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Understanding New Yorks Crime Drop

This book explores New York Citys historic crime drop over the past quarter of a century. New York Citys dramatic crime decline is a real brainteaser: no one predicted it and, as of yet, no one has explained it, at least to the satisfaction of most social scientists who study crime trends.

Three strategic lessons emerge from the contributions to this volume on New Yorks crime drop. It is suggested that future research should:

go wide by putting New York in comparative context, nationally and internationally;

go long by putting New Yorks recent experience in historical context;

develop a strong ground game by investigating New Yorks crime drop across multiple spatial units, down to the street segment.

The contributors to Understanding New Yorks Crime Drop aim to provoke expanded and sustained attention to crime trends in New York and elsewhere.

This book was originally published as a special issue of the journal, Justice Quarterly.

Richard Rosenfeld is the Curators Distinguished Professor Emeritus of Criminology and Criminal Justice at the University of MissouriSt. Louis, USA. He has written extensively on crime trends, policing, and criminal justice policy. Dr Rosenfeld is a Fellow and former President of the American Society of Criminology.

Karen Terry is Professor in the Department of Criminal Justice at John Jay College of Criminal Justice, USA. She publishes primarily in the areas of sexual victimization and policing.

Preeti Chauhan is Associate Professor in the Psychology Department and the Director of the Data Collaborative for Justice at John Jay College of Criminal Justice, USA. Her work has focused on policing, incarceration, and lower-level enforcement.

Understanding New Yorks Crime Drop

Edited by
Richard Rosenfeld, Karen Terry,
and Preeti Chauhan

First published 2020
by Routledge
2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon, OX14 4RN

and by Routledge
52 Vanderbilt Avenue, New York, NY 10017

Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business

2020 Academy of Criminal Justice Sciences

All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilised in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers.

Trademark notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe.

British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data
A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library

ISBN13: 978-0-367-48159-9

Typeset in Myriad Pro
by Newgen Publishing UK

Publishers Note
The publisher accepts responsibility for any inconsistencies that may have arisen during the conversion of this book from journal articles to book chapters, namely the inclusion of journal terminology.

Disclaimer
Every effort has been made to contact copyright holders for their permission to reprint material in this book. The publishers would be grateful to hear from any copyright holder who is not here acknowledged and will undertake to rectify any errors or omissions in future editions of this book.

Contents

Richard Rosenfeld, Karen Terry and Preeti Chauhan

Eric P. Baumer and Kevin T. Wolff

Lauren J. Krivo

Min Xie

Michael D. White

Richard Rosenfeld and Robert Fornango

Steven F. Messner and Eric P. Baumer

David Weisburd, Cody W. Telep and Brian A. Lawton

David F. Greenberg

David McDowall

The chapters in this book chapters were originally published in the Justice Quarterly, volume 31, issue 1 (February 2014). When citing this material, please use the original page numbering for each article, as follows:

Introduction

New Yorks Crime Drop Puzzle

Richard Rosenfeld, Karen Terry and Preeti Chauhan

Justice Quarterly, volume 31, issue 1 (February 2014), pp. 14

Chapter 1

Evaluating Contemporary Crime Drop(s) in America, New York City, and Many Other Places

Eric P. Baumer and Kevin T. Wolff

Justice Quarterly, volume 31, issue 1 (February 2014), pp. 538

Chapter 2

Placing the Crime Decline in Context: A Comment on Baumer and Wolff

Lauren J. Krivo

Justice Quarterly, volume 31, issue 1 (February 2014), pp. 3942

Chapter 3

Area Differences and Time Trends in Crime Reporting: Comparing New York with Other Metropolitan Areas

Min Xie

Justice Quarterly, volume 31, issue 1 (February 2014), pp. 4373

Chapter 4

The New York City Police Department, its Crime Control Strategies and Organizational Changes, 1970-2009

Michael D. White

Justice Quarterly, volume 31, issue 1 (February 2014), pp. 7495

Chapter 5

The Impact of Police Stops on Precinct Robbery and Burglary Rates in New York City, 2003-2010

Richard Rosenfeld and Robert Fornango

Justice Quarterly, volume 31, issue 1 (February 2014), pp. 96122

Chapter 6

Stop, Question, and Assess: Comments on Rosenfeld and Fornango

Steven F. Messner and Eric P. Baumer

Justice Quarterly, volume 31, issue 1 (February 2014), pp. 123128

Chapter 7

Could Innovations in Policing have Contributed to the New York City Crime Drop even in a Period of Declining Police Strength?: The Case of Stop, Question and Frisk as a Hot Spots Policing Strategy

David Weisburd, Cody W. Telep and Brian A. Lawton

Justice Quarterly, volume 31, issue 1 (February 2014), pp. 129153

Chapter 8

Studying New York Citys Crime Decline: Methodological Issues

David F. Greenberg

Justice Quarterly, volume 31, issue 1 (February 2014), pp. 154188

Chapter 9

Time Series Properties of Crime Rate Changes: Comments Related to David Greenbergs Paper

David McDowall

Justice Quarterly, volume 31, issue 1 (February 2014), pp. 189192

For any permission-related enquiries please visit:
www.tandfonline.com/page/help/permissions

Eric P. Baumer is Professor of Sociology and Criminology at Penn State University, USA.

Preeti Chauhan is Associate Professor of Psychology at the John Jay College of Criminal Justice, USA.

Robert Fornango completed his PhD in Criminology and Criminal justice at the University of MissouriSt Louis, USA.

David F. Greenberg is Professor of Sociology at New York University, USA.

Lauren J. Krivo is Professor of Sociology at Rutgers University, New Brunswick, USA.

Brian A. Lawton is Associate Professor at the John Jay College of Criminal Justice, USA.

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