Pierce - A New Little Ice Age Has Started

A NEW LITTLE ICE AGE HAS STARTED

How to survive and prosper during the next 50 difficult years.

Cover

The cover of this book shows the alignment of Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Neptune and the Earth, with the Sun on February 24, 1803, just two years after Sir William Herschel, Britains Astronomer Royal published a paper discussing the nature of sunspots, their effect on our climate and the possibility that planetary alignments might have something to do with them. The Dalton Sunspot Minimum of the Little Ice Age started around 1800, and lasted until 1850. An alignment very similar to 1803 occurred in 2000. Sunspot counts have fallen from then until now and snowfall and cold weather are both increasing.

Cover design by Hindsight Productions.

This book is dedicated to all the people and in particular, the homeless, who will suffer because of the failures of their governments, the U.N., Legacy news media and the green corporations.

Published by Lawrence E. Pierce, Box 82, Hornby Island BC Canada V0R 1Z0

Copyright 2015 by Lawrence E. Pierce

All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, or by any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the author, except for brief quotations in critical articles or reviews.

ISBN-13: 978-1511548588

ISBN-10: 1511548584

Other books by Lawrence Pierce:

The Art of Fixing Things, principles of machines and how to repair them. Available only on Amazon.com

A big thank you to Margit Lieder for her advice, and red pen work.

Table of Contents

Introduction

I got interested in the whole topic of global warming and climate change late in life. After 23 years successfully practicing litigation law in Vancouver, B. C. I took my life savings in 2003 and bought a farm in the Gulf Islands of B.C. I wanted to grow grapes, and I knew that the location was a bit cool for what I wanted to do, but, no worries: there was a scientific consensus that it would get warmer. All the newspapers said so, and back then I still believed in the newspapers.

After two fairly good crops, it got cold and the grapes grew like crazy and needed lots of pruning, but did not ripen. I began to wonder what was going on. By this time I had built a winery, and had gotten into debt.

After doing a little research, I noticed several authors talking about a new cold spell that was just around the corner. Because I had to decide what to do about the farm: sell and move south; graft different grapes onto the root stock; go into cabbages and goats, I decided to go all out to try and figure out what was happening. My inquiries were built on what I had already read, but when the winter of 2013-14 came along I got worried.

This book is the result of that research.

Many people have come to regard global warming as something they believe in. The topic has taken on the status of a quasi-religion, but I prefer facts and evidence. This is my attempt to deal with the topic of global climate on the basis of science, not belief.

All the evidence available today proves that a New Little Ice Age is upon us, and it is going to be much colder and snowier in most parts of the Northern Hemisphere for the next 50 to 80 years than the winter of 2014-2015. But dont panic, knowledge is power, there are ways to survive and prosper during tough times, and it will be warmer than before in some parts of North America. Both you and the society you live in can come out of this stronger. The fact that you are reading this book is a great start.

The winter of 2012-2013 broke records all over the world. The Great Lakes were 92% frozen over, and winter seemed to drag on forever in Canada.

The winter of 2014-2015 was predicted by many researchers to be especially cold and snowy. Even the Old Farmers Almanac predicted in the late summer of 2014 the coming Refriger-nation cold spell.

There is a lot more to a New Little Ice Age than ice. In the last one, the Dalton Minimum, the worst of which lasted from about 1800 to 1850, there were devastating floods, excessive rain, major wind storms, rapid temperature changes, heavy snow and bitter cold in North America, and Europe, and a serious increase in volcanic activity around the world. However, there were also nice days, and generally the weather in the Western United States, and the West Coast of Canada was warmer than parts of North America in the 1800s and warmer than the 20 th century.

Sunspot cycles have been recorded for hundreds of years. Best known is the eleven year cycle. There is a complicated way to count them, but once counted, they can be put into a chart, and the eleven years runs from peak to peak. There are slight variations in this cycle, like in any natural cycle, because this cycle is based on the periodic alignment of the planets.

Longer cycles than the eleven year cycle are much more important. How do sunspots affect us? Actually they have no effect on us at all, but serve as a warning of what is happening inside the sun. Low counts have been associated with cold weather on Earth since their discovery by Galileo in 1609, with a new invention: the telescope.

In the Nineteenth Century the price of grain on the London market was high when sunspots were low, and when there were lots of sunspots the price of grain was low. This suggests that low sunspot numbers predict cool weather, but it takes more than a simple correlation, without more evidence to be so bold as to predict today that a catastrophic climate change to cold weather is upon us. These sorts of correlations are useless for predicting anything.

More recent scientific enquiry has demonstrated that when sunspot numbers are low, there is decreased output of solar magnetism, or the solar wind which normally protects the Earth from harmful cosmic rays. The Suns heliosphere surrounds and protects the entire solar system from these rays when the sunspot number is high.

There is a solid connection through observation of physical clues between low sunspots, and cold and erratic weather which has a record going back hundreds of years. Past increases in cosmic rays left a trace in the oceans and trees. Carbon 14 deposited in tree rings increases under cosmic ray bombardment, and deep ocean sediments and well as ice core studies from stable ice sheets in Greenland also document the increase of these rays.

Current global warming theories are driven by computer models which have consistently made predictions that did not come true. Commenting on 73 climate model predictions that are wrong, Dr. Roy Spencer said:

In my opinion, the day of reckoning has arrived. The modelers and the IPCC (the U.N. body that promotes global warming) have willingly ignored the evidence for low climate sensitivity for many years, despite the fact that some of us have shown that simply confusing cause and effect when examining cloud and temperature variations can totally mislead you on cloud feedbacks (e.g. Spencer & Braswell, 2010). The discrepancy between models and observations is not a new issuejust one that is becoming more glaring over time.

It will be interesting to see how all of this plays out in the coming years. I frankly dont see how the IPCC can keep claiming that the models are not inconsistent with the observations. Any sane person can see otherwise.

The current way of thinking about climate change is that it is human caused and all the solutions therefore must be man-made, and of course very expensive. Trillions of dollars have been spent trying to reduce carbon dioxide output, and regulate every aspect of human life. Yet the concentration of CO2 in the air has risen from 350 parts per million (ppm) to over 400 ppm in the last 60 years, with no increase in warming in the last 18 years.