freiburg/Breisgau

Prof Dr Margareta E. Kulessa, Economist

Professor of International Economics, University of Applied Science, Mainz

Prof Dr Dirk Messner, Political Scientist

Director of the German Development Institute, Bonn

Prof Dr Stefan Rahmstorf, Physicist

Professor for Physics of the Oceans at Potsdam University and head of the Climate System Department at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research

Prof Dr Jrgen Schmid, Aerospace Engineer

Professor at Kassel University, Chairman of the Executive Board of the Institute for Solar Energy Technology

WBGU is an independent, scientific advisory body to the German Federal Government set up in 1992 in the run-up to the Rio Earth Summit. The Council has nine members, appointed for a term of four years by the federal cabinet. The Council is supported by an interministerial committee of the federal government comprising representatives of all ministries and of the federal chancellery. The Councils principal task is to provide scientifically-based policy advice on global change issues to the German Federal Government.

The Council:

analyses global environment and development problems and reports on these,

reviews and evaluates national and international research in the field of global change,

provides early warning of new issue areas,

identifies gaps in research and initiates new research,

monitors and assesses national and international policies for sustainable development,

elaborates recommendations for action, and

raises public awareness and heightens the media profile of global change issues.

WBGU publishes flagship reports every two years, making its own choice of focal themes. In addition, the German government can commission the Council to prepare special reports and policy papers.

For more information please visit www.wbgu.de

German Advisory Council on Global Change

Climate Change as a
Security Risk

German Advisory Council on Global Change (WBGU)
Secretariat
Reichpietschufer 60-62, 8th Floor
D-10785 Berlin, Germany

German edition published in 2007, entitled
Welt im Wandel: Sicherheitsrisiko Klimawandel
Springer-Verlag Berlin, Heidelberg, New York, 2008
ISBN 978-3-540-73247-1

First published by Earthscan in the UK and USA in 2008

For a full list of publications please contact:
Earthscan
2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN
711 Third Avenue, New York, NY 10017

Earthscan is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business

Copyright German Advisory Council on Global Change, 2008. Published by Taylor & Francis.

All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilised in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers.

Notices
Practitioners and researchers must always rely on their own experience and knowledge in evaluating and using any information, methods, compounds, or experiments described herein. In using such information or methods they should be mindful of their own safety and the safety of others, including parties for whom they have a professional responsibility.

Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe.

ISBN 978-1-84407-536-2 (hbk)

Translation by Christopher Hay, Seeheim-Jugenheim.
Pictures for cover design with kind permission of The Press and Information Office of the Federal Government Germany except Rain meter (plakboek) and Speed Limit 35 (Greg Hounslow).

A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Wissenschaftlicher Beirat der Bundesregierung Globale Umweltvernderungen (Germany)

Climate Change as a Security Risk / German Advisory Council on Global Change.

p. cm.

Includes bibliographical references (p. ).

ISBN 978-1-84407-536-2

1. Environmental Conflicts--Environmental Security--Destablilisation of Societies. 2. Climate Change--Natural Disasters--Food Security--Degradation of Freshwater Resources--Migration. 3. Fragile States--Conflict Research--Good Governance--Conflict Prevention. I. Title

QH77.G3 W57 2001

333.95160943dc21

2001023313

Council Staff and Acknowledgments

Scientific Staff at the Secretariat

Prof Dr Meinhard Schulz-Baldes
(Secretary-General)

Dr Carsten Loose
(Deputy Secretary-General)

Dr Karin Boschert (since 01.06.2006)

Dr Oliver Deke (since 17.10.2005)

Dipl Umweltwiss Tim Hasler

Dipl Pol Lena Kempmann (until 31.05.2006)

Dr Nina V Michaelis

Dr Benno Pilardeaux

(Media and Public Relations)

Dr Astrid Schulz

Administration, Editorial work and Secretariat

Vesna Karic-Fazlic (Accountant)

Martina Schneider-Kremer, M A (Editorial work)

Margot Wei (Secretariat)

Scientific Staff to the Council Members

Dipl Phys J ochen Bard (Insitute for Solar Energy Technology, ISET Kassel, since 01.03.2006)

Steffen Bauer, MA (German Development Institute, DIE Bonn, since 01.01.2006)

Dr Gregor Betz (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, PIK, until 30.09.2005)

Dipl Volksw Julia E Blasch (Institute for Environmental Decisions, ETH Zurich, Switzerland, since 16.10.2006)

Dipl-Phys Gregor Czisch (Insitute for Solar Energy Technology, ISET Kassel, until 28.02.2006)

Dr Georg Feulner (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, PIK)

Dr Monika Heupel (German Development Institute, DIE Bonn, until 15.10.2005)

Dipl Volksw Kristin Hoffmann (Institute for Environmental Decisions, ETH Zurich, Switzerland, until 16.10.2006)

Dr Susanne Kadner (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, PIK, 10.01.2006 until 30.04.2006)

Dr Sabina Keller (ETH Zurich, Switzerland)

Dipl Geogr Andreas Manhart (Institute for Applied Ecology, Freiburg)

Dr Franziska Matthies (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, PIK, until 30.09.2005)

Dipl Volksw Markus Ohndorf (ETH Zurich, Switzerland)

Dr Martin Scheyli (Universitt F ribourg, Switzer land)

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