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Masonson - All about market timing: the easy way to get started

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Use market timing to generate positive returnswith lower volatility! Events of the past decade have proven beyond doubt that buy-and-hold strategies dont work in bear markets. Market timing, however, is extraordinarily effective in declining markets and it provides positive returns in bull markets, as well. All About Market Timing, Second Edition, offers easy-to-use market-timing strategies you can weave into your investment approach. And its not as complex as you may think. In no time, youll master the skills you need to maximize profits while minimizing riskno matter what direction the market takes. Devoid of the incomprehensible jargon and complex theories of other books, All About Market Timing covers:

  • The five most profitable strategies for timing the market
    • The best market-timing resources available today, from newsletters to Web sites to advisors
    • Four indicators for determining the markets health
    • Techniques for...
  • Masonson: author's other books


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    All About MARKET TIMING

    THE EASY WAY TO GET STARTED

    OTHER TITLES IN THE ALL ABOUT FINANCE SERIES


    All About Technical Analysis
    by Constance Brown

    All About Stock Market Strategies
    by David A. Brown and Kassandra Bentley

    All About Six Sigma
    by Warren Brussee

    All About Derivatives, 2nd ed.
    by Michael Durbin

    All About High-Frequency Trading
    by Michael Durbin

    All About Bonds, Bond Mutual Funds, and Bond ETFs, 3rd ed.
    by Esm Faerber

    All About Investing
    by Esm Faerber

    All About Stocks, 3rd ed.
    by Esm Faerber

    All About Asset Allocation, 2nd ed.
    by Richard A. Ferri

    All About Index Funds, 2nd ed.
    by Richard A. Ferri

    All About Hedge Funds
    by Robert A. Jaeger

    All About Forex Trading
    by John Jagerson and S. Wade Hanson

    All About Investing in Gold
    by John Jagerson and S. Wade Hansen

    All About Options, 3rd ed.
    by Thomas A. McCafferty

    All About Dividend Investing, 2nd ed.
    by Don Schreiber, Jr., and Gary E. Stroik

    All About Market Indicators
    by Michael Sincere

    All About Short Selling
    By Tom Taulli

    All About Futures, 2nd ed.
    by Russell R. Wasendorf

    All About MARKET TIMING

    THE EASY WAY TO GET STARTED

    Second Edition

    LESLIE N. MASONSON

    Copyright 2011 by Leslie N Masonson All rights reserved Except as permitted - photo 1

    Copyright 2011 by Leslie N Masonson All rights reserved Except as permitted - photo 2

    Copyright 2011 by Leslie N. Masonson. All rights reserved. Except as permitted under the United States Copyright Act of 1976, no part of this publication may be reproduced or distributed in any form or by any means, or stored in a database or retrieval system, without the prior written permission of the publisher.

    ISBN: 978-0-07-175378-4
    MHID: 0-07-175378-8

    The material in this eBook also appears in the print version of this title: ISBN: 978-0-07-175377-7, MHID: 0-07-175377-X.

    All trademarks are trademarks of their respective owners. Rather than put a trademark symbol after every occurrence of a trademarked name, we use names in an editorial fashion only, and to the benefit of the trademark owner, with no intention of infringement of the trademark. Where such designations appear in this book, they have been printed with initial caps.

    McGraw-Hill eBooks are available at special quantity discounts to use as premiums and sales promotions, or for use in corporate training programs. To contact a representative please e-mail us at bulksales@mcgraw-hill.com.

    This publication is designed to provide accurate and authoritative information in regard to the subject matter covered. It is sold with the understanding that neither the author nor the publisher is engaged in rendering legal, accounting, or other professional service. If legal advice or other expert assistance is required, the services of a competent professional person should be sought.

    From a Declaration of Principles Jointly Adopted by
    a Committee of the American Bar Association and
    a Committee of Publishers and Associations

    TERMS OF USE

    This is a copyrighted work and The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. (McGraw-Hill) and its licensors reserve all rights in and to the work. Use of this work is subject to these terms. Except as permitted under the Copyright Act of 1976 and the right to store and retrieve one copy of the work, you may not decompile, disassemble, reverse engineer, reproduce, modify, create derivative works based upon, transmit, distribute, disseminate, sell, publish or sublicense the work or any part of it without McGraw-Hills prior consent. You may use the work for your own noncommercial and personal use; any other use of the work is strictly prohibited. Your right to use the work may be terminated if you fail to comply with these terms.

    THE WORK IS PROVIDED AS IS. McGRAW-HILL AND ITS LICENSORS MAKE NO GUARANTEES OR WARRANTIES AS TO THE ACCURACY, ADEQUACY OR COMPLETENESS OF OR RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED FROM USING THE WORK, INCLUDING ANY INFORMATION THAT CAN BE ACCESSED THROUGH THE WORK VIA HYPERLINK OR OTHERWISE, AND EXPRESSLY DISCLAIM ANY WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. McGraw-Hill and its licensors do not warrant or guarantee that the functions contained in the work will meet your requirements or that its operation will be uninterrupted or error free. Neither McGraw-Hill nor its licensors shall be liable to you or anyone else for any inaccuracy, error or omission, regardless of cause, in the work or for any damages resulting there from. McGraw-Hill has no responsibility for the content of any information accessed through the work. Under no circumstances shall McGraw-Hill and/or its licensors be liable for any indirect, incidental, special, punitive, consequential or similar damages that result from the use of or inability to use the work, even if any of them has been advised of the possibility of such damages. This limitation of liability shall apply to any claim or cause whatsoever whether such claim or cause arises in contract, tort or otherwise.

    To my parents and grandparents, who instilled in me the appropriate values and a thirst for learning that has helped me succeed in this challenging world.

    To my beloved and incredible family.

    And to all investors all across America: May you all benefit from the research and strategies in this book to find a smarter and safer way to invest and preserve your hard-earned money.

    CONTENTS

    Chapter 1
    The Stock Market = Bull Markets + Bear Markets

    Chapter 2
    The Buy-and-Hold Myth

    Chapter 3
    Market Timing: What You Need to Know

    Chapter 4
    Determing the Markets Trend

    Chapter 5
    No-Load Mutual Funds: Index, Sector, and Leveraged Funds

    Chapter 6
    Exchange-Traded Funds

    Chapter 7
    Calendar-Based Investing: The Best Six Months Strategy

    Chapter 8
    Combining Presidential Cycle Years with Seasonality

    Chapter 9
    Using Simple Moving Averages to Time the Market

    Chapter 10
    The Value Line 4 Percent Strategy versus the Value Line 3 Percent Strategy

    Chapter 11
    Nasdaq Composite 6 Percent Strategy

    Chapter 12
    Market Timing Resources: Newsletters, Web Sites, and Advisors

    FOREWORD

    Market timing may be the most challenging approach to successful long-term investing. It can be tough and ugly. I know this well because Ive been a market-timer in the trenches since 1983 both as an investor and as an advisor.

    Timing requires thick skin and iron resolve. Because it is generally misunderstood, market timing is almost universally scorned on Wall Street.

    Yet market timing can be an important tool for risk-averse investors. When it is used consistently over long periods of time, timing can improve returns dramatically while reducing risk, as Les Masonson has demonstrated repeatedly in this book.

    If those in the establishment financial media were to study this book, they would be better able to reduce a tide of misguided negative articles about timing. Too many financial writers have discovered that they can easily prove that timing doesnt work and cant possibly work. However, those authors rarely specify any measurable definition of what would be necessary for a strategy to qualify as one that works.

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