Lehman B. Fletcher - World Food in the 1990s: Production, Trade, and Aid

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World Food in the 1990s:

Production, Trade, and Aid

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World Food in the 1990s:

Production, Trade, and Aid

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EDITED BY
LehmanB.Fletcher

First published 1992 by Westview Press, Inc.

Published 2021 by Routledge
605 Third Avenue, New York, NY 10017
2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN

Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business

Copyright 1992 by Taylor & Francis

All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilised in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers.

Notice:
Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe.

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
World food in the 1990s: Production, trade, and aid / Lehman B.
Fletcher.
p. cm.
ISBN 0-8133-8049-9
1. Food supplyDeveloping countries. 2. Food industry and tradeDeveloping countries. 3. Food reliefDeveloping countries.
I. Fletcher, Lehman B.
HD9018.D44W67 1992
363.8'09'049dc20 90-44542

ISBN13: 978-0-3672-1394-7 (hbk)
ISBN13: 978-0-3672-1675-7 (pbk)

DOI: 10.4324/9780429268021

Contents

Lenman B. Fletcher

PART I

THE GLOBAL SETTING: ECONOMIC GROWTH AND INTERNATIONAL MARKETS IN THE 1990s

2 Global Reach of Economic Growth and Prosperity in the 1990s: Trends and Issues

Lawrence R. Klein

Appendix 2.A: Definitions of Aggregates and Project LINK Data

3 Changing International Food Markets in the 1990s: Implications for Developing Countries

Bruna Angel and S. R. Johnson

Appendix 3.A: Commodity, Market, Income, and Population Data

Discussion of Chapter 3

R. C. Duncan

PART II

INTERNATIONAL AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND POLICY REFORMS IN INDUSTRIALIZED AND DEVELOPING COUNTRIES

4 Agricultural Policy and Trade Reforms in Developed Countries: Projected Consequences for Developing Countries

Robert L. Paarlberg

Discussion of Chapter 4

Alex F. McCalla

5 Economic Policies of Developing Countries: Consequences for Food Production, Trade, and Food Security

Introduction

Lenman B. Fletcher

Agricultural Incentives in Developing Countries: Measuring the Effect of Sectoral and Economywide Policies

Anne O. Krueger, Maurice Schiff, and Alberto Valds

Appendix 5.A: Measures of Intervention and Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate

Discussion of Chapter 5

Terry L. Roe

PART III

U.S. AGRICULTURAL ASSISTANCE AND FOOD AID IN THE 1990s: DIRECTIONS AND PRIORITIES

6 Foreign Economic Assistance and Agricultural Development

Vernon W. Ruttan

7 Food Aid as a Development Resource: Performance, Potential, and Prospects

Lehman B. Fletcher

Appendix 7.A: Methodologies Used to Assess Food Aid Need

Khalid Riaz

Discussion of Chapter 7

Gerald Trant

8 Improving American Foreign Financial and Food Assistance Policies to Enhance Food Security

Raymond F. Hopkins

PART IV

IMPROVING U.S. ECONOMIC ASSISTANCE AND FOOD AID PROGRAMS

9 Reports of the Working Groups and Panel Comments

10 Conclusions and Recommendations

Lehman B. Fletcher

1. PART I THE GLOBAL SETTING: ECONOMIC GROWTH AND INTERNATIONAL MARKETS IN THE 1990s
   1. 2 Global Reach of Economic Growth and Prosperity in the 1990s: Trends and Issues
      1. Appendix 2.A: Definitions of Aggregates and Project LINK Data
   2. 3 Changing International Food Markets in the 1990s: Implications for Developing Countries
      1. Appendix 3.A: Commodity, Market, Income, and Population Data
      2. Discussion of Chapter 3
2. PART II INTERNATIONAL AGRICULTURAL TRADE AND POLICY REFORMS IN INDUSTRIALIZED AND DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
   1. 4 Agricultural Policy and Trade Reforms in Developed Countries: Projected Consequences for Developing Countries
      1. Discussion of Chapter 4
   2. 5 Economic Policies of Developing Countries: Consequences for Food Production, Trade, and Food Security
      1. Introduction
      2. Agricultural Incentives in Developing Countries: Measuring the Effect of Sectoral and Economywide Policies
      3. Appendix 5.A: Measures of Intervention and Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate
      4. Discussion of Chapter 5
3. PART III U.S. AGRICULTURAL ASSISTANCE AND FOOD AID IN THE 1990s: DIRECTIONS AND PRIORITIES
   1. 6 Foreign Economic Assistance and Agricultural Development
   2. 7 Food Aid as a Development Resource: Performance, Potential, and Prospects
      1. Appendix 7.A: Methodologies Used to Assess Food Aid Need
      2. Discussion of Chapter 7
   3. 8 Improving American Foreign Financial and Food Assistance Policies to Enhance Food Security
4. PART IV IMPROVING U.S. ECONOMIC ASSISTANCE AND FOOD AID PROGRAMS
   1. 9 Reports of the Working Groups and Panel Comments
   2. 10 Conclusions and Recommendations

Guide

Tables

1. 2.A.1 World exports, imports, and trade balances (f.o.b.), Project LINKUnited Nations/DIESA, premeeting forecast, Fall 1989 ($ US billions)
2. 2.A.2 World gross national product (1970 $ US), Project LINKUnited Nations/DIESA, premeeting forecast, Fall 1989: growth rates (percent)
3. 2.A.3 Per capita gross national product (1970 $ US), Project LINKUnited Nations/DIESA, premeeting forecast, Fall 1989: growth rates (percent)
4. 2.A.4 OECD unemployment rate, Project LINKUnited Nations/DIESA, premeeting forecast, Fall 1989 (percent)
5. 2.A.5 OECD private consumption deflator (inflation rate in local currency weighted with GNP in current $ US), Project LINKUnited Nations/DIESA, premeeting forecast, Fall 1989
6. 3.1 Domestic and foreign economic projections
7. 3.2 FAPRI April 1989 baseline projections of wheat and coarse grains supply, use, and trade
8. 3.A.1 Other Latin America wheat supply, use, and trade
9. 3.A.2 Other Latin America coarse grain supply, use, and trade
10. 3.A.3 Mexico wheat supply, use, and trade
11. 3.A.4 Mexico coarse grains and sorghum supply, use, and trade
12. 3.A.5 Other Africa and Middle East wheat supply, use, and trade
13. 3.A.6 Other Africa and Middle East coarse grain supply, use, and trade
14. 3.A.7 Egypt wheat supply, use, and trade
15. 3.A.8 Egypt corn supply, use, and trade
16. 3.A.9 Morocco wheat supply, use, and trade
17. 3.A.10 Other Asia wheat supply, use, and trade
18. 3.A.11 Other Asia coarse grain supply, use, and trade
19. 3.A.12 China wheat supply, use, and trade
20. 3.A.13 China coarse grain supply, use, and trade
21. 3.A.14 Eastern Europe wheat supply, use, and trade
22. 3.A.15 Eastern Europe feed grain supply, use, and trade
23. 3.A.16 USSR wheat supply, use, and trade
24. 3.A.17 USSR feed grain supply, use, and trade
25. 4.1 International price and trade effects of OECD liberalization of selected commodity markets, 1985
26. 4.2 Trade balance changes from IME liberalization, 1986/87 ($ US billions)
27. 4.3 Welfare implications of IME liberalization, 1986/87 ($ US billions)

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