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Andrés Mejía Acosta - Informal Coalitions and Policymaking in Latin America: Ecuador in Comparative Perspective

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Andrés Mejía Acosta Informal Coalitions and Policymaking in Latin America: Ecuador in Comparative Perspective
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Informal Coalitions and Policymaking in Latin America
Latin American Studies Social Sciences and Law
DAVID MARES,General Editor
Observing ourHermanos de Armas
U.S. Military Attachs in Guatemala,
Cuba, and Bolivia, 1950-1964
Robert O. Kirkland
Land Privatization in Mexico
Urbanization, Formation of Regions,
and Globalization in Ejidos
Mara Teresa Vzquez Castillo
The Politics of the Internet in Third
World Development
Challenges in Contrasting Regimes
with Case Studies of Costa Rica
and Cuba
Bert Hoffmann
Contesting the Iron Fist
Advocacy Networks and Police
Violence in Democratic Argentina
and Chile
Claudio A. Fuentes
Latin Americas Neo-Reformation
Religions Influence on
Contemporary Politics
Eric Patterson
Insurgency, Authoritarianism,
and Drug Trafficking in Mexicos
Democratization
Jos Luis Velasco
The Politics of Social Policy Change
in Chile and Uruguay
Retrenchment Versus Maintenance,
19731998
Rossana Castiglioni
An Industrial Geography of Cocaine
Christian M. Allen
State and Business Groups
in Mexico
The Role of Informal Institutions
in the Process of Industrialization,
19361984
Arnulfo Valdivia-Machuca
Left in Transformation
Uruguayan Exiles and the Latin
American Human Rights Networks,
19671984
Vania Markarian
International Relations in
Latin America
Peace and Security in the
Southern Cone
Andrea Oelsner
The Politics of Moral Sin
Abortion and Divorce in Spain,
Chile and Argentina
Merike Blofield
Political Change and Environmental
Policymaking in Mexico
Jordi Dez
Female Prostitution in Costa Rica
Historical Perspectives, 18801930
Anne Hayes
The Unfinished Transition to
Democracy in Latin America
Juan Carlos Calleros
The Politics of Central American
Integration
Rafael A. Snchez Snchez
Informal Coalitions and
Policymaking in Latin America
Ecuador in Comparative Perspective
Andrs Meja Acosta
Informal Coalitions and Policymaking in Latin America
Ecuador in Comparative Perspective
Andrs Meja Acosta
Informal Coalitions and Policymaking in Latin America Ecuador in Comparative Perspective - image 1
New York London
First published 2009
by Routledge
270 Madison Ave, New York, NY 10016
Simultaneously published in the UK
by Routledge
2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN
Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business
This edition published in the Taylor & Francis e-Library, 2009.

To purchase your own copy of this or any of Taylor & Francis or Routledges collection of thousands of eBooks please go to www.eBookstore.tandf.co.uk.
2009 Taylor & Francis
All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilised in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereaf ter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers.
Trademark Notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trade marks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Meja Acosta, Andrs
Informal coalitions and policymaking in Latin America / by Andrs Meja Acosta.
p. cm.(Latin American studies. Social sciences and law)
Includes bibliographical references and index.
1. EcuadorPolitics and government19842. Coalition governmentsEcuador. 3. Political planningEcuador. I. Title.
JL3031.M443 2009
320.609866dc22
2008044862
ISBN13: 978-1-135-84932-0 ePub ISBN
ISBN10: 0-415-99354-7 (hbk)
ISBN10: 0-203-87898-1 (ebk)
ISBN13: 978-0-415-99354-8 (hbk)
ISBN13: 978-0-203-87898-9 (ebk)
Inmensa f en la Victoria
Contents
Figures
2.1
Size matters: legislative support and coalition payoffs.
3.1
Average presidential success rates in nine Latin American legislatures (various years).
3.2
The legislative sequence in Ecuador.
3.3
Impact of constitutional (decree) powers on the likelihood of policy change. Ecuadorian National Congress (19792002).
3.4
Impact of the Presidents coalition on the fate of economic reforms, controlling for decree power.
3.5
Impact of the ideological distance between the presidents ideological position and the mean legislator on policy change controlling for decree power.
4.1
Average party unity by party ideology in Ecuador (19802000).
5.1
Frequency distribution of party switching rates. National Ecuadorian Congress (19792002).
5.2
Probability of voting with the president by district magnitude and party size. Fiscal reform (May 2001).
5.3
Probability of voting with the president by legislators political careers: party switches and number of reelections. Fiscal reform (May 2001).
5.4
Probability of voting with the president by party size and party unity. Fiscal reform (May 2001).
6.1
Informal institutions as deviations from existing model predictions.
6.2
Presidential net job approval ratings. Quito and Guayaquil. (July 1988March 2001).
6.3
Patterns of cabinet turnover (19792002).
6.4
Full of sound and fury? Threats vs. actual impeachment proceedings (19791996).
7.1
The gray areas of coalition-making.
Tables
2.1
Formal and Informal Coalition Strategies Available to Presidents
3.1
Likelihood of Approval for Presidential Initiatives of Economic Reform in Ecuador (1979-2002)
4.1
A Cooperation Game for Policy Change
4.2
Party Unity Scores by Ideology and Vote Type in Ecuador (19802000)
4.3
Regression Estimates for Voting with the President in Ecuador (19802000)
5.1
Logit Estimates in Ecuador for Explaining the Number of Party Switches (19792002)
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