William L. Duncan - Manufacturing 2000

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title	:	Manufacturing 2000
author	:	Duncan, William L.
publisher	:	AMACOM Books
isbn10 | asin	:	0814402356
print isbn13	:	9780814402351
ebook isbn13	:	9780585040240
language	:	English
subject	Manufacturing industries--Management--Forecasting.
publication date	:	1994
lcc	:	HD9720.5.D86 1994eb
ddc	:	670/.68
subject	:	Manufacturing industries--Management--Forecasting.

Manufacturing 2000 William L. Duncan amacom American Management Association New York Atlanta Boston Chicago Kansas City San Francisco Washington, D.C. Brussels Mexico City Tokyo Toronto

This book is available at a special discount when ordered in bulk quantities. For information, contact Special Sales Department, AMACOM, a division of American Management Association, 1601 Broadway, New York, NY 10019. This publication is designed to provide accurate and authoritative information in regard to the subject matter covered. It is sold with the understanding that the publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, accounting, or other professional service. If legal advice or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional person should be sought. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Duncan, William L. Manufacturing 2000 / William L. Duncan. p. cm. Includes bibliographical references and index. ISBN 0-8144-0235-6 1. ManufacturesManagementForecasting. I. Title. II. Title: Manufacturing two thousand. HD9720.5.D86 1994 670'. 68dc2094-13528 CIP 1994 William L. Duncan. All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America. This publication may not be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in whole or in part, in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior written permission of AMACOM, a division of American Management Association, 1601 Broadway, New York, NY 10019. Printing number 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3

In the Epistle of James, we learn that "Every good gift, and every perfect gift is from above, and cometh down from the Father.... " This book is dedicated to the best earthly gifts that God has given to memy children Erica and Adam. May God grant them as much happiness in their lives ahead as He has brought to me through them.

Page v CONTENTS Acknowledgments vii Introduction ix Chapter 1 The Model 1 Book One Where We've Been and Where We Are 5 Chapter 2 Dominant Themes: Control, Computers, and a Global Focus 7 Chapter 3 Environmental Factors: From Deregulation to Quantum Physics 13 Chapter 4 Dominant Manpower Issues: The End of the Direct Labor Era 26 Chapter 5 Dominant Methods: Doing It by the Numbers 33 Chapter 6 Dominant Materials in the Information Age 61 Chapter 7 Dominant Machines: The Reign of the Computer 77 Chapter 8 Back to the Model 99 Book Two: Where We Are Headed 107 Chapter 9 Dominant Themes: From the 1990s Through the Twenty-First Century 109 Chapter 10 Environmental Factors: Building Alliances in a Fragmented World 113 Chapter 11 Dominant Manpower Issues: Education or Extinction 127 Chapter 12 Dominant Methods: Forging Strong Links in the Global Chain 153

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