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Steven J. Harper - The Lawyer Bubble: A Profession in Crisis

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Too many American lawyers are miserable. Though they have chosen a profession that often makes them wealthy and respected, they have high rates of depression and suicide, and the majority of practicing lawyers would counsel young people to choose a different career path. The Great Recession has only worsened matters, as more and more of those young people decide to wait out the bad economy in law school, only to end up competing for a shrinking number of available jobs. Meanwhile, those who are able to get the elusive job in the big firm find that professional values have been sacrificed to short-term metrics.
In The Lawyer Bubble, Steven J. Harper explores how the legal profession came to this sorry state. He investigates the troubling mismatch between the number of lawyers produced and the number of law jobs available, skyrocketing rates of attorney dissatisfaction, and an overall sense that what once made the law a unique vocation is disappearing. He outlines how this much-discussed crisis germinated with the U.S News rankings obsession, the rapid growth in law school tuition, and the use of short-term business school-type metrics to measure success in firms all of which have intensified during the Great Recession.
As Harper reveals, the numbers are as astonishing as they are disheartening. Though the Bureau of Labor Statistics estimates that only 73,600 legal jobs will be created this decade, 50,000 law students graduate each year, and 85% of them graduate with around $100,000 in debt. Among those lucky enough to find a job that requires a JD, only one in ten will end up working for the sort of six-figure salary necessary to begin paying off that debt. Among those lucky few, even fewer will achieve equity partnerships, which are more and more out of reach as current partners work to increase the ratio of associates to partners in their firms. The game is rigged, yet eager hordes of bright young people continue to step over each other in order to get at jobs with high rates of depression, life-consuming hours, and not as sure a guarantee of financial stability as they expect. No one within the system has any incentive to buck it, and as a once-respected profession devolves into just another business, life is going to become ever more miserable for the vast majority of law students and lawyers.
In this meticulously research and passionately argued book, Harper exposes the dirty secrets of the laws increasingly troubled state in profoundly troubled times. The Lawyer Bubble is essential reading not just for lawyers and people who want to be lawyers, but for anyone who wants to understand how a once highly respected profession went so wrong, and how it can be restored to its former glory.

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The

LAWYER
BUBBLE


The

LAWYER
BUBBLE

A PROFESSION IN CRISIS

STEVEN J. HARPER


BASIC BOOKS

A Member of the Perseus Books Group
New York

Copyright 2013 by Steven J. Harper

Published by Basic Books,

A Member of the Perseus Books Group

All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any manner whatsoever without written permission except in the case of brief quotations embodied in critical articles and reviews. For information, address Basic Books, 250 West 57th Street, New York, NY 10107.

Books published by Basic Books are available at special discounts for bulk purchases in the United States by corporations, institutions, and other organizations. For more information, please contact the Special Markets Department at the Perseus Books Group, 2300 Chestnut Street, Suite 200, Philadelphia, PA 19103, or call (800) 810-4145, ext. 5000, or e-mail .

Designed by Pauline Brown

Typeset in 11.5 point Adobe Caslon Pro

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Harper, Steven J., 1954

The lawyer bubble : a profession in crisis / Steven J. Harper.

p.cm.

Includes bibliographical references and index.

ISBN 978-0-465-05877-8 (pbk.)ISBN 978-0-465-05874-7 (e-book)

1. Practice of lawUnited StatesPopular works. 2. LawyersJob satisfactionUnited StatesPopular works. 3. Law firmsUnited StatesPopular works. 4. LawVocational guidanceUnited StatesPopular works. I. Title.

KF300.H3687 2013

331.7'613400973dc23

2012048153

10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

For my wife, our children,
and our grandchildren

CONTENTS





DEFLATING
THE BUBBLE


W HEN I APPLIED TO LAW SCHOOL in 1975, the nation was recovering from a severe and prolonged recession. Even so, I always assumed that Id be able to make a comfortable living with a legal degree, although I didnt think that practicing law would make me rich. Three and a half years later, I became a new associate at one of the nations largest law firms, Kirkland & Ellis. It had about 150 attorneys in two offices, Chicago and Washington, D.C. My annual salary was $25,000, which is $100,000 in 2012 dollars. There were rumors that some partners in large firms earned as much as ten or fifteen times that amount; by any measure, that was and is a lot of money.

The unlikely prospect of amassing great wealth wasnt what attracted me to the law. Rather, I saw it as a prestigious profession whose practitioners enjoyed personally satisfying careers in which they provided others with counsel, advice, judgment, and a unique set of skills. Mentors at my first and only law firm taught me to focus on a single result: high-quality work for clients. If I accomplished that goal, everything else would take care of itself.

Today, the business of law focuses law school deans and practitioners in big law firms on something else: maximizing immediate profits for their institutions. That has muddied the professions mission and, even worse, set it on a course to become yet another object lesson in the perils of short-term thinking. Like the dot-com, real estate, and financial bubbles that preceded it, the lawyer bubble wont end well, either. But now is the time to consider its causes, stop its growth, and take steps that might soften the impact when it bursts.

The Lawyer Bubble is about much more than lawyers. Its about a mentality that has accompanied the corporatization of Americas most important institutions, including the legal professiona dramatic transformation that is still unfolding. Behind the change is a drive to boost current-year performance and profits at the expense of more enduring values for which there are no quantifiable measures. But omitting critical costs from the decision-making calculus doesnt make them any less important or their damaging consequences any less profound.

This book focuses on lawyers because I know them best. For more than thirty years, Ive been a successful and generally satisfied one. I led what anyone would call a charmed life in the law. I grew up watching lawyers on television trying cases. As a real attorney, thats what I did, too. Neither of my parents attended college, but they assumed that any child who entered the legal profession would gain societys respect in ways theyd never achieved. For me, that turned out to be true as well. Then as now, most people assumed that the legal profession offered financial security and a way to climb out of the lower or middle class. Career satisfaction, upward mobility, social status, financial securitywho could ask for more?

It was always a naive view, but todays rewards are far less certain. From start to finish, the profession now faces a largely self-inflicted crisis. Unfortunate trends began twenty-five years ago, accelerated as the new millennium approached, and continue to this day. The Great Recession worsened them.

As Ive noted, this phenomenon isnt unique to the law. In fact, it afflicts many professions that people traditionally regarded as callings rather than just another job. Doctors find themselves at the mercy of nonmedical bean counters establishing incentive structures that determine how they treat their patients. Journalists become news marketers because corporate media owners see more profit in entertainment than in maintaining large news bureaus filled with investigative reporters. As professors sit through budget meetings while pondering their institutions incentives toward writing grant proposals and away from educating students, they wonder what qualifies their colleges or universities as not-for-profit. Pick almost any once proud professionthe great transformation is killing them all.

The legal profession has become a victim of these trends, resulting in a massive oversupply of lawyers, growing career dissatisfaction among practicing attorneys generally, and the increasing fragility of the prevailing big-law-firm business model in particular. At a moment when psychologists, sociologists, and even national leaders are beginning to recognize the importance of well-being and morale to health, worker productivity, and society as a whole, lawyers suffer from disproportionately high rates of depression, alcoholism, and substance abuse. Recent surveys report that six out of ten attorneys who have been practicing for ten years or more say they advise young people to avoid law school. As new attorneys scramble for spots in the nations premier firms, some of those venerable legal establishments are failing and many others have more problems than they realize or are willing to admit.

This book focuses on two important segments of the legal profession: law schools, because theyre points of entry for every would-be lawyer, and big law firms, because their combination of power, prestige, and wealth gives them a special role. Although attorneys working in law firms of more than 160 lawyers account for only 15 percent of practicing attorneys today, their influence is far greater than their numbers. For example, almost all law schools lure prospective students into their JD programs with promotional materials that cite six-figure starting salaries for new graduates, even though only some large law firms pay that kind of money and most schools have little chance of placing any of their graduates in those jobs. Another indicator of big firms importance is the media attention they generate. The

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