OECD - OECD Employment Outlook 2016
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OECD (2016), OECD Employment Outlook 2016, OECD Publishing, Paris, http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/empl_outlook-2016-en.
Details of revisions available at: www.oecd.org/about/publishing/Corrigendum-EMO2016.pdf
The OECD Employment Outlook provides an annual assessment of key labour market developments and prospects in OECD member countries. Each edition also contains several chapters focusing on specific aspects of how labour markets function and the implications for policy in order to promote more and better jobs. This years chapters cover vulnerable youth, job quality, skills use at work, the short-term effects of structural reforms, and labour market gender gaps in emerging economies. Reference statistics are also included.
The 2016 OECD Employment Outlook is the joint work of staff of the Directorate for Employment, Labour and Social Affairs. It has greatly benefited from contributions from national government delegates. However, the Outlook s assessments of each countrys labour market prospects do not necessarily correspond to those made by the national authorities concerned.
This report was edited by Paul Swaim, and is based on contributions from Andrea Garnero, Pascal Marianna and Paul Swaim (). Research assistance was provided by Dana Blumin, Sylvie Cimper, Paulina Granados-Zambrano, Sbastien Martin and Agns Puymoyen. Editorial assistance was provided by Gabriela Bejan, Natalie Corry, Monica Meza-Essid and Marlne Mohier.
Labour markets continue to recover from the Great Recession, albeit in a painfully slow manner in many OECD countries. While progress has been made in reversing the crisis-related increase in unemployment, little progress has been made in recouping the lost ground on wages. Overall, three-quarters of OECD countries still face either a sizeable unemployment gap an unemployment rate that is 2 percentage points or more above the pre-crisis level or a sizeable wage gap average wages at least 5% below the level they would be at if they had continued the trend increase during 2000-07 or both.
The slow progress in mending the labour market is largely the result of the global economy being in a low-growth trap characterised by low investment, anaemic productivity gains and weak job creation with stagnant wages. There is an urgent need to make full use of all policy tools macroeconomic and structural policies at the international and national level to bring back stronger and sustainable growth while ensuring that its benefits are shared more widely. Employment policies can and should play an important role in this endeavour. This edition of the OECD Employment Outlook helps to define the nature of this challenge and identifies a number of policy actions that could play an important role in helping to make the labour market more dynamic and inclusive, even in the face of persistent economic headwinds.
The end is in sight as regards cyclically depressed employment rates, at least for the OECD area as a whole. The jobs recovery has been underway since the first quarter of 2010 when the OECD average employment rate reached its post-crisis trough with only 58.6% of the population (ages 15-74 years) employed. This was 2.2 percentage points lower than the employment rate in 2007, corresponding to 20.3 million missing jobs. Despite the slow and uneven nature of the economic recovery, the jobs deficit had fallen to 5.6 million by the end of 2015 and this edition of the Outlook reports that the OECD now projects that the jobs gap will close completely during the course of 2017. While this is welcome news, the fact that the Great Recession depressed employment for nearly ten years testifies to its severity and the price workers have paid.
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