Alexander Cooley - Exit from Hegemony: The Unraveling of the American Global Order

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Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Names: Cooley, Alexander, 1972 author. | Nexon, Daniel H., 1973 author.

Title: Exit from hegemony : the unraveling of the American global order /

Alexander Cooley and Daniel Nexon.

Description: New York, NY : Oxford University Press, [2020] |

Includes index. |

Identifiers: LCCN 2019039322 (print) |

LCCN 2019039323 (ebook) | ISBN 9780190916473 (hardback) |

ISBN 9780190916480 (updf) | ISBN 9780190916497 (epub) |

ISBN 9780190054557 (Online)

Subjects: LCSH: HegemonyUnited States. | World politics21st century. |

International organization. | United StatesForeign relations21st century.

Classification: LCC JZ1312 .C665 2020 (print) | LCC JZ1312 (ebook) |

DDC 327.1/140973dc23

LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2019039322

LC ebook record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2019039323

For Katherine Cooley and Leo Jouanny

and

Lyra Gemmill-Nexon

Though the presidency of Donald Trump provided an unavoidable focus for our discussions of international order and global US leadership, this book brings together a number of collaborative projects that we have been working on for well over a decade. We both have previously researched the evolution of state sovereignty, international hierarchy and empire, and the organizational dynamics of the contemporary system. In his previous work, Alex explored the rise of multipolar dynamics in the interactions of China, Russia, and the United States in Central Asia (Great Games, Local Rules 2012), while Dan outlined the transformation of dynastic empire in early modern Europe (The Struggle for Power in Early Modern Europe 2009). Together, we have collaborated on several projects involving such topics as the politics of US overseas military bases and US relations with Georgia.

Indeed, the origins of this book are something like fifteen years in the past. The project on transformations in the international order has ebbed and flowed through multiple American administrations, international crises, and research agendas. We are enormously grateful to Dave McBride from Oxford University Press for his multi-year faith in our project, his expert guidance, and his considerable patience. Dave also provided important guidance when it came to matters of accessibility and academic depth. If readers are interested in further exploring some conceptual and theoretical issues raised in the text, we recommend taking a look at the endnotes, many of which contain extended discussions of these matters.

Funding for substantial portions of this work was provided by the Norwegian Research Council under the project Undermining Hegemony (project no. 240647). From 2015 to 2018, the ideas and arguments found in this book received crucial feedback at various workshops and meetings with the research group in Norway and across Europe. We thank our colleagues at the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI), especially Morten Skumsrud Andersen, Benjamin de Carvalho, Halvard Leira, Iver Neumann, Elana Wilson Rowe, and Ole Jacob Sending. The production of this book was supported by a faculty publication grant from the Harriman Institute at Columbia University and by research funds provided by Georgetown University. Alex would like to thank his colleagues at Barnard and Columbia for their collegiality and support. Dan would also like to thank his colleagues, from whom he learned a lot, during his 2009-2010 Council of Foreign Relations International Affairs Fellowship, which he served in the Russia, Ukraine, Eurasia unit of the Office of the Secretary of Defense (Policy).

We have richly benefited from the feedback we have received presenting earlier drafts of the project at the Ford Seminar at the University of Michigan, the Fung Global Fellows Program at Princeton University, Harvard Universitys Davis Center and Working Group on the Future of US-Russia Relations, the annual Central Asia Security Workshops at George Washington University, the National Endowment for Democracy, the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, Air Force War College, the Analytical Outreach Program of the United States Department of State, the University Consortium, Chatham House, KIMEP University, the Institute for World Economy and International Relations of the Russian Academy of Sciences (IMEMO), the Department of Political Science at the University of Toronto, the Si Chou-Kang Center for International Security and Diplomacy at the University of Denver, various panels and roundtables at the International Studies Association, and almost certainly other venues that have slipped our minds. For their comments and insights, we are also grateful to Sam Charap, Maia Gemmill, Lyra Gemmill-Nexon, Stacie Goddard, Elise Guiliano, John Heathershaw, Nicole Jacoby, Nargis Kassenova, Robert Legvold, David Lewis, Kathleen MacNamara, Julie Newton, Abraham Newman, Jason Sharman, Jack Snyder, Hendrik Spruyt, Josh Tucker, Leslie Vinjamuri, Alexandra Vacroux, Chris Walker, Stephen Ward, and Victoria Zhuravleva.

A number of individuals have provided invaluable research assistance and other support including Justin Casey, Alexander Sullivan, Zachary Karabatak, Gulya Tlegenova, Will Persing, and Aleksandra Turek. Alex Montgomery designed the network analysis of Chinese- and Russian-led IGOs in . Seth Farkas, once again, was the creative force for the books international order graphics. Dave Prout meticulously compiled the index.

Finally, we once again appreciate our families and friends who, over many years, have supported our research travel, deadline stress, and never-ending political banter. The book is dedicated to Alexs sister and nephew and Dans daughter.