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Staiger - Foundations of real estate financial modelling

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Staiger Foundations of real estate financial modelling
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Foundations of Real Estate Financial Modelling

Foundations of Real Estate Financial Modelling is specifically designed to provide an overview of pro forma modelling for real estate projects. The book introduces students and professionals to the basics of real estate finance theory before providing a step-by-step guide for financial model construction using Excel. The idea that real estate is an asset with unique characteristics which can be transformed, both physically and financially, forms the basis of discussion.

Individual chapters are separated by functional unit and build upon themselves to include information on:

  • Amortization
  • Single-Family Unit
  • Multifamily Unit
  • Development/Construction Addition(s)
  • Waterfall (Equity Bifurcation)
  • Accounting Statements
  • Additional Asset Classes.

Further chapters are dedicated to risk quantification and include scenario, stochastic, and Monte Carlo simulations, waterfalls, and securitized products. This book is the ideal companion to core real estate finance textbooks and will boost students Excel modelling skills before they enter the workplace. The book provides individuals with step-by-step instruction on how to construct a real estate financial model that is both scalable and modular.

A companion website provides the pro forma models to give readers a basic financial model for each asset class as well as methods to quantify performance and understand how and why each model is constructed and the best practices for repositioning these assets.

Roger Staiger (FRICS) is Managing Director for Stage Capital, LLC, a global advisory firm in real estate financial modelling, portfolio management and asset repositioning. He holds faculty positions at George Washington University, Georgetown University and Johns Hopkins University. He has held many senior positions including Managing Director for Constellation Energys Retail Commodity Division and CFO for Americas Best Builder 2006.

www.routledge.com/cw/staiger

Foundations of Real Estate Financial Modelling provides the reader with a clear path towards appropriate methods and processes used to properly model various types of real estate investments. In addition, the book provides the why behind the models by introducing practical explanations of valuation, capital stack formation and assessment of risk. The book also defines key terms, which are especially important in todays real estate industry where jargon and undefined rule of thumb benchmarks proliferate.

What is noteworthy is Professor Staigers use of visual enhancements (graphs and actual pro-formas) throughout the book that bring clarity and meaning to the content. This is effective because many adult learners are visual in their comprehension of new material.

In summary, students will appreciate the thoughtfulness of the book that provides a road-map to a clear and concise explanation of the process and practical application of real estate models for financial forecasting and risk assessment.

Bob Rajewski, Adjunct Professor, John Hopkins University

The book is aptly named. The author does an excellent job of providing the context in which real estate modelling should be viewed in. Rather than being a step-by-step instruction manual, Staiger reviews the appropriate supporting theory that must be understood before diving headlong into real estate financial modelling. As real estate is not a commodity, there is no one size fits all financial model. Given the extreme variations in assumptions, risk profiles, and deal structures, real estate financial models are as diverse as the assets they attempt to quantify. Failure to understand these concepts along with the industry standard metrics will almost guarantee the construction of flawed models.

In general terms, pro forma modelling is fairly straightforward with a basic understanding of finance. However, many seasoned analysts struggle with modelling waterfalls. As the waterfall is designed to separate risk and associated returns by tranches, it therefore requires the adjustment of payment streams. Done incorrectly the outcome can be disastrous causing potential investors to lose faith in the integrity of the model and possibly the entire project. The author devotes a substantial amount of time covering this topic and incorporates a variety of diagrams to simplify the concepts.

I recommend this book to anyone attempting to build a defensible real estate financial model. This book will inspire confidence to both beginner and advanced model builders.

Keith A. Hopkins, MBA, Managing Director, Stage Capital Group, LLC

Foundations of Real Estate Financial Modelling was created as part of Professor Staigers curriculum within the School of Real Estate at Georgetown Universitys School of Continuing Studies. It is a superb step-by-step process of how to build various models which are both scalable and modular. The textbook will be an excellent resource for students, as well as non-finance faculty, to understand the mechanics of building a real estate pro forma.

Rogers disciplined and purposeful approach to pro forma modelling has been so well received by the students that we regularly offer workshops, free to students, to ensure the skill is gained and focused upon in the program. This textbook is an excellent resource for the students to supplement the workshops and explain the basic theory of real estate finance coupled with technical skills.

We are proud that we will be incorporating this textbook within our curriculum at Georgetown University. This textbook could well be required reading for all students.

William H. Hudnut III, Executive Director, Georgetown University

Foundations of Real Estate Financial Modelling

Roger Staiger

Foundations of real estate financial modelling - image 1

First published 2015
by Routledge
2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN

and by Routledge
711 Third Avenue, New York, NY 10017

Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business

2015 Roger Staiger

The right of Roger Staiger to be identified as author of this work has been asserted by him in accordance with sections 77 and 78 of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988.

All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilized in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers.

Trademark notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe.

British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data
A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Staiger, Roger P., III.

Foundations of real estate financial modelling / Roger Staiger.

pages cm

Includes bibliographical references and index.

1. Real estate investmentMathematical models. 2. Real estate investment

FinanceMathematical models. 3. Real estate developmentFinance

Mathematical models. 4. Real propertyFinanceMathematical models. I. Title.

HD1382.5.S72 2015
332.6324015118dc23
2014042657

ISBN: 978-1-138-02516-5 (hbk)
ISBN: 978-1-138-02517-2 (pbk)
ISBN: 978-1-315-77532-6 (ebk)

Typeset in Times New Roman
by Apex CoVantage, LLC

Contents

I would like to express my sincere gratitude to the many people who helped me author this book over the past two tumultuous years of my life a period which saw my father die under suspicious circumstances and resulted in a will caveat. This ended with a unanimous jury verdict finding that his will was forged and not duly executed. (This will be the subject of a different book.)

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