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Eryk Lewinson - Python for Finance Cookbook: Over 50 recipes for applying modern Python libraries to financial data analysis

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Solve common and not-so-common financial problems using Python libraries such as NumPy, SciPy, and pandas

Key Features
  • Use powerful Python libraries such as pandas, NumPy, and SciPy to analyze your financial data
  • Explore unique recipes for financial data analysis and processing with Python
  • Estimate popular financial models such as CAPM and GARCH using a problem-solution approach
Book Description

Python is one of the most popular programming languages used in the financial industry, with a huge set of accompanying libraries.

In this book, youll cover different ways of downloading financial data and preparing it for modeling. Youll calculate popular indicators used in technical analysis, such as Bollinger Bands, MACD, RSI, and backtest automatic trading strategies. Next, youll cover time series analysis and models, such as exponential smoothing, ARIMA, and GARCH (including multivariate specifications), before exploring the popular CAPM and the Fama-French three-factor model. Youll then discover how to optimize asset allocation and use Monte Carlo simulations for tasks such as calculating the price of American options and estimating the Value at Risk (VaR). In later chapters, youll work through an entire data science project in the financial domain. Youll also learn how to solve the credit card fraud and default problems using advanced classifiers such as random forest, XGBoost, LightGBM, and stacked models. Youll then be able to tune the hyperparameters of the models and handle class imbalance. Finally, youll focus on learning how to use deep learning (PyTorch) for approaching financial tasks.

By the end of this book, youll have learned how to effectively analyze financial data using a recipe-based approach.

What you will learn
  • Download and preprocess financial data from different sources
  • Backtest the performance of automatic trading strategies in a real-world setting
  • Estimate financial econometrics models in Python and interpret their results
  • Use Monte Carlo simulations for a variety of tasks such as derivatives valuation and risk assessment
  • Improve the performance of financial models with the latest Python libraries
  • Apply machine learning and deep learning techniques to solve different financial problems
  • Understand the different approaches used to model financial time series data
Who this book is for

This book is for financial analysts, data analysts, and Python developers who want to learn how to implement a broad range of tasks in the finance domain. Data scientists looking to devise intelligent financial strategies to perform efficient financial analysis will also find this book useful. Working knowledge of the Python programming language is mandatory to grasp the concepts covered in the book effectively.

Table of Contents
  1. Financial Data and Preprocessing
  2. Technical Analysis in Python
  3. Time Series Modelling
  4. Multi-factor Models
  5. Modeling Volatility with GARCH class models
  6. Monte Carlo Simulations in Finance
  7. Asset Allocation in Python
  8. Identifying Credit Default with Machine Learning
  9. Advanced Machine Learning Models in Finance
  10. Deep Learning in Finance

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Python for Finance Cookbook Over 50 recipes for applying modern Python - photo 1
Python for Finance Cookbook
Over 50 recipes for applying modern Python libraries to financial data analysis
Eryk Lewinson

BIRMINGHAM - MUMBAI Python for Finance Cookbook Copyright 2020 Packt - photo 2

BIRMINGHAM - MUMBAI
Python for Finance Cookbook

Copyright 2020 Packt Publishing

All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, without the prior written permission of the publisher, except in the case of brief quotations embedded in critical articles or reviews.

Every effort has been made in the preparation of this book to ensure the accuracy of the information presented. However, the information contained in this book is sold without warranty, either express or implied. Neither the author, nor Packt Publishing or its dealers and distributors, will be held liable for any damages caused or alleged to have been caused directly or indirectly by this book.

Packt Publishing has endeavored to provide trademark information about all of the companies and products mentioned in this book by the appropriate use of capitals. However, Packt Publishing cannot guarantee the accuracy of this information.

Commissioning Editor: Sunith Shetty
Acquisition Editor: Joshua Nadar
Content Development Editor: Nathanya Dias
Senior Editor: Ayaan Hoda
Technical Editor: Utkarsha S. Kadam
Copy Editor: Safis Editing
Project Coordinator: Aishwarya Mohan
Proofreader: Safis Editing
Indexer: Priyanka Dhadke
Production Designer: Shraddha Falebhai

First published: January 2020

Production reference: 1300120

Published by Packt Publishing Ltd.
Livery Place
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Birmingham
B3 2PB, UK.

ISBN 978-1-78961-851-8

www.packt.com


To my father. Your love for books was truly inspiring. You will always remain in our hearts
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Contributors
About the author

Eryk Lewinson received his master's degree in quantitative finance from Erasmus University Rotterdam (EUR). In his professional career, he gained experience in the practical application of data science methods while working for two "Big 4" companies and a Dutch FinTech scale-up. In his work, he focuses on using machine learning to provide business value to his company. In his spare time, he enjoys writing about topics related to data science, playing video games, and traveling with his girlfriend.

Writing this book was quite a journey for me and I learned a lot during it, both in terms of knowledge and about myself. However, it was not easy, as life showed a considerable number of obstacles. Thankfully, with the help of the people closest to me, I managed to overcome them. I would like to thank my family for always being there for me, my brother for his patience and constructive feedback at random times of the day and night, my girlfriend for her undeterred support and making me believe in myself. I also greatly appreciate all the kind words of encouragement from my friends and colleagues. Without all of you, completing this book would not have been possible. Thank you.
About the reviewers

Ratanlal Mahanta is currently working as a Managing Partner a t bittQsrv, a global quantitative research company offering quant models for its investors. He has several years' experience in the modeling and simulation of quantitative trading. Ratanlal holds a master's degree in science in computational finance, and his research areas include quant trading, optimal execution, and high-frequency trading. He has over 9 years' work experience in the finance industry, and is gifted at solving difficult problems that lie at the intersection of the market, technology, research, and design.

Jiri Pik is an artificial intelligence architect and strategist who works with major investment banks, hedge funds, and other players. He has architected and delivered breakthrough trading, portfolio, and risk management systems, as well as decision support systems, across numerous industries.

Jiri's consulting firm, Jiri Pik RocketEdge, provides its clients with certified expertise, judgment, and execution at the drop of a hat.

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Preface

This book begins by exploring various ways of downloading financial data and preparing it for modeling. We check the basic statistical properties of asset prices and returns, and investigate the existence of so-called stylized facts. We then calculate popular indicators used in technical analysis (such as Bollinger Bands, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), and Relative Strength Index (RSI )) and backtest automatic trading strategies built on their basis.

The next section introduces time series analysis and explores popular models such as exponential smoothing, AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) (including multivariate specifications). We also introduce you to factor models, including the famous Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) and the Fama-French three-factor model. We end this section by demonstrating different ways to optimize asset allocation, and we use Monte Carlo simulations for tasks such as calculating the price of American options or estimating the

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