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Ian Bremmer - Us vs. Them: The Failure of Globalism

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Ian Bremmer Us vs. Them: The Failure of Globalism
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A cogent analysis of the concurrent Trump/Brexit phenomena and a dire warning about what lies ahead...a lucid, provocative book. --Kirkus Reviews
Those who championed globalization once promised a world of winners, one in which free trade would lift all the worlds boats, and extremes of left and right would give way to universally embraced liberal values. The past few years have shattered this fantasy, as those whove paid the price for globalisms gains have turned to populist and nationalist politicians to express fury at the political, media, and corporate elites they blame for their losses.
The United States elected an anti-immigration, protectionist president who promised to put America first and turned a cold eye on alliances and treaties. Across Europe, anti-establishment political parties made gains not seen in decades. The United Kingdom voted to leave the European Union.
And as Ian Bremmer shows in this eye-opening book, populism is still spreading. Globalism creates plenty of both winners and losers, and those whove missed out want to set things right. Theyve seen their futures made obsolete. They hear new voices and see new faces all about them. They feel their cultures shift. They dont trust what they read. Theyve begun to understand the world as a battle for the future that pits us vs. them.
Bremmer points to the next wave of global populism, one that hits emerging nations before they have fully emerged. As in Europe and America, citizens want security and prosperity, and theyre becoming increasingly frustrated with governments that arent capable of providing them. To protect themselves, many government will build walls, both digital and physical. For instance...
* In Brazil and other fast-developing countries, civilians riot when higher expectations for better government arent being met--the downside of their own success in lifting millions from poverty.
* In Mexico, South Africa, Turkey, Indonesia, Egypt and other emerging states, frustration with government is on the rise and political battle lines are being drawn.
* In China, where awareness of inequality is on the rise, the state is building a system to use the data that citizens generate to contain future demand for change
* In India, the tools now used to provide essential services for people whove never had them can one day be used to tighten the ruling partys grip on power.
When human beings feel threatened, we identify the danger and look for allies. We use the enemy, real or imagined, to rally friends to our side. This book is about the ways in which people will define these threats as fights for survival. Its about the walls governments will build to protect insiders from outsiders and the state from its people.
And its about what we can do about it.

Ian Bremmer: author's other books


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ALSO BY IAN BREMMER Superpower Three Choices for Americas Role in the World - photo 1
ALSO BY IAN BREMMER

Superpower: Three Choices for Americas Role in the World

Every Nation for Itself: Winners and Losers in a G-Zero World

The End of the Free Market: Who Wins the War Between States and Corporations?

The Fat Tail: The Power of Political Knowledge for Strategic Investing

(with Preston Keat)

The J Curve: A New Way to Understand Why Nations Rise and Fall

Managing Strategic Surprise: Lessons from Risk Management and Risk Assessment

(with Paul Bracken and David Gordon)

New States, New Politics: Building the Post-Soviet Nations

(with Raymond Taras)

Nations and Politics in the Soviet Successor States

(with Raymond Taras)

Soviet Nationalities Problems

(with Norman Naimark)

Us vs Them The Failure of Globalism - image 2

Us vs Them The Failure of Globalism - image 3

Portfolio/Penguin

An imprint of Penguin Random House LLC

375 Hudson Street

New York, New York 10014

Us vs Them The Failure of Globalism - image 4

Copyright 2018 by Ian Bremmer

Penguin supports copyright. Copyright fuels creativity, encourages diverse voices, promotes free speech, and creates a vibrant culture. Thank you for buying an authorized edition of this book and for complying with copyright laws by not reproducing, scanning, or distributing any part of it in any form without permission. You are supporting writers and allowing Penguin to continue to publish books for every reader.

ISBN 9780525536451 (international edition)

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Names: Bremmer, Ian, 1969- author.

Title: Us vs. them : the failure of globalism / Ian Bremmer.

Other titles: Us versus them

Description: New York, New York : Portfolio/Penguin, [2018] | Includes bibliographical references.

Identifiers: LCCN 2018002952| ISBN 9780525533184 (hardback) | ISBN 9780525533191 (epub)

Subjects: LCSH: Anti-globalization movement. | BISAC: POLITICAL SCIENCE / International Relations / General. | POLITICAL SCIENCE / Political Ideologies / Nationalism.

Classification: LCC JZ1318 .B738 2018 | DDC 303.48/2dc23

LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2018002952

Version_1

For Elisa, who cant read this yet

CONTENTS

INTRODUCTION

Us vs Them The Failure of Globalism - image 5

Why do Palestinians throw rocks? To attract attention? To improve their lives? To make progress toward creation of a Palestinian state? They throw rocks because they want others to see that theyve had enough, that they cant be ignored, and that they can break things. Voting isnt helping them. Outsiders dont care. Where are the opportunities to bring about change? There is nothing left but to throw rocks.

In that sense, there will soon be Palestinians all over the world. Workers everywhere fear lost jobs and wages as a shifting global economy and technological change leave them behind. Citizens fear surging waves of strangers who alter the face and voice of the country they know. They fear terrorists and criminals who kill for reasons no one can understand. They fear that government cannot or will not protect them. Gripped by anxiety, they get angry. To make themselves seen, heard, and felt, they start to throw rocks.

Then the call for help is answered. Donald Trump tells an excited overflow crowd that he sees them, that he sees their enemies, and that only he can take them (back) to the promised land. Senators Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders tell cheering fans that big corporations and Wall Street banks are robbing them blind. Champions of Brexit tell voters they must reclaim Britains borders and reject laws and rules imposed by Europeans. European populists tell followers they will lead the charge of patriots against foreigners and globalists.

These leaders arent arguing that government should be bigger or smaller, that it should tax less or spend more. Theyre challenging the right of elites to make the rules that govern our lives. They tell citizens theyve been cheated of their chance to succeed, and that the media is in on it. They promise to comfort the afflicted, afflict the comfortable, and burn down the houses of power.

We can attack these populists, mock them, or dismiss them, but they know something important about the people theyre talking to, and they understand that many people believe that globalism and globalization have failed them. These would-be leaders have a talent for drawing boundaries between people. They offer a compelling vision of division, of us vs. them, of the worthy citizen fighting for his rights against the entitled or grasping thief. Depending on the country and the moment, them may mean rich people or poor people, foreigners or religious, racial, and ethnic minorities. It can mean supporters of a rival political party or people who live in a different part of the country. It can mean politicians, bankers, or reporters. However applied, its a tried-and-true political tool.

This book is not about the rocks or the damage they do on impact. Rocks are expressions of frustration. They dont solve problems. Instead, we must look more closely at the deeper sources of these frustrations, at how governments around the world are likely to respond to them, and how political leaders, institutions, companies, schools, and citizens can work together to make things better.


There was no wealth where I grew up in Chelsea, Massachusetts, but from my childhood street you could see it in Bostons green and gold skyline. I had no idea what went on inside those towers, but they had my attention. How do you get from here to there, I wondered? When my high school offered a program called Teach a Kid How America Works, I leaped at the chance to join. We junior achievers put on our coats and ties, headed downtown, up the crowded streets, past the men in suits, through the tall glass doors, up the quiet elevator before gliding to a silent stop, waiting, and stepping into the place where the executives worked. I think it was a bank. It had the deepest carpet Id ever seen.

Then we were ushered in for an audience with Tim, a man who seemed genuinely glad to meet us. He had a strong handshake, and he looked at me like he was really looking at me. Would you like to work here? he asked the group. One of us said yes and the rest nodded in agreement. Nobodys stopping you, and dont let anyone tell you otherwise. If you want to be successful, you just have to study hard and work hard. Its totally up to you. He believed it, so I did too.

He was right. From the projects, I earned a college scholarship and then a PhD, got an idea, launched a company, made money, got on TV, and wrote books. A kid born on the hard edge of a great American city, the child of a single mother (my dad died when I was four) who, with uncommon singleness of purpose, walked two boys past every trap and pushed us toward success. One small example of the American dream.

As a young adult, the American dream came wrapped in a package of globalism, a belief in universal interdependence and international exchange that seemed to provide paths to prosperity for both the poor boy I was and the successful man I hoped to become. Globalism seemed a generous choice; its the game everyone can win. Embrace capitalism, lower the walls, hire, build, and expand. People whove made it, or who believe theyll get a fair shot, are drawn to globalism. I devoted my professional life to it. Why not? The system worked for me, and it has lifted hundreds of millions around the world from poverty. Why cant it one day work for everyone?

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