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Ray Kurzweil - The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology

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Ray Kurzweil The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology
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From Publishers Weekly

Starred Review. Renowned inventor Kurzweil (_The Age of Spiritual Machines_) may be technologys most credibly hyperbolic optimist. Elsewhere he has argued that eliminating fat intake can prevent cancer; here, his quarry is the future of consciousness and intelligence. Humankind, it runs, is at the threshold of an epoch (the singularity, a reference to the theoretical limitlessness of exponential expansion) that will see the merging of our biology with the staggering achievements of GNR (genetics, nanotechnology and robotics) to create a species of unrecognizably high intelligence, durability, comprehension, memory and so on. The word unrecognizable is not chosen lightly: wherever this is heading, it wont look like us. Kurzweils argument is necessarily twofold: its not enough to argue that there are virtually no constraints on our capacity; he must also convince readers that such developments are desirable. In essence, he conflates the wholesale transformation of the species with immortality, for which read a repeal of human limit. In less capable hands, this phantasmagoria of speculative extrapolation, which incorporates a bewildering variety of charts, quotations, playful Socratic dialogues and sidebars, would be easier to dismiss. But Kurzweil is a true scientista large-minded one at thatand gives due space both to the panoply of existential risks as he sees them and the many presumed lines of attack others might bring to bear. Whats arresting isnt the degree to which Kurzweils heady and bracing vision fails to convincegiven the scope of his projections, thats inevitablebut the degree to which it seems downright plausible. (Sept.)
Copyright Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

From Bookmarks Magazine

Kurzweil is one of the worlds most respected thinkers and entrepreneurs. Yet the thesis he posits in Singularity is so singular that many readers will be astoundedand perhaps skeptical. Think Blade Runner or Being John Malkovich magnified trillion-fold. Even if one were to embrace his techno-optimism, which he backs up with fascinating details, Kurzweil leaves some important questions relating to politics, economics, and morality unanswered. If machines in our bodies can rebuild cells, for example, why couldnt they be reengineered as weapons? Or think of singularity, notes the New York Times Book Review, as the Manhattan Project model of pure science without ethical constraints. Kurzweils vision requires technology, which we continue to build. But it also requires mass acceptance and faith.

Copyright 2004 Phillips & Nelson Media, Inc.

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Praise for The Singularity Is Near

One of CBS Newss Best Fall Books of 2005
Among St. Louis Post-Dispatchs Best Nonfiction Books of 2005
One of Amazon.coms Best Science Books of 2005

Anyone can grasp Mr. Kurzweils main idea: that mankinds technological knowledge has been snowballing, with dizzying prospects for the future. The basics are clearly expressed. But for those more knowledgeable and inquisitive, the author argues his case in fascinating detail.... The Singularity Is Near is startling in scope and bravado.

Janet Maslin, The New York Times

Filled with imaginative, scientifically grounded speculation.... The Singularity Is Near is worth reading just for its wealth of information, all lucidly presented.... [Its] an important book. Not everything that Kurzweil predicts may come to pass, but a lot of it will, and even if you dont agree with everything he says, its all worth paying attention to.

The Philadelphia Inquirer

[An] exhilarating and terrifyingly deep look at where we are headed as a species.... Mr. Kurzweil is a brilliant scientist and futurist, and he makes a compelling and, indeed, a very moving case for his view of the future.

The New York Sun

Compelling.

San Jose Mercury News

Kurzweil links a projected ascendance of artificial intelligence to the future of the evolutionary process itself. The result is both frightening and enlightening.... The Singularity Is Near is a kind of encyclopedic map of what Bill Gates once called the road ahead.

The Oregonian

A clear-eyed, sharply-focused vision of the not-so-distant future.

The Baltimore Sun

This book offers three things that will make it a seminal document. 1) It brokers a new idea, not widely known, 2) The idea is about as big as you can get: the Singularityall the change in the last million years will be superceded by the change in the next five minutes, and 3) It is an idea that demands informed response. The books claims are so footnoted, documented, graphed, argued, and plausible in small detail, that it requires the equal in response. Yet its claims are so outrageous that if true, it would mean... well... the end of the world as we know it, and the beginning of utopia. Ray Kurzweil has taken all the strands of the Singularity meme circulating in the last decades and has united them into a single tome which he has nailed on our front door. I suspect this will be one of the most cited books of the decade. Like Paul Ehrlichs upsetting 1972 book Population Bomb, fan or foe, its the wave at epicenter you have to start with.

Kevin Kelly, founder of Wired

Really, really out there. Delightfully so.

Businessweek.com

Stunning, utopian vision of the near future when machine intelligence outpaces the biological brain and what things may look like when that happens.... Approachable and engaging.

the unofficial Microsoft blog

One of the most important thinkers of our time, Kurzweil has followed up his earlier works... with a work of startling breadth and audacious scope.

newmediamusings.com

An attractive picture of a plausible future.

Kirkus Reviews

Kurzweil is a true scientista large-minded one at that.... Whats arresting isnt the degree to which Kurzweils heady and bracing vision fails to convincegiven the scope of his projections, thats inevitablebut the degree to which it seems downright plausible.

Publishers Weekly (starred review)

[T]hroughout this tour de force of boundless technological optimism, one is impressed by the authors adamantine intellectual integrity.... If you are at all interested in the evolution of technology in this century and its consequences for the humans who are creating it, this is certainly a book you should read.

John Walker, inventor of Autodesk, in Fourmilab Change Log

Ray Kurzweil is the best person I know at predicting the future of artificial intelligence. His intriguing new book envisions a future in which information technologies have advanced so far and fast that they enable humanity to transcend its biological limitationstransforming our lives in ways we cant yet imagine.

Bill Gates

If you have ever wondered about the nature and impact of the next profound discontinuities that will fundamentally change the way we live, work, and perceive our world, read this book. Kurzweils Singularity is a tour de force, imagining the unimaginable and eloquently exploring the coming disruptive events that will alter our fundamental perspectives as significantly as did electricity and the computer.

Dean Kamen, recipient of the National Medal of Technology, physicist, and inventor of the first wearable insulin pump, the HomeChoice portable dialysis machine, the IBOT Mobility System, and the Segway Human Transporter

One of our leading AI practitioners, Ray Kurzweil, has once again created a must read book for anyone interested in the future of science, the social impact of technology, and indeed the future of our species. His thought-provoking book envisages a future in which we transcend our biological limitations, while making a compelling case that a human civilization with superhuman capabilities is closer at hand than most people realize.

Raj Reddy, founding director of the Robotics Institute at Carnegie Mellon University and recipient of the Turing Award from the Association for Computing Machinery

Rays optimistic book well merits both reading and thoughtful response. For those like myself whose views differ from Rays on the balance of promise and peril, The Singularity Is Near is a clear call for a continuing dialogue to address the greater concerns arising from these accelerating possibilities.

Bill Joy, cofounder and former chief scientist, Sun Microsystems

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Ray Kurzweil is one of the worlds leading inventors, thinkers, and futurists, with a twenty-year track record of accurate predictions. Called the restless genius by The Wall Street Journal and the ultimate thinking machine by Forbes magazine, Kurzweil was selected as one of the top entrepreneurs by Inc. magazine, which described him as the rightful heir to Thomas Edison. PBS selected him as one of sixteen revolutionaries who made America, along with other inventors of the past two centuries. An inductee into the National Inventors Hall of Fame and recipient of the National Medal of Technology, the Lemelson-MIT Prize (the worlds largest award for innovation), thirteen honorary doctorates, and awards from three U.S. presidents, he is the author of four previous books: Fantastic Voyage: Live Long Enough to Live Forever (coauthored with Terry Grossman, M.D.), The Age of Spiritual Machines, The 10% Solution for a Healthy Life, and The Age of Intelligent Machines.

RAY KURZWEIL

The Singularity Is Near


WHEN HUMANS TRANSCEND BIOLOGY

This impression 2008 First published in the UK in 2005 by Duckworth Overlook - photo 1

This impression 2008
First published in the UK in 2005 by
Duckworth Overlook
90-93 Cowcross Street, London EC1M 6BF
Tel: 020 7490 7300
Fax: 020 7490 0080
inquiries@duckworth-publishers.co.uk
www.ducknet.co.uk

First published in the USA by
Viking Penguin, a member of Penguin Group (USA) Inc.

Copyright 2005 by Ray Kurzweil

Photograph on p. 368 by Helene DeLillo, 2005

Grateful acknowledgment is made for permission to reprint excerpts from the following copyrighted works: Plastic Fantastic Lover by Marty Balin, performed by Jefferson Airplane. Ice Bag Publishing Corp. What I Am by Edie Arlisa Brickell, Kenneth Neil Withrow, John Bradley Houser, John Walter Bush, Brandon Aly. 1988 by Geffen Music, Edie Brickell Songs, Withrow Publishing, Enlightened Kitty Music, Strange Mind Productions. All rights reserved. Administered by UniversalGeffen Music (ASCAP). Used by permission. All rights reserved. Season of the Witch by Donovan Leitch. 1966 by Donovan (Music) Limited. Copyright renewed. International copyright secured. Used by permission. All rights reserved. World rights administered by Peermusic (UK) Ltd. Sailing to Byzantium from

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