Jonathan V. Last - What to Expect When No Ones Expecting: Americas Coming Demographic Disaster
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What to Expect When No Ones Expecting: Americas Coming Demographic Disaster: summary, description and annotation
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Look around you and think for a minute: Is America too crowded?
For years, we have been warned about the looming danger of overpopulation: people jostling for space on a planet thats busting at the seams and running out of oil and food and land and everything else.
Its all bunk. The population bomb never exploded. Instead, statistics from around the world make clear that since the 1970s, weve been facing exactly the opposite problem: people are having too few babies. Population growth has been slowing for two generations. The worlds population will peak, and then begin shrinking, within the next fifty years. In some countries, its already started. Japan, for instance, will be half its current size by the end of the century. In Italy, there are already more deaths than births every year. Chinas One-Child Policy has left that country without enough women to marry its men, not enough young people to support the countrys elderly, and an impending population contraction that has the ruling class terrified.
And all of this is coming to America, too. In fact, its already here. Middle-class Americans have their own, informal one-child policy these days. And an alarming number of upscale professionals dont even go that farthey have dogs, not kids. In fact, if it werent for the wave of immigration we experienced over the last thirty years, the United States would be on the verge of shrinking, too.
What happened? Everything about modern lifefrom Bugaboo strollers to insane college tuition to government regulationshas pushed Americans in a single direction, making it harder to have children. And making the people who do still want to have children feel like second-class citizens.
What to Expect When No Ones Expecting explains why the population implosion happened and how it is remaking culture, the economy, and politics both at home and around the world.
Because if America wants to continue to lead the world, we need to have more babies.
For years, we have been warned about the looming danger of overpopulation: people jostling for space on a planet thats busting at the seams and running out of oil and food and land and everything else.
Its all bunk. The population bomb never exploded. Instead, statistics from around the world make clear that since the 1970s, weve been facing exactly the opposite problem: people are having too few babies. Population growth has been slowing for two generations. The worlds population will peak, and then begin shrinking, within the next fifty years. In some countries, its already started. Japan, for instance, will be half its current size by the end of the century. In Italy, there are already more deaths than births every year. Chinas One-Child Policy has left that country without enough women to marry its men, not enough young people to support the countrys elderly, and an impending population contraction that has the ruling class terrified.
And all of this is coming to America, too. In fact, its already here. Middle-class Americans have their own, informal one-child policy these days. And an alarming number of upscale professionals dont even go that farthey have dogs, not kids. In fact, if it werent for the wave of immigration we experienced over the last thirty years, the United States would be on the verge of shrinking, too.
What happened? Everything about modern lifefrom Bugaboo strollers to insane college tuition to government regulationshas pushed Americans in a single direction, making it harder to have children. And making the people who do still want to have children feel like second-class citizens.
What to Expect When No Ones Expecting explains why the population implosion happened and how it is remaking culture, the economy, and politics both at home and around the world.
Because if America wants to continue to lead the world, we need to have more babies.
Jonathan V. Last: author's other books
Who wrote What to Expect When No Ones Expecting: Americas Coming Demographic Disaster? Find out the surname, the name of the author of the book and a list of all author's works by series.
Ronald Freedman
Tian Xueyuan
Sherman Haggerty
Emily Klancher Merchant
Darrell Bricker
Danny Dorling
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Praise for What to Expect When No Ones Expecting
A powerful argument that the only thing worse than having children is not having them. Im reading What To Expect When No Ones Expecting aloud to the three little arguments for birth control at my house in hope theyll quit squabbling and making messes and start acting so cute that all my neighbors decide to conceive.
P.J. ORourke, author of Holidays in Heck
Jonathan Last has measured the full and unhappy consequences of decades worth of anti-natalism and asks the rest of us to do the samebefore the West goes into a demographic death-spiral. His book is a welcome refutation of population bomb nonsense and a clarion call to build the kind of culture and society that can cherish children once again. For no matter how messy, annoying, and expensive the little people may be, they are the future. Without them, there is no future. If you dont believe that, look at Greece and Italy.
George Weigel, Distinguished Senior Fellow, Ethics and Public Policy Center, and author of Witness to Hope: The Biography of Pope John Paul II
Jonathan Last masterfully describes the key facts and concepts any literate person should know about the sea change in global demography and speculates wisely and soberly about the implications for the future of humanity. Avoiding the alarmism, sexism, and racial chauvinism that mars so much other writing on this subject, Last is an insightful and trustworthy guide.
Phillip Longman, Senior Fellow, New America Foundation, and author of The Empty Cradle: How Falling Birthrates Threaten World Prosperity and What to Do About It
Jonathan Lasts writing matches his reasoning: as clear as a shot of gin, and just as bracing. America is changing more quickly than ever before, and this book explains why. A terrific, important read.
Tucker Carlson, Editor, The Daily Caller
Jonathan Last has pulled off an amazing feat. Hes written a book thats at once lively and profound, that deals with weighty matters with a light touch, and that explains a complex subject clearly. It might make you laugh, it could make you crybut above all it will make you think.
William Kristol, Editor, The Weekly Standard
This book explodes old ways of thinking. Not moralizing, not blaming, Jonathan Last peers methodically ahead at the cold consequences of plunging global birth rates.
Michael Novak, recipient of the Templeton Prize (1994), and author of The Spirit of Democratic Capitalism
The Malthusian paranoia of a coming population boom has nothing on the reality of a coming population implosion. Frankly it kinda makes a girl want to procreate.
S. E. Cupp, host of CNNs Crossfire
Imagine a merger of Mark Steyn and David Brooks, with a Supreme Court-imposed page limit.
Hugh Hewitt, host of The Hugh Hewitt Show
Jonathan V. Last is an extremely sharp writer with a great eye for telling details and revealing anecdotes.... What To Expect When No Ones Expecting is a rich and detailed read, well worth the price of admission just for Lasts cogent summarizing of long-term demographic trends.
Nick Gillespie, Bookforum
Among the many virtues of this slim, sprightly volume is that the author offers no easy solutions.
William McGurn, Wall Street Journal
Provocative and engaging.
W. Bradford Wilcox, National Review
Controversial.
Lauren Sandler, Time
Jonathan Lasts new What To Expect When No Ones Expecting is the best-written, most engaging, and funniest book on the social cost of low birth rates and population decline.... Highly recommended.
Bryan Caplan, author of Selfish Reasons to Have More Kids
Last takes a vigorous look at the policy and political issues resulting from this still-underappreciated seismic shift in the human condition. Even those who do not share his basically conservative outlook on many fertility and family-policy issues will find this a stimulating and enlightening read.
Walter Russell Mead, Foreign Affairs
One of World magazines Top Ten Books of the Year
Well-written and enjoyable.
David P. Goldman, Claremont Review of Books
Riveting.
Mary Eberstadt, author of How the West Really Lost God
Lasts tightly argued and deftly navigated tour through perhaps the most important social transition in modern history is a valuable contribution to our understanding of the need for innovation in social policy.
Ari N. Schulman, Commentary
Its a pity What to Expect When No Ones Expecting... was not available prior to the latest election. In fewer than 200 pages, Last surveys Americas challenging demographic future and delivers an uncomfortable truth: the vibrant, dynamic and optimistic social model of twentieth-century America is fundamentally incompatible with modernity.... Last demonstrates impressive restraint in presenting a small-c conservative outlook on what can be done to combat the ever-collapsing birth rates in the United States.
The Daily Beast
The book documents a remarkable demographic shift: the global baby un-boom.
Heather Wilhelm, RealClearBooks
Jonathan Lasts thoughtful and important new book, What to Expect When No Ones Expecting is a fun read. Policy questions aside, Last provides a fascinating and crystal-clear account of Americas demographic decline. Theres plenty to learn on related issues as well.... Do yourself a favor and have a look.
Stanley Kurtz, National Review Online
Last synthesizes scholarly research with an engaging blend of statistics, anecdotes, and judicious observations. His is very much a book for contemporary readers.
Scott Yenor, Public Discourse
Because the seeds of our demographic destruction are not American-made, but rather a design flaw of the modern age, What to Expect has a thesis with global implications. Mr. Last artfully teases these out.
David DesRosiers, Washington Times
A much needed wakeup call for the nation: we need more children, and we need them now.
William Donohue, President, The Catholic League
Last vigorously applies his analytical shears to the thorny problem of plummeting birth rates in the United States, the Western world, and beyond, and clears the path for an incisive look at the key economic ramifications of the fertility drop.
Michael Rosen, The American
A reader-friendly but thorough analysis of the demographic crisis afflicting the West.... Clearly argued and entertainingly written.
Defining Ideas
What to Expect When No Ones Expecting is a surprisingly entertaining tour of demographics. A talented writer, Last takes a dry, academic subject and makes it come alive.
Julia Shaw, The Family in America
Last delivers his warning with humor.
The Independent Review
Jonathan Last provides a reader-friendly, but thorough analysis of the demographic crisis afflicting the West and the very bad things that will follow population decline.
Capital
In his very good new book on population and demography... Last explains how difficult modern society makes it to have children.
Austin Ruse, Crisis
Jonathan V. Last catalogues the current fertility crisis [and] puts parochial worries... in a larger context.... Last explains that the current below replacement-level birth rate is a national, even global, affliction for which there are multiple explanations... and which we ignore at our peril.
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