Richard Garwin, a designer of the hydrogen bomb, was called by Nobel Laureate Enrico Fermi the only true genius I had ever met. Testifying to Congress in March 2007, Mr. Garwin estimated a 20 percent per year probability of a nuclear explosion with American cities and European cities included. My Harvard Colleague, Matthew Bunn, created a model that estimates the probability of a terrorist nuclear attack over a ten year period at 29 percent.
Graham Allison, director of the Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, Kennedy School of Government, and former assistant Secretary of Defense (Washington Times, April 23, 2008)
Blessed is he who reads and those who hear the words of the prophecy, and heeds the things which are written in it; for the time is near.
In the Not-Too-Distant Future
At twelve thousand feet, alarm bells started going off all over the cockpit of the Navy EA-6B Prowler. At first Captain Louder thought theyd run into a flock of birds, but they were much too high up.
Captain, shouted his lead ECM officer, Lieutenant Emmit Wilson, on-board computers have crashed.
Avionics?
Screwed up, sir.
Navigation?
Everythings bugging out, sir, said his navigation officer, Lieutenant Jim Stewart, a bespectacled electronics nerd from the Naval Communications School at Pensacola.
Were we hit?
Not that I can see, sir.
Captain Louder glanced quickly at the jet engine to his left. No smoke, no oil. He glanced to his right. The other engine appeared equally sound. Everything seemed normal, but the instruments said otherwise: pressure dropping, fuel gauge empty, altimeter and directional indicators completely out of whack.
I need answers, men.
Though the crew was good at their jobs, they were young, and the person they usually looked to for answers was Captain Louder.
Thats an order!
Sir, said Lieutenant Wilson hesitantly, all I can think of is that we were hit with some kind of massive electromagnetic charge, either internal or external, fried all our instruments or
Or?
Or the Koreans have some new kind of sophisticated jamming system.
Were supposed to be doing the jamming, not them.
The Prowlers chief mission was reconnaissance and radar suppression, its weapons sophisticated electronic jamming equipment and a single HARMhigh-speed anti-radiation missilethat could seek out and destroy enemy radar defenses all on its own.
What about sunspots, sir? suggested Lieutenant Stewart.
More likely we ran into Santa Claus, growled Captain Louder as he fought to maintain control of the stick and keep the aircraft steady, but its only September. He didnt need guesses now; he needed solutionsand fast.
HQ Foxfire, this is Looking Glass, over, he yelled into the radio. HQ Foxfire, this is Looking Glass, do you read me, over.
Were twenty minutes early on our verbal, sir. Theyre not going to respond, said Lieutenant Stewart.
Or else the radios dead too. Anything still work on this plane?
The youngest of the three ECMOs, Lieutenant Derrick Milius, a pimply faced twenty-one-year-old from Lubbock, Texas, shyly pulled an iPod out of his shirt pocket. He plugged it into the aircrafts intercom. The twangy strains of Hank Williams Jr. filled the cockpit.
A little inspiration, sir.
HQ Foxfire, this is Looking Glass, overHQ Foxfire, this is Looking Glass, do you read me, over. The voice of Captain Louder crackled over the speakers in the Tactical Communications Bunker at Osan Air Base, just forty-eight miles south of the DMZ.
Do we respond, sir?
Wing Commander Charles Stamper chomped down on another stick of Nicorette gum. What he really needed was a cigarette, but the base had recently gone smoke-free, and he had to lead by example.
No. We have strict orders to maintain radio silence all along the parallel.
A tinny version of Hank Williams Jr.s Born to Boogie seeped through the speakers followed by, HQ Foxfire, this is Looking Glass; we have a situation up here; request permission to break off current flight path and return to base, over.
No one in the communications bunker said a word, waiting for the commander to speak; the only sound now his obsessive gum chewing.
Hank Williams Jr.s warble returned, then, HQ Foxfire, this is Looking Glass, breaking off current flight path, requesting secondary landing site, do you copy, over.
Do we respond now, sir?
Commander Stamper bit his tongue accidentally. The orders were explicit. No radio contact with planes over the DMZ. But he knew Captain Louder personally, probably owed him a few bucks from a poker game or two, and he knew he wouldnt break radio silence unless he had to. He also knew the captain wouldnt want to give out too much information over the radio. They both knew that the North Korean military, known as the Korean Peoples Army, or the KPA, were always listening, looking to turn every situation to their advantage. But still. Captain Louder was listening to music in the cockpit. Country music. Was that code for something? He wracked his brain but came up with nothing.