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A World Bank Group Flagship Report
JUNE 2017
Global Economic Prospects
A Fragile Recovery
2017 International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank
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AttributionPlease cite the work as follows: World Bank Group. 2017. Global Economic Prospects, June 2017: A Fragile Recovery. Washington, DC: World Bank. Washington, DC: World Bank. doi: 10.1596/978-1-4648-1024-4. License: Creative Commons Attribution CC BY 3.0 IGO
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ISBN (paper): 978-1-4648-1024-4
ISBN (electronic): 978-1-4648-1026-8
DOI: 10.1596/978-1-4648-1024-4
Cover design: Bill Pragjuski (Critical Stages).
The cutoff date for the data used in this report was May 24, 2017.
Table of Contents
Acknowledgments |
Abbreviations |
Chapter 1 | Global Outlook: A Fragile Recovery |
Summary |
Major economies: Recent developments and outlook |
Global trends |
Emerging market and developing economies: Recent developments and outlook |
Risks to the outlook |
Policy challenges |
References |
Box 1.1 Low-income countries: Recent developments and outlook |
Box 1.2 Regional perspectives: Recent developments and outlook |
Special Focus 1 | Debt Dynamics in Emerging Market and Developing Economies: Time to Act? |
Introduction |
Evolution of fiscal positions |
Fiscal positions in episodes of financial stress |
Conclusion |
References |
Special Focus 2 | Arms-Length Trade: A Source of Post-Crisis Trade Weakness |
Introduction |
Characteristics of intra-firm and arms-length trade |
Evolution of intra-firm and arms-length trade since the crisis |
Factors contributing to the sharp post-crisis slowdown in arms-length trade |
Conclusion |
References |
Chapter 2 | Regional Outlooks |
East Asia and Pacific |
Recent developments |
Outlook |
Risks |
Europe and Central Asia |
Recent developments |
Outlook |
Box 2.2.1 Reversal in 2016 of diverging growth paths |
Risks |
Latin America and the Caribbean |
Recent developments |
Outlook |
Box 2.3.1 Continued growth divergence within Latin America and the Caribbean |
Risks |
Middle East and North Africa |
Recent developments |
Outlook |
Risks |
|
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