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V. Gardiner - Water Demand Forecasting

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Cover

title Water Demand Forecasting Proceedings of a Workshop author - photo 1
title:Water Demand Forecasting : Proceedings of a Workshop
author:Gardiner, V.; Herrington, Paul.
publisher:Taylor & Francis Routledge
isbn10 | asin:0860942147
print isbn13:9780860942146
ebook isbn13:9780203230206
language:English
subjectWater consumption--Forecasting--Congresses, Natural resources: Water--Demand--Forecasting
publication date:1986
lcc:HD1690.5.W383 1986eb
ddc:333.91/13
subject:Water consumption--Forecasting--Congresses, Natural resources: Water--Demand--Forecasting

Page i

Water demand forecasting

Page ii

This page intentionally left blank.

Page iii

WATER DEMAND FORECASTING

Proceedings of a Workshop sponsored by the Economic and Social Research Council

Edited

by

Vince Gardiner
Lecturer in Geography
University of Leicester

and

Paul Herrington
Senior Lecturer in Economics
University of Leicester

Page iv

British Library Cataloguing in Publication Data
Water demand forecasting: proceedings of a
workshop.
1. Water consumptionForecasting
I. Gardiner, V. (Vince) II. Herrington,
Paul III. Economic and Social Research
Council
339.4'86281 HD1691

ISBN 0-203-49061-4 Master e-book ISBN

ISBN 0-203-23020-5 (OEB Format)

ISBN 0-86094-214-7 (Print Edition)

Herrington and Gardiner (1986)

Geo Books
Regency House
34 Duke Street
Norwich
NR3 3AP
United Kingdom

This edition published in the Taylor & Francis e-Library, 2003.

Page v

CONTENTS

Introduction: Environmental Issues and the Water Demand Forecasting Workshop
Vince Gardiner and Paul Herrington

Part I

The basis and practice of water demand forecasting.
Vince Gardiner and Paul Herrington

Demand forecasting in the water industry.
George Archibald

Water demand forecasting and the social sciences.
Chris Park

Short term demand forecastingsome engineering considerations.
Bryan Coulbeck and Chun-Hou Orr

Part II

Peak demand forecasting.
Alan Bland

Forecasting industrial demand for water.
Roger Smith

A survey of domestic water consumption.
Brian Hooper

Short term demand forecasting.
Jack Carnell

Water demand forecasting in system development and control.
Mike Williams

Information considerations.
Philip Turton

Forecasting long term water needs on the Saharan margins of southern Tunisia.
Carolyn Roberts

The Kielder Water schemefinancial and environmental implications of demand forecasting.
Vince Gardiner

Demand forecasting and planning policy.
Philip Bell

Domestic demand forecasting in the electricity supply industry.
Jim McGowan

Page vi

LIST OF FIGURES
Chapter 3

Forecasts of total demand for water

Actual and projected populations of England and Wales

Chapter 5

Typical weekly profile of measured demands for water

Block diagram of a demand predictor

Simulated operation of a water network

Computer control of a water network

Chapter 6

Peak flows, Wendover Drive 1979

Peak flows, Duchess Road 1979

Zonal metering study, aggregate consumption

Anglian Water, per capita consumption

Chapter 7

Measured demand for potable and non-potable water, 196183, in England and Wales, and North West Water region

Chapter 8

Per capita consumption

Per capita consumption by special category

Per capita consumption by social class, classes 1, 2 and 3

Per capita consumption by social class, classes 4, 5 and 6

Per capita consumption for high consumption households

Forecasts of domestic per capita consumption

Chapter 9

Consumption, resources and action planning

Climate related prediction nomogram for peak weeks

Individual effects of climatic variables

Actual versus predicted values of peak ratios

Chapter 10

Wolverhampton water supply area (a) population (b) zones

Demand forecasts for the Wolverhampton water supply area

GINAS flowchart

Typical diurnal demand curves

Comparison of field test data with simulated results

Comparisons of model and typical days metered results for three meters

Chapter 12

Location and geology of the study area (Tunisia)

Hydrogeology and hydrology of the area

Geological cross-section north-south across the area

Topographic profile across spring mounds

Major outputs from the Complex Terminal aquifer, Kebili area

Relationship between per capita water consumption and per capita income

Page vii

Chapter 13

The Kielder Scheme and regional setting

Supply in the region, 19611983, and estimates of demand

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