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George Hawley - White Voters in 21st Century America

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George Hawley White Voters in 21st Century America
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White Voters in 21st Century America
The United States is experiencing remarkable demographic changes that are having an important impact on the American electorate. As the minority share of the voting-eligible population continues to grow, the political clout of non-Hispanic whites will further decline. The 2012 election demonstrated that the Democratic Party can secure an Electoral College victory even when it loses badly, in the aggregate, among non-Hispanic whites. This does not mean that white voters are unimportant, however. The political behavior of whites in the decades ahead will largely determine the direction of American politics.
This book examines the political behavior of non-Hispanic whites. It considers the trends within the white vote, how white voters differ geographically, and the primary fault lines among white voters. It also examines how white political behavior changes in response to diversity. It considers whether or not the day is approaching when whites consolidate into a largely homogeneous voting bloc, or whether whites will remain politically heterogeneous in the decades ahead.
Whereas other books have examined the political behavior of specific social classes within the non-Hispanic white community (working-class whites, for example), this is the first book to examine whites as a whole and to provide a useful summary of recent trends within this group and thoughtful speculation about its future.
George Hawley is Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Alabama. His research interests include demography, electoral behavior, political parties, immigration policy, and the U.S. Congress.
Routledge Research in American Politics and Governance
1Lobbying the New President
Interests in Transition
Heath Brown
2Religion, Race, and Barack Obamas New Democratic Pluralism
Gastn Espinosa
3Direct Democracy in the United States
Petitioners as a Reflection of Society
Edited by Shauna Reilly and Ryan M. Yonk
4American Exceptionalism in the Age of Obama
Stephen Brooks
5An Empire of Ideals
The Chimeric Imagination of Ronald Reagan
Justin D. Garrison
6Resisting Injustice and the Feminist Ethics of Care in the Age of Obama
Suddenly, All the Truth Was Coming Out
David A. J. Richards
7Interfaith Advocacy
The Role of Religious Coalitions in the Political Process
Katherine E. Knutson
8Social Contract Theory in American Jurisprudence
Too Much Liberty and Too Much Authority
Thomas R. Pope
9Voting and Migration Patterns in the U.S.
George Hawley
10Democracy, Intelligent Design, and Evolution
Science for Citizenship
Susan P. Liebell
11Inventive Politicians and Ethnic Ascent in American Politics
The Uphill Elections of Italians and Mexicans to the U.S. Congress
Miriam Jimnez
12Competitive Elections and Democracy in America
The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly
Heather K. Evans
13Gender, Race, and Office Holding in the United States
Representation at the Intersections
Becki Scola
14The Latino Gender Gap in U.S. Politics
Christina E. Bejarano
15Perspectives on Presidential Leadership
An International View of the White House
Edited by Michael Patrick Cullinane and Clare Frances Elliott
16Super PAC!
Money, Elections, and Voters after Citizens United
Conor M. Dowling and Michael G. Miller
17White Voters in 21st Century America
George Hawley
First published 2015
by Routledge
711 Third Avenue, New York, NY 10017
and by Routledge
2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN
Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business
2015 Taylor & Francis
The right of George Hawley to be identified as author of this work has been asserted by him in accordance with sections 77 and 78 of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988.
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilized in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers.
Trademark Notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Hawley, George (Political scientist)
White voters in 21st century America / George Hawley.
pages cm (Routledge research in american politics and governance)
1. VotingUnited States. 2. ElectionsUnited States. 3. Whites
United StatesPolitics and government. 4. WhitesRace identityUnited
States. 5. WhitesUnited StatesSocial conditions. I. Title.
JK1967.H38 2014
324.973093208909dc23
2014015940
ISBN: 978-1-138-01774-0 (hbk)
ISBN: 978-1-315-78023-8 (ebk)
Typeset in Sabon
by Apex CoVantage, LLC
For Henry
Contents
While it deals with a decidedly different topic, this book was a natural extension of my doctoral dissertation and my previous book, Voting and Migration Patterns in the U.S . While working on that project, it became apparent that in many ways the migratory patternsand the political consequences of those migratory patternsof non-Hispanic whites were decidedly different from other groups within the American electorate. This increased my curiosity about white voter behavior, and while preparing my previous book manuscript I began to think of new questions. While I initially planned to write a series of discrete articles on similar subjects, it soon became apparent that each of my new questions fit within a single theme and therefore should be considered in a single volume.
Because this work immediately followed my previous book, I wish to thank many of the same people. Members of my dissertation committee, which included Richard Murray, Jeronimo Cortina, and Jennifer Clark of the University of Houston, and James Gimpel of the University of Maryland, have all been vital to my development as a scholar. I also thank my former colleagues at the University of Houston Honors College, Jacqueline Hunsicker and Jeremy Bailey.
I am also grateful to new colleagues who have been tremendously helpful. I am thankful to Richard Fording, chair of the Political Science Department at the University of Alabama, for negotiating my summer research funding in 2013.
I am grateful to Rick and Leslie Whiston for their generosity during the summer of 2013. Without their kindness and support, this book would have taken considerably longer to complete. I am also grateful to Arlene DiPietro, who exhibited incredible patience and generosity during a very difficult time for our family. Stan Evans was also a major source of encouragement. My parents have also been an important source of support throughout my intellectual development.
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