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Deborah Jean Rumsey - Statistics for dummies

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Deborah Jean Rumsey Statistics for dummies

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In the numbers explosion all around us in our modern-day dealings, the buzzword is data, as in, Do you have any data to support your claim? The data supported the original hypothesis that . . . and The data bear this out. . . . But the field of statistics is not just about data. Statistics is the entire process involved in gathering evidence to answer questions about the world, in cases where that evidence happens to be numerical data.Statistics For Dummies is for everyone who wants to sort through and evaluate the incredible amount of statistical information that comes to them on a daily basis. (You know the stuff: charts, graphs, tables, as well as headlines that talk about the results of the latest poll, survey, experiment, or other scientific study.) This book arms you with the ability to decipher and make important decisions about statistical results, being ever aware of the ways in which people can mislead you with statistics. Get the inside scoop on number-crunching nuances, plus insight into how you canDetermine the oddsCalculate a standard scoreFind the margin of errorRecognize the impact of pollsEstablish criteria for a good surveyMake informed decisions about experimentsThis down-to-earth reference is chock-full of real examples from real sources that are relevant to your everyday life: from the latest medical breakthroughs, crime studies, and population trends to surveys on Internet dating, cell phone use, and the worst cars of the millennium. Statistics For Dummies departs from traditional statistics texts, references, supplement books, and study guides in the following ways:Practical and intuitive explanations of statistical concepts, ideas, techniques, formulas, and calculations.Clear and concise step-by-step procedures that intuitively explain how to work through statistics problems.Upfront and honest answers to your questions like, What does this really mean? and When and how I will ever use this?Chances are, Statistics For Dummies will be your No. 1 resource for discovering how numerical data figures into your corner of the universe.

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Statistics for Dummies
Deborah Rumsey Ph.D.

Published by Wiley Publishing, Inc.
111 River St.
Hoboken, NJ 07030
http://www.wiley.com

Copyright 2003 Wiley Publishing, Inc.,

Indianapolis, Indiana

Published by Wiley Publishing, Inc., Indianapolis, Indiana

Published simultaneously in Canada

No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise, except as permitted under Sections 107 or 108 of the 1976 United States Copyright Act, without either the prior written permission of the Publisher, or authorization through payment of the appropriate per-copy fee to the Copyright Clearance Center, 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, 978-750-8400, fax 978-646-8700. Requests to the Publisher for permission should be addressed to the Legal Department, Wiley Publishing, Inc., 10475 Crosspoint Blvd., Indianapolis, IN 46256, 317-572-3447, fax 317-572-4447, e-mail: .

Trademarks: Wiley, the Wiley Publishing logo, For Dummies, the Dummies Man logo, A Reference for the Rest of Us!, The Dummies Way, Dummies Daily, The Fun and Easy Way, Dummies.com and related trade dress are trademarks or registered trademarks of Wiley Publishing, Inc., and/or its affiliates in the United States and other countries, and may not be used without written permission. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners. Wiley Publishing, Inc., is not associated with any product or vendor mentioned in this book.

LIMIT OF LIABILITY/DISCLAIMER OF WARRANTY: WHILE THE PUBLISHER AND AUTHOR HAVE USED THEIR BEST EFFORTS IN PREPARING THIS BOOK, THEY MAKE NO REPRESENTATIONS OR WARRANTIES WITH RESPECT TO THE ACCURACY OR COMPLETENESS OF THE CONTENTS OF THIS BOOK AND SPECIFICALLY DISCLAIM ANY IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. NO WARRANTY MAY BE CREATED OR EXTENDED BY SALES REPRESENTATIVES OR WRITTEN SALES MATERIALS. THE ADVICE AND STRATEGIES CONTAINED HEREIN MAY NOT BE SUITABLE FOR YOUR SITUATION. YOU SHOULD CONSULT WITH A PROFESSIONAL WHERE APPROPRIATE. NEITHER THE PUBLISHER NOR AUTHOR SHALL BE LIABLE FOR ANY LOSS OF PROFIT OR ANY OTHER COMMERCIAL DAMAGES, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO SPECIAL, INCIDENTAL, CONSEQUENTIAL, OR OTHER DAMAGES.

For general information on our other products and services or to obtain technical support, please contact our Customer Care Department within the U.S. at 800-762-2974, outside the U.S. at 317-572-3993, or fax 317-572-4002.

Wiley also publishes its books in a variety of electronic formats. Some content that appears in print may not be available in electronic books.

Library of Congress Control Number: 2002102342

0-7645-5423-9

Manufactured in the United States of America

10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

WILEY is a trademark of Wiley Publishing, Inc.

About the Author

Deborah Rumsey earned her Ph.D. in statistics from Ohio State University (OSU) in 1993. Upon graduating, she joined the faculty in the Department of Statistics at Kansas State University, winning the distinguished Presidential Teaching Award and earning tenure and promotion in 1998. In 2000, she returned to OSU as the Director of the Mathematics and Statistics Learning Center, where she is today. Deb is the Editor of the "Teaching Bits" of the Journal of Statistics Education; she has also published papers and given professional presentations on the subject of statistics education, with a particular emphasis on statistical literacy (skills for understanding statistics in everyday life and the workplace) and immersive learning environments (environments that promote students' discovery of ideas on their own). Her passions include fishing, bird watching, and Ohio State Buckeye football (not necessarily in that order).

Dedication

To my husband, Eric, and my son, Clint Eric: You are my greatest teachers.

Author's Acknowledgments

I'd like to thank the people that made this book possible: Kathy Cox, for asking me to write the book I'd always dreamed of writing; Tere Drenth, for handling my dream with just the right touch to make sure it was finished on time and in the right format; Janet Dunn, for her thorough copyedit; John Gabrosek, Grand Valley State University, for his thorough technical review. Also, many thanks for the Composition Services department at Wiley Publishing, Inc., who created all of the equations in this book and managed the difficult layout issues beautifully.

To Peg Steigerwald, Mike O'Leary, and my colleague Jim Higgins: The many scribbling-on-a-napkin conversations we've had about statistics helped shape the way I think and talk about it. Thank you for making it real and for cheering me on. Thanks to Tony Barkauskas, UW-LaCrosse, the first and best professor I ever had, for inspiring me. I am so grateful to my friends in the Department of Statistics and the Mathematics and Statistics Learning Center at Ohio State who gave me constant support and encouragement. And a big thank you to my family for their love and faith in me.

Publisher's Acknowledgments

We're proud of this book; please send us your comments through our Dummies online registration form located at http://www.dummies.com/register/. Some of the people who helped bring this book to market include the following:

Acquisitions, Editorial, and Media Development

Project Editor: Tere Drenth
Acquisitions Editor: Kathy Cox
Copy Editor: Janet S. Dunn, Ph.D.
Technical Editor: John Gabrosek, Ph.D.
Editorial Manager: Michelle Hacker
Editorial Assistant: Elizabeth Rea
Cartoons: Rich Tennant, http://www.the5thwave.com

Production

Project Coordinator: Nancee Reeves
Layout and Graphics: Seth Conley, Carrie Foster, Kristin McMullan, Jacque Schneider, Erin Zeltner
Proofreaders: John Tyler Connoley, Andy Hollandbeck, Carl William Pierce, TECHBOOKS Production Services
Indexer: John Griffitts

Publishing and Editorial for Consumer Dummies

Diane Graves Steele, Vice President and Publisher, Consumer Dummies
Joyce Pepple, Acquisitions Director, Consumer Dummies
Kristin A. Cocks, Product Development Director, Consumer Dummies
Michael Spring, Vice President and Publisher, Travel
Brice Gosnell, Associate Publisher, Travel
Kelly Regan, Editorial Director, Travel
Publishing for Technology Dummies
Andy Cummings, Vice President and Publisher, Dummies Technology/General User
Composition Services
Gerry Fahey, Vice President of Production Services
Debbie Stailey, Director of Composition Services

Introduction

The purpose of this book is to get you ready to sort through and evaluate the incredible amount of statistical information that comes to you on a daily basis. (You know the stuff: charts, graphs, tables, as well as headlines that talk about the results of the latest poll, survey, experiment, or other scientific study.) This book arms you with the ability to decipher and make important decisions about statistical results (for example, the results of the latest medical studies), being ever aware of the ways in which people can mislead you with statistics and how to handle them.

This book is chock-full of real examples from real sources that are relevant to your everyday life: from the latest medical breakthroughs, crime studies, and population trends to surveys on Internet dating, cellphone use, and the worst cars of the millennium. By reading the chapters in this book, you begin to understand how to use charts, graphs, and tables, and you also know how to examine the results of the latest polls, surveys, experiments, or other studies. You even find out how to use crickets to gauge temperature and how to win a bigger jackpot in the lottery.

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