George P. Shultz - A Hinge of History: Governance in an Emerging New World

A Hinge of History: Governance in an Emerging New World — read online for free the complete book (whole text) full work

Below is the text of the book, divided by pages. System saving the place of the last page read, allows you to conveniently read the book "A Hinge of History: Governance in an Emerging New World" online for free, without having to search again every time where you left off. Put a bookmark, and you can go to the page where you finished reading at any time.

Light

Font size:

↓

↑

Georgia Tahoma Arial Verdana

Reset

Interval:

↓

↑

Bookmark:

Make

1234567...96

ADVANCE PRAISE FOR

A Hinge of History

One of our great statesmen leads an exploration of the most important issues that our nation faces. This is a rich menu for our future.

Joseph S. Nye Jr., Harvard University, author of Do Morals Matter? Presidents and Foreign Policy from FDR to Trump

Improving how our government works will restore confidence in our institutions during this critical time in our history. Secretary Shultz has once again made an important civic contribution.

Jeb Bush, former governor of Florida

The Governance in an Emerging New World project is vital to our time. We need these sorts of constructive debates to respond thoughtfully in the midst of unprecedented technological, social, political, and economic change.

Ralph D. Semmel, director of the Johns Hopkins Applied Physics Laboratory

In a world awash in change, governing effectively demands more breadth and depth of understanding than weve achieved historically. This clear-eyed, smartly presented study enables a unique grasp of what is at stake, without myth or delusion, and provides the intellectual tools for sorting out the path ahead.

James Mattis, general, US Marines (ret.) and 26th secretary of defense

A strategic analysis of the disparate and sometimes conflicting factors shaping the future that should inform policy makers and students for thinking beyond narrow disciplinary silos. It bridges the sometimes perilous knife-edge of science, technology, and security in ways few other volumes have.

Margaret Kosal, professor of international affairs, Georgia Tech

An amazing tour de force through the most challenging governance issues of our times. Its analytical depth and the breadth of its thematic and geographical scope make it essential reading for policy makers and observers around the globe.

Jens Suedekum, professor of international economics, Dsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics

The world grapples with a pandemic, demographic shifts have remade entire regions, and authoritarianism has surged. Amid this crisis, this volume reminds us that restoring global leadership requires two things: reflection and collaboration. Global security, human rights, and the spirit of democracy all demand it.

H. E. Hicham Alaoui, director of the Hicham Alaoui Foundation for Social Science Research on Northern Africa and the Middle East

Timely and important ideas for tackling our toughest global challenges. A Hinge of History is a valuable resource for leaders and citizens who recognize that facts, not ideology, must shape our conclusions and our path forward.

Sam Nunn, former US senator and chair of the Senate Armed Services Committee, cochair of the Nuclear Threat Initiative

Few in our nations history have brought to public service the breadth of talent and expertise that George P. Shultz has. Here, he and Jim Timbie share the results gained in their ambitious project to explore how changing demographics, technology, education, and the information revolution will shape the world ahead.

Karen Tumulty, Washington Post

Governance everywhere is made more difficult by disruptive forces. Existing institutions and their leaders are struggling to know how best to act and adjust. Shultz shows how careful study and leadership can once again address todays unfolding emerging new world problems.

Van Ton-Quinlivan, CEO, Futuro Health, and former executive vice chancellor, California Community Colleges

A dangerous consequence of the current pandemic is that it is fostering isolationism among nations at a time when international cooperation is needed the most: an effective global governance is one of the keys for a prompt recovery.

Pedro Aspe, former treasurer of the republic, Mexico

A Hinge of History can serve as a blueprint for the next administration in Washington to begin the process of restoring American leadership with a renewed sense of purpose to tackle the biggest issues in global and human development.

James Hollifield, professor of political science and director of the Tower Center, Southern Methodist University

A Hinge of History

With its eminent scholars and world-renowned library and archives, the Hoover Institution seeks to improve the human condition by advancing ideas that promote economic opportunity and prosperity, while securing and safeguarding peace for America and all mankind. The views expressed in its publications are entirely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the staff, officers, or Board of Overseers of the Hoover Institution.

hoover.org

Hoover Institution Press Publication No. 717

Hoover Institution at Leland Stanford Junior University, Stanford, California 94305-6003

Copyright 2020 by the Board of Trustees of the Leland Stanford Junior University

All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without written permission of the publisher and copyright holders.

For permission to reuse material from A Hinge of History: Governance in an Emerging New World, ISBN 978-0-8179-2434-8, please access or contact the Copyright Clearance Center, Inc. (CCC), 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, 978-750-8400. CCC is a not-for-profit organization that provides licenses and registration for a variety of uses.

First printing 2020

2726252423222120987654321

Library of Congress Control Number: 2020943759

ISBN: 978-0-8179-2434-8 (cloth)

ISBN: 978-0-8179-2436-2 (epub)

ISBN: 978-0-8179-2437-9 (mobi)

ISBN: 978-0-8179-2438-6 (PDF)

Contents

1. List of Figures

List of Figures

. Global population shift to Africa will accelerate.

. Eight of the fifteen largest economies face shrinking workforces.

. The pace of aging will accelerate over the next thirty years.

. Russias life expectancy stagnates.

. Russian women live eleven years longer.

. Chinese family size dropped sharply.

. Chinas workforce shrinks.

. Northern Triangle out-migration peaked in 2000.

. Latin Americas fragile democracies face shrinking workforces.

. Egypts youth bulge brings uncertainty.

. Opportunities are missed in the Middle East.

. An aging Europe confronts labor and productivity questions.

. New challenges for European immigration.

. Nigeria is on track to surpass the US population by 2050.

Preface

O n April 8, 2019, we gathered around the circular table in the Annenberg Conference Room at the Hoover Institution for another discussion from our research project Governance in an Emerging New World. This session was led by Dr. Lucy Shapiro, a professor of biology at the Stanford University School of Medicine.

One of the featured speakers, Dr. Milana Boukhman Trounce, a professor and emergency medicine physician at Stanford, presented a paper on Potential Pandemics. She described in detail in her paper how the threat of infectious disease is making a comeback. Unfortunately, at this point we are ill equipped to deal with a number of scenarios, particularly those involving large-scale infectious disease outbreakspandemics. She explained how human activities, including increased contact between humans and wild animals and global transportation networks, have increased the threat of new infectious diseases. She explained why drugs for treatment of such a new disease and vaccines to prevent its spread would not be available in time to prevent a public-health crisis. The principal countermeasures would be the same public-health measures that have been used for centuriesisolation and quarantine. We learned that the word

Next page

1234567...96

Light

Font size:

↓

↑

Georgia Tahoma Arial Verdana

Reset

Interval:

↓

↑

Bookmark:

Make

Similar books «A Hinge of History: Governance in an Emerging New World»

Look at similar books to A Hinge of History: Governance in an Emerging New World. We have selected literature similar in name and meaning in the hope of providing readers with more options to find new, interesting, not yet read works.

George P. Shultz

Deterrence: Its Past and Future-Papers Presented at Hoover Institution, November 2010

George P. Shultz

The War That Must Never Be Fought: Dilemmas of Nuclear Deterrence

George P. Shultz

Beyond Disruption: Technologys Challenge to Governance

George P. Shultz

Nuclear Security: The Problems and the Road Ahead

George P. Shultz

Thinking About the Future

Richard H. Shultz Jr.

Insurgents, Terrorists, and Militias: The Warriors of Contemporary Combat

George P. Shultz

Learning From Experience

George P. Shultz

Issues on My Mind: Strategies for the Future

George P. Shultz

Turmoil and Triumph: Diplomacy, Power, and the Victory of the American Deal

George P. Shultz

Choose Economic Freedom: Enduring Policy Lessons from the 1970s and 1980s

Rezaee

Corporate governance in the aftermath of the global financial crisis, Volume IV : Emerging Issues in Corporate Governance

George Pratt Shultz

Reykjavik revisited : steps toward a world free of nuclear weapons : complete report of the 2007 Hoover Institution conference

Discussion, reviews of the book A Hinge of History: Governance in an Emerging New World and just readers' own opinions. Leave your comments, write what you think about the work, its meaning or the main characters. Specify what exactly you liked and what you didn't like, and why you think so.