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Thomas-Olivier Leautier - Imperfect Markets and Imperfect Regulation: An Introduction to the Microeconomics and Political Economy of Power Markets

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The first textbook to present a comprehensive and detailed economic analysis of electricity markets, analyzing the tensions between microeconomics and political economy.

The power industry is essential in our fight against climate change. This book is the first to examine in detail the microeconomics underlying power markets, stemming from peak-load pricing, by which prices are low when the installed generation capacity exceeds demand but can rise a hundred times higher when demand is equal to installed capacity. The outcome of peak-load pricing is often difficult to accept politically, and the book explores the tensions between microeconomics and political economy.

Understanding peak-load pricing and its implications is essential for designing robust policies and making sound investment decisions. Thomas-Olivier Lautier presents the model in its simplest form, and introduces additional features as different issues are presented. The book covers all segments of electricity markets: electricity generation, under perfect and imperfect competition; retail competition and demand response; transmission pricing, transmission congestion management, and transmission constraints; and the current policy issues arising from the entry of renewables into the market and capacity mechanisms. Combining anecdotes and analysis of real situations with rigorous analytical modeling, each chapter analyzes one specific issue, first presenting findings in nontechnical terms accessible to policy practitioners and graduate students in management or public policy and then presenting a more mathematical analytical exposition for students and researchers specializing in the economics of electricity markets and for those who want to understand and apply the underlying models.

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Imperfect Markets and Imperfect Regulation

An Introduction to the Microeconomics and Political Economy of Power Markets

Thomas-Olivier Lautier

The MIT Press
Cambridge, Massachusetts
London, England

2018 Massachusetts Institute of Technology

All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form by any electronic or mechanical means (including photocopying, recording, or information storage and retrieval) without permission in writing from the publisher.

This book was set in Times by Westchester Publishing Services. Printed and bound in the United States of America.

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Names: Lautier, Thomas-Olivier, author.

Title: Imperfect markets and imperfect regulation: an introduction to the microeconomics and political economy of power markets / Thomas-Olivier Lautier; foreword by Jean Tirole.

Description: Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, [2019] | Includes bibliographical references and index.

Identifiers: LCCN 2018017791 | ISBN 9780262039284 (hardcover: alk. paper)

Subjects: LCSH: Power resourcesEconomic aspects. | Electric utilities.

Classification: LCC HD9502.A2 L4185 2019 | DDC 381/.101dc23 LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2018017791

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A Oriane-Znade et Franois-Ren.

SGANARELLE:() Quest-ce que vous croyez?

DOM JUAN:Ce que je crois?

SGANARELLE:Oui.

DOM JUAN:Je crois que deux et deux sont quatre, Sganarelle, et que quatre et quatre sont huit.

(Molire, Dom Juan, Act 3, Scene 1)

Contents
List of Figures


Load duration curve for France in 2009. All half hours of a given year are represented on the horizontal axis, demand is represented on the vertical axis. The load duration curve represents demand for every half hour, ordered from the highest to the lowest.


Inverse demand curves for different half hours of the year. In Europe, the left-most curve corresponds to a summer morning, the right-most to a winter evening.


Gross consumer surplus and marginal gross consumer surplus (left panel) and net surplus and marginal net surplus (right panel).


Demand curves and supply curve for a single-generation technology.


Short-term net surplus and marginal short-term net surplus (left panel) and operating profit and marginal operating profit (right panel) for any on-peak hour.


Pricing structure. Hours are represented on the horizontal axis, prices on the vertical axis. For most hours, price is equal to the variable cost c. On-peak, price rises above the variable cost. The operating margin is equal to the fixed cost.


Demand curves if demand is perfectly inelastic (left panel) and partially elastic (right panel). On the left panel, in every hour, demand does not vary with price. When demand is lower than installed capacity K, it can be entirely served. When demand exceeds installed capacity K, it must be reduced through involuntary curtailment. The price is then set at the VoLL: inverse demand is a horizontal line at the VoLL. On the right panel, demand is slightly reduced as price increases, up to the VoLL.


Price structure when no customer is price responsive (left panel) and when a fraction of customers is price responsive, and curtailment occurs (right panel). When no customer responds to price, the SO starts curtailing customers when demand (at the variable cost of production) is equal to installed capacity and sets the price at the VoLL. When a fraction of customers respond to prices, the price rises on peak, as in section 2.1. If the price rises to the VoLL, the SO starts curtailing constant-price customers and sets the price at the VoLL.


Screening curves for three generation technologies: nuclear, CCGT, and OCGT. Hours are represented on the x-axis, and the y-axis presents the total annual cost of producing 1 MW during a strip of any number of hours.


Optimal usage of a nuclear power plant (left panel) and an open-cycle gas turbine (right panel).


Supply curve for three technologies.


Determination of the optimal generation mix combining the screening curves and the load-duration curve.


Projected evolution of the residual demand curve (also called net load) for a typical day in California from 2013 to 2020. Residual demand is significantly reduced between hours 8 and 17 hours. It then increases rapidly between hours 17 and 20, requiring a significant ramp-up capability.


Functions v(pR, ), (0, ), and (1, ) if demand and uncertainty are represented by the exponential specification presented in section 2.7.


Actual and fitted demand.


Perfectly competitive and Cournot outputs and prices. The perfectly competitive output is such that the value of the marginal unit, which is the price, is equal to the variable cost of production of that unit (which is constant in the figure). The Cournot output is such that the revenue generated by the last unit produced, which is the price minus the revenue reduction on all units, is equal to the variable cost of production of that unit. The Cournot price is the value of the last unit produced, which is higher than the competitive price.


Strategic capacity reduction.


Equilibrium capacity Imperfect Markets and Imperfect Regulation An Introduction to the Microeconomics and Political Economy of Power Markets - image 2 if the price cap is always reached on-peak, for Imperfect Markets and Imperfect Regulation An Introduction to the Microeconomics and Political Economy of Power Markets - image 3. The capacity-maximizing cap is Imperfect Markets and Imperfect Regulation An Introduction to the Microeconomics and Political Economy of Power Markets - image 4, and p = 3.9. Equilibrium capacities for different values of the cap are Imperfect Markets and Imperfect Regulation An Introduction to the Microeconomics and Political Economy of Power Markets - image 5, and bKC(p) = 6.2. Source: Lautier (2018).


Equilibrium capacity Imperfect Markets and Imperfect Regulation An Introduction to the Microeconomics and Political Economy of Power Markets - image 6 (left scale) and expected net surplus Imperfect Markets and Imperfect Regulation An Introduction to the Microeconomics and Political Economy of Power Markets - image 7 (right scale) if the price cap is always reached on-peak, for Imperfect Markets and Imperfect Regulation An Introduction to the Microeconomics and Political Economy of Power Markets - image 8. The surplus-maximizing cap is p* = 3.6, higher than the capacity-maximizing cap Imperfect Markets and Imperfect Regulation An Introduction to the Microeconomics and Political Economy of Power Markets - image 9, and close to the highest admissible cap p = 3.9. Source: Lautier (2018).


Hotelling equilibrium retail price when suppliers cannot discriminate among customers.

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