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Ying Liu - Reliability Theory Based on Uncertain Lifetimes

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Ying Liu Reliability Theory Based on Uncertain Lifetimes
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This book, to reflect the systems diverse, relevant characteristics, uses three different mathematical tools, namely probability theory, fuzzy theory and random fuzzy theory, to model and analyze the reliability of each system. Reliability system engineering is an interdisciplinary area that chiefly focuses on the lifecycle characteristics of products and involves many fields of basic mathematics, technical science and management science. In recent years, there have been many books on reliability theory, but comparatively few on the reliability of mathematical models, or the reliability of mathematical models based on single probability theory or fuzzy theory. The findings presented here will not only enrich and expand traditional reliability theory, but also promote the development of related disciplines, lending the book considerable theoretical significance.

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Book cover of Reliability Theory Based on Uncertain Lifetimes Ying Liu - photo 1
Book cover of Reliability Theory Based on Uncertain Lifetimes
Ying Liu
Reliability Theory Based on Uncertain Lifetimes
1st ed. 2021
Logo of the publisher Logo of the publisher Ying Liu Tianjin University - photo 2
Logo of the publisher
Logo of the publisher Ying Liu Tianjin University of Science and - photo 3
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Ying Liu
Tianjin University of Science and Technology, Tianjin, China
ISBN 978-981-16-0994-7 e-ISBN 978-981-16-0995-4
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-0995-4

Jointly published with National Defense Industry Press

The print edition is not for sale in China Mainland. Customers from China Mainland please order the print book from: National Defense Industry Press.

ISBN of the Co-Publisher's edition: 978-7-118-11716-5

National Defense Industry Press 2021
This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved by the Publishers, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of reprinting, reuse of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in any other physical way, and transmission or information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed.
The use of general descriptive names, registered names, trademarks, service marks, etc. in this publication does not imply, even in the absence of a specific statement, that such names are exempt from the relevant protective laws and regulations and therefore free for general use.
The publishers, the authors, and the editors are safe to assume that the advice and information in this book are believed to be true and accurate at the date of publication. Neither the publishers nor the authors or the editors give a warranty, express or implied, with respect to the material contained herein or for any errors or omissions that may have been made. The publishers remain neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

This Springer imprint is published by the registered company Springer Nature Singapore Pte Ltd.

The registered company address is: 152 Beach Road, #21-01/04 Gateway East, Singapore 189721, Singapore

Preface

Reliability system engineering is an interdisciplinary subject whose main research object is the life characteristics of products. It involves many fields of basic mathematics, engineering technology and management science. In recent years, many related books have appeared in the field of reliability. However, there are relatively few books on reliability mathematical models, or reliability mathematical models established only on the basis of probability theory or fuzzy theory. According to the different life characteristics of systems, this book uses three different mathematical tools: probability theory, fuzzy theory and random fuzzy theory to model and analyze the reliability of systems, which is also the feature of this book. The contents of this book can not only enrich and improve the traditional reliability theory, but also promote the development of related disciplines, which has important theoretical significance.

The book is divided into six chapters, among which Chaps. extract some contents from the Introduction to Reliability Mathematics coauthored by Professor Jinhua Cao and Professor Kan Cheng, so as to facilitate readers to compare the reliability mathematical models established by the three mathematical tools.

Chapter , the reliability mathematical models of nonrepairable systems and repairable systems under random fuzzy environment are established, respectively.

This book can be used as a teaching material for senior undergraduates and postgraduates of science and engineering related majors, as well as a reference book for engineers and reliability practitioners to understand the basic theory of reliability. At the same time, readers are welcome to put forward valuable opinions and suggestions on this book.

As this book is to be published, I would like to express my heartfelt thanks to Prof. Wansheng Tang, Prof. Rui Kang, Prof. Xiaozhong Li, Prof. Ruiqing Zhao and Prof. Yanping Wang for their support and encouragement to publish this book. I would like to express my sincere thanks to my graduate students Yao Ma, Dongxue Liu, Liuying Ma, Lina Ha, Jinbang Shao, Zifeng Liu, Yunyun Yang and Shuqian Guan, who assisted the author to collate the literature! I would like to express my heartfelt thanks to editor Tianming Bai of National Defense Industry Press for editing and publishing the book!

Ying Liu
Tianjin, China
August 2020
Contents
National Defense Industry Press 2021
Y. Liu Reliability Theory Based on Uncertain Lifetimes https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-16-0995-4_1
1. Uncertain Mathematical Foundation
Ying Liu
(1)
Tianjin University of Science and Technology, Tianjin, China
Ying Liu
Email:
1.1 Probability Theory

Probability theory is a branch of mathematics that studies the behavior of random phenomena. It is generally believed that the study of probability theory was started by Pascal and Fermat in the seventeenth century when they succeeded in deriving the exact probabilities for certain gambling problems. After that, probability theory was subsequently studied by many researchers. A great progress was achieved when von Mises [1] initialized the concept of sample space in 1931. A complete axiomatic foundation of probability theory was given by Kolmogorov [2] in 1933. Since then, probability theory has been developed steadily and widely applied in science and engineering.

1.1.1 Probability Measure

Let Reliability Theory Based on Uncertain Lifetimes - image 4 be a nonempty set, and let Reliability Theory Based on Uncertain Lifetimes - image 5 be a -algebra over Reliability Theory Based on Uncertain Lifetimes - image 6 . Each element in is called an event In order to present an axiomatic definition of probability - photo 7 is called an event. In order to present an axiomatic definition of probability, the following three axioms are assumed:

Axiom 1

(Normality Axiom) Reliability Theory Based on Uncertain Lifetimes - image 8 for the universal set Reliability Theory Based on Uncertain Lifetimes - image 9 .

Axiom 2

(Nonnegativity Axiom) Reliability Theory Based on Uncertain Lifetimes - image 10

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