Heikki Patomäki - The Political Economy of Global Security: War, Future Crises and Changes in Global Governance

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The Political Economy of Global Security

What are the possibilities for and conditions of global security in the twenty-first century?

This book provides an innovative study of future wars, crises and transformations of the global political economy. It brings together economic theory, political economy, peace and conflict research, philosophy and historical analogy to explore alternatives for the future.

Patomki develops a bold, original and thought-provoking political economy analysis of the late twentieth-century neo-liberalisation and globalisation and their real effects, which he describes as a twenty-first-century version of imperialism. In order for us to understand global security and to anticipate the potential threats and crises, he argues that a holistic understanding and explanation of history is necessary and demonstrates that a systematic causal analysis of structures and processes is required. Putting this theory into practice, Patomki constructs a comparative explanatory model that traces the rise of imperialism in the late nineteenth century, culminating in the First World War. He argues that even a partial return to nineteenth-century ideals and practices is very likely to be highly counterproductive in the twenty-first century world and could become a recipe for a major global catastrophe.

This book will be of interest to students and scholars of international relations, globalisation studies, politics, economics and security studies.

Heikki Patomki is Professor of International Relations at the University of Helsinki, Finland, as well as Research Professor of Globalisation and Global Institutions at RMIT University, Melbourne, Australia.

Rethinking Globalizations

Edited by Barry Gills, University of Newcastle, UK

This series is designed to break new ground in the literature on globalization and its academic and popular understanding. Rather than perpetuating or simply reacting to the economic understanding of globalization, this series seeks to capture the term and broaden its meaning to encompass a wide range of issues and disciplines and convey a sense of alternative possibilities for the future.

1. Whither Globalization?

The vortex of knowledge and globalization

James H. Mittelman

2. Globalization and Global History

Edited by Barry K. Gills and William R. Thompson

3. Rethinking Civilization

Communication and terror in the global village

Majid Tehranian

4. Globalisation and Contestation

The new great counter-movement

Ronaldo Munck

5. Global Activism

Ruth Reitan

6. Globalization, the City and Civil Society in Pacific Asia

Edited by Mike Douglass, K.C. Ho and Giok Ling Ooi

7. Challenging Euro-Americas Politics of Identity

The return of the native

Jorge Luis Andrade Fernandes

8. The Global Politics of Globalization

Empire vs Cosmopolis

Barry K. Gills

9. The Globalization of Environmental Crisis

Jan Oosthoek

10. Globalization as Evolutionary Process

Modeling global change

Edited by Geroge Modelski, Tessaleno Devezas and William R. Thompson

11. The Political Economy of Global Security

War, future crises and changes in global governance

Heikki Patomki

The Political Economy of Global Security

War, future crises and changes in global governance

Heikki Patomki

LONDON AND NEW YORK

First published 2008
by Routledge
2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN

Simultaneously published in the USA and Canada
by Routledge
270 Madison Ave, New York, NY 10016

Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business

This edition published in the Taylor & Francis e-Library, 2007.

To purchase your own copy of this or any of Taylor & Francis or Routledges collection of thousands of eBooks please go to www.eBookstore.tandf.co.uk.

2008 Heikki Patomki

All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilized in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers.

British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data
A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library

Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data
Patomki, Heikki.
The political economy of global security : war, future crises and changes in global governance/Heikki Patomki
p. cm.(Rethinking globalizations; 11)
Includes bibliographical references and index.
ISBN 9780415416726 (hardback : alk. paper)
ISBN 9780203937464 (e-book) 1. War. 2. Security, International. 3. International relationsForecasting. I. Title.
J26385.P38 2008
355'.033dc22 2007026725

ISBN13: 978-1-134-11623-2 ePub ISBN

ISBN 10: 0-415-41672-8 (hbk)

ISBN 10: 0-203-93746-5 (ebk)

ISBN 13: 978-0-415-41672-6 (hbk)

ISBN 13: 978-0-203-93746-4 (ebk)

Contents

Figures and tables

Figures

4.1	Dynamics of international violence: the model of Choucri and North
5.1	Slow-down of economic growth in high-income countries
5.2	Slow-down of economic growth in the world as a whole
5.3	Number of people living in countries with declining per capita income
5.4	The restoration of upper class share of incomes
7.1	GDP per capita growth in the USA, 19612005
7.2	GDP per capita growth in East Asia and the Pacific 19602005
8.1	Proactive and reactive sequences of global political action
8.2	Multiple stress zones according to the UK military planners

Tables

3.1	Five explanations and visions of a desirable future
4.1	Industrial production and trade: Britain, France and Germany
4.2	Changes in wholesale prices 18601913
5.1	Kondratieff cycles until the early twenty-first century
7.1	Boundaries of liberal democracy in the Bretton Woods era
7.2	Boundaries of liberal democracy in the era of globalisation
A.1	A two-player PD payoff matrix
A.2	Layers of agency and action
A.3	Layers of relevant structures and mechanisms
A.4	Contested geo-historical nodal points
N.1	World population growth

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