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Anthony Elson - The Global Currency Power of the US Dollar: Problems and Prospects

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Anthony Elson The Global Currency Power of the US Dollar: Problems and Prospects
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This book explains how the US dollar serves as the primary reserve currency for the international financial system and assesses its prospects for the future. The book provides an analysis of the main factors that have given rise to the global currency power of the dollar and the key benefits that have accrued to both the United States and other countries from this arrangement. It then considers the growing costs that can be associated with the dollar-centered reserve system and the prospects for the medium-term in terms of its potential threats to global financial stability. In the light of these considerations, the book examines three alternative currency arrangements that could address some or all of the defects associated with the global currency power of the dollar. These include a shift to a multi-reserve currency system, an enhancement of the IMFs role as an international lender of last resort and provider of global safe assets, and the introduction of central bank digital currencies.
A cogent, persuasive and timely look at the dollars power. Kirkus Reviews

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Book cover of The Global Currency Power of the US Dollar Anthony Elson - photo 1
Book cover of The Global Currency Power of the US Dollar
Anthony Elson
The Global Currency Power of the US Dollar
Problems and Prospects
1st ed. 2021
Logo of the publisher Anthony Elson School of Advanced International - photo 2
Logo of the publisher
Anthony Elson
School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University, Washington, DC, USA
ISBN 978-3-030-83518-7 e-ISBN 978-3-030-83519-4
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-83519-4
The Editor(s) (if applicable) and The Author(s), under exclusive license to Springer Nature Switzerland AG 2021
This work is subject to copyright. All rights are solely and exclusively licensed by the Publisher, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed.
The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use.
The publisher, the authors and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publisher nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, expressed or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publisher remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

This Palgrave Macmillan imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature Switzerland AG

The registered company address is: Gewerbestrasse 11, 6330 Cham, Switzerland

To Queenie

For her True Love and Friendship,

her Indomitably Positive and Generous Spirit,

and

her Unhalting Support of my Professional Work

Preface

This is the fifth book with a focus on a different aspect of globalization that I have written over the last 12 years. The work global or globalization appears in the title for all of them. In one sense, this output is a natural reflection of my interests in various themes of international economics that I have developed over a long career beginning with my graduate training in international affairs and economics at Columbia University, many years of service on the professional staff of the IMF, work as a consultant with the World Bank, and teaching at Duke, Johns Hopkins and Yale Universities.

In another sense, each of these books has a link with one of its predecessors, as in the preparation of each of them I discovered that there was a topic that I touched on in each one that I wanted to explore in more depth in a subsequent book. In my third book on the global financial crisis, I wanted to examine in much more detail, and with the benefit of time and further knowledge, a topic that I examined more briefly in 20092010 in the immediate wake of the crisis, when I was writing my first book. In this particular book, the key role of the US dollar as the de facto currency for the global economy was a topic that I touched on briefly in my previous book on the role of the United States in the global economy.

The subject of the dollar as a global currency is a fascinating topic, as our understanding of its role continues to evolve and the future prospects for its duration are often questioned. This book hopefully contributes in a useful, interesting and significant manner to this important topic. Since the early 1970s when the Bretton Woods system of the early post-World War II era broke down, the dollar has served as the main currency of the global economic and financial system by fiat, i.e., without any basis in treaty, as a reflection of the hegemonic role of the United States in that system and the convenience that private traders and institutions have found in using the dollar for cross-border transactions. This special role of the dollar has intensified with the expansion of economic and financial globalization in the last few decades. This book attempts to explain how this situation developed and the factors that have helped to keep it in place. The book also examines a number of defects and potential threats to the stability of the global financial system that can be associated with the current dollar-based reserve currency system. It then examines three different scenarios that could deal with those threats; the prospects for each of these should become clearer during the remainder of the current decade.

As much as possible, I have tried to make this book a self-contained exposition, where technical terms are spelled out rather than included with an assumption that they are familiar to the reader. As a result, I am hopeful that the book will appeal to a wide range of readers from students of public policy to a general audience with an interest in the role of the United States in the global economy, as well as to practitioners in the fields of foreign affairs and business who are not specialists in international economics and finance.

Anthony Elson
Washington, USA
Previous Titles by This Author

Governing Global Finance: The Evolution and Reform of the International Financial Architecture (2011)

Globalization and Development: Why East Asia Surged Ahead and Latin America Fell Behind (2014)

The Global Financial Crisis in Retrospect: Evolution, Resolution and Lessons for Prevention (2017)

The United States in the World Economy: Making Sense of Globalization (2019)

Glossary
BIS

Bank for International Settlements

CBDCs

central bank digital currencies

CDOs

collateralized debt obligations

CFETS

China Foreign Exchange Trade System

CHIPS

Clearinghouse Intl Payments System (USA)

CIPS

Cross-border Interbank Payments System (China)

DCEP

Digital Currency/Electronic Payment (China)

ECB

European Central Bank

EMDEs

emerging and developing economies

EMU

European Economic and Monetary Union (eurozone)

EPU

European Payments Union

FSB

Financial Stability Board

G7/G10/G20

Group of 7/10/20 nations

GATT

General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade

GFSN

Global Financial Safety Net

GVCs

global value chains

ICU

International Credit Union

ILOLR

international lender of last resort

IMF

International Monetary Fund

INSTEX

Instrument in Support of Trade Exchanges

MBS

mortgage-backed securities

MMT

Modern Monetary Theory

NIIP

net international investment position

PBOC

Peoples Bank of China

RCEP

Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership

REPO

repurchase agreement

SDRs

Special Drawing Rights (IMF)

SIFMA

Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association

SWIFT

Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication

TAA

Trade Adjustment Assistance

TPP

Trans Pacific Partnership

WHO

World Health Organization

WTO

World Trade Organization

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