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Dunkley - One world mania: a critical guide to free trade, financialization and over-globalization

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Dunkley One world mania: a critical guide to free trade, financialization and over-globalization
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Complexity, mythology and over-globalisation: an overview of global integration -- The perennial debate: free trade and globalisation in theory and history -- The biggest game on earth: the myth of trade-led growth -- Converting the world to capitalism: the rise and fall of the Washington Consensus -- A planet in chains: capital, supply chains and the economy of nowhere -- The dark lords of money: financial globalisation, crises and insanity -- Globalisation and people: the many costs of global integration -- One world mania: the problems of excessive global integration.

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About the author Dr Graham Dunkley has variously been a freelance journalist - photo 1

About the author

Dr Graham Dunkley has variously been a freelance journalist, worked with NGOs and been an economics lecturer at Victoria University, Melbourne. He is currently an independent writer. He is the author of The Free Trade Adventure and Free Trade: Myth, Reality and Alternatives (both published by Zed Books).

ONE WORLD MANIA

A CRITICAL GUIDE TO FREE TRADE, FINANCIALIZATION AND OVER-GLOBALIZATION

Graham Dunkley

One world mania a critical guide to free trade financialization and over-globalization - image 2

One World Mania: A Critical Guide to Free Trade, Financialization and Over-Globalization was first published in 2016 by Zed Books Ltd, The Foundry, 17 Oval Way, London SE11 5RR, UK.

www.zedbooks.net

Copyright Graham Dunkley 2016

The right of Graham Dunkley to be identified as the author of this work has been asserted by him in accordance with the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act, 1988.

Typeset in Plantin and Kievit by Swales & Willis Ltd, Exeter, Devon

Index by Rohan Bolton

Cover design by Design Deluxe

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying or otherwise, without the prior permission of Zed Books Ltd.

A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library.

ISBN 978-1-78360-073-1 hb

ISBN 978-1-78360-072-4 pb

ISBN 978-1-78360-074-8 pdf

ISBN 978-1-78360-075-5 epub

ISBN 978-1-78360-076-2 mobi

For Kiran

My Daughter

and

Yvonne

My Friend

Both Indispensable Computer Troubleshooters

CONTENTS

Figures

OECD trade, investment and migrant populations (19602005)

Ricardos four magic numbers

Gains and losses from free trade

China: GDP growth and major policy changes

Capital mobility and incidence of banking crises

Some dimensions of financialisation (c. 19602015)

Total outstanding cross-border financial assets and liabilities

Total outstanding cross-border financial flows, and total imports and exports of goods

Real GDP growth and trend (world, 19802009)

European unemployment from 1960

Share of total US income received by the richest 1 per cent of the population

World GDP growth (19612009)

The integration pyramid

Growth and trade, Europe (19602013)

Tables

Merchandise exports as a percentage of GDP in sample countries

Selected indicators of FDI, by volumes and ratios (world, 2014)

FDI inflows as a percentage of GDP and total capital investment (selected countries and regions, 2014)

This work began life as a new edition of my 2004 book, Free Trade: Myth, Reality and Alternatives (Zed Books), but after ten years and a vastly changed world I found it too difficult to revise, so here is a whole new book, on much wider aspects of globalisation. I am profoundly grateful to Ken Barlow of Zed Books for his interest, support and time extensions to allow its satisfactory completion. I am also deeply indebted to John King, Joe Camilleri and a publishers referee for reading the entire manuscript and providing invaluable suggestions. Likewise to Gabriel Lafitte for all manner of assistance. I also wish to thank Jim Stanford, Frank Stilwell, Richard Crosbie, P.J. Gunawardana and Jamie Doughney for valuable comments on parts of the book. However, full responsibility lies with myself. The final version could not have been completed without the indispensable production assistance of Yvonne Jemmeson, Glenda Boissevain and Kiran Dunkley-Crawford, to whom I am eternally grateful, as well as to Siti Nuryanah for invaluable assistance with the graphs in the Appendix. Thanks also to Lou Connell for assistance with information.

I also wish to thank the following for permission to use graphic material: Briana Loewne of Princeton University Press for Figure 6.1, Rolph van der Hoeven for Figure 8.1 and Andrew Rose for Figure 8.3.

AFC

Asian Financial Crisis

AIG

American International Group

BIS

Bank for International Settlements (Basel)

BITs

bilateral investment treaties

BRICS

Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa

CDOs

collateralised debt obligations (financial instruments)

CGE

computable general equilibrium (models)

EMH

efficient market hypothesis

EU

European Union

FDI

foreign direct investment

GATS

General Agreement on Trade in Services (WTO)

GDP

Gross Domestic Product

GFC

Global Financial Crisis (20089)

GTAP

Center for Global Trade Analysis at Purdue University (computer modelling system)

GVCs

global value chains

ICSID

International Centre for the Settlement of Investment Disputes (World Bank investment disputes tribunal)

IFIs

international financial institutions (IMF, World Bank and others)

IIAs

international investment agreements

ILO

International Labour Organization

IMF

International Monetary Fund

IPRs

intellectual property rights

ISDS

investor-state dispute settlement (arbitration systems)

MENA

Middle East and North Africa

NGOs

non-governmental organisations

NIET

New International Economic Theory

OECD

Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (research centre, Paris)

OEZs

offshore evasion zones (my term for tax havens and other such centres)

OLI

ownership, location, internalisation (Dunnings theory of FDI)

PPPs

purchasing power parities (international price adjustment system)

R and D

research and development

SAPs

structural adjustment programmes (mostly of IMF and World Bank)

SSA

Sub-Saharan Africa

TISA

Trade in Services Agreement (proposal)

TNCs

transnational companies (or corporations)

TPP

Trans-Pacific Partnership (agreement)

TRIMs

Trade-Related Investment Measures (WTO)

TRIPs

Trade-Related Intellectual Property Rights (WTO)

TTIP

Trans-Atlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (proposed agreement, USA-EU)

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