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Ian Kelly - Elites and Arab Politics: New Perspectives on Popular Protest

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Book:
Elites and Arab Politics: New Perspectives on Popular Protest
Author:
Ian Kelly
Publisher:
Routledge
Genre:
Books / Politics
Year:
2020
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Elites and Arab Politics

This work explains elite behaviour in authoritarian systems and proposes why elites withdraw their support for the incumbent when faced with popular uprisings. Building upon foundations drawn from institutional authoritarianism and synthesised with local context from the substantial scholarship on the Middle East and North Africa, the book argues that the elite supporting autocrats come from three distinct cadres: the military, the single-party and the personalist.

Each of these cadres possesses its own distinct institutional interests and preferences towards regime change. Drawing on these interests, the study constructs a theoretical framework that is assessed through testing it against three variables. Utilising an analytic narrative, the research finds that the withdrawal of elite support is the consequence of long-term processes that see distinct cadres marginalised. First, increased incumbent preference for personalist elements destabilises regimes as the military and single-party cadres reconsider their positions. Second, neoliberal economic policies, implemented via structural adjustment, accelerated this personalisation as the states withdrawal from the economy. This, in turn, affected the ability of the military and single-party elites to access patronage. Finally, the degree of military involvement in the formal political sphere contributes to shaping the nature of the system that replaced the incumbent regime under examination.

Building upon a wide range of literature the book argues that interest realisation determines whether or not elite actors support regime change in authoritarian systems. The volume will be of interest to scholars researching politics, social sciences and the Middle East.

Ian Kelly is an Irish diplomat currently serving as the deputy head of mission at the Embassy of Ireland in Oslo. Before entering public service, he was a postdoctoral fellow at Dublin City University, where he also obtained his PhD.

Routledge Studies in Middle Eastern Democratization and Government

Edited by Larbi Sadiki

Qatar University

This series examines new ways of understanding democratization and government in the Middle East. The varied and uneven processes of change, occurring in the Middle Eastern region, can no longer be read and interpreted solely through the prism of Euro-American transitology. Seeking to frame critical parameters in light of these new horizons, this series instigates reinterpretations of democracy and propagates formerly subaltern, narratives of democratization. Reinvigorating discussion on how Arab and Middle Eastern peoples and societies seek good government, Routledge Studies in Middle Eastern Democratization and Government provides tests and contests of old and new assumptions.

Hamas and Palestine

The Contested Road to Statehood

Martin Kear

The Palestinian Authority in the West Bank

The Theatrics of Woeful Statecraft

Michelle Pace and Somdeep Sen

The Failure of Democracy in Iraq

Religion, Ideology and Sectarianism

Hamid Alkifaey

Tunisian Civil Society

Political Culture and Democratic Function Since 2011

Alexander P. Martin

Elites and Arab Politics

New Perspectives on Popular Protest

Ian Kelly

For more information about this series, please visit: www.routledge.com/middleeaststudies/series/RSMEDG

First published 2021

by Routledge

2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN

and by Routledge

52 Vanderbilt Avenue, New York, NY 10017

Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business

2021 Ian Kelly

The right of Ian Kelly to be identified as author of this work has been asserted by him in accordance with sections 77 and 78 of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988.

All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilised in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers.

Trademark notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe.

British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data

A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

Names: Kelly, Ian, 1987 author.

Title: Elites and Arab politics : new perspectives on popular protest / Ian

Kelly.

Description: Abingdon, Oxon ; New York, NY : Routledge, 2020. | Series:

Routledge studies in Middle Eastern democratization and government |

Includes bibliographical references and index.

Identifiers: LCCN 2020012405 | ISBN 9781138341203 (hardback) | ISBN

9780429440281 (ebook) | ISBN 9780429802560 (adobe pdf) | ISBN

9780429802553 (epub) | ISBN 9780429802546 (mobi)

Subjects: LCSH: Political participationArab countries. | Elite (Social

sciences)Political activityArab countries. | Authoritarianism

Arab countries. | Legitimacy of governmentArab countries. | Arab

countriesPolitics and government21st century.

Classification: LCC JQ1850.A91 K453 2020 | DDC 306.20917/

4927dc23

LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2020012405

ISBN: 978-1-138-34120-3 (hbk)

ISBN: 978-0-429-44028-1 (ebk)

Typeset in Times New Roman

by Apex CoVantage, LLC

Contents

Guide

Figures

Tables

BTIMI	Bertelsmann Transformation Index Management Index
BTISI	Bertelsmann Transformation Index Status Index
CPI	Corruption Perception Index
CSF	Central Security Forces
EMP	Euro-Mediterranean Partnership
ENP	European Neighbourhood Policy
EU	European Union
FH	Freedom House
FIS	Front Islamique de Salut [Islamic Salvation Front]
FLN	Front de Libration Nationale [National Liberation Front]
IFI	International Financial Institution
IMF	International Monetary Fund
INRIC	Instance Nationale pour la Rforme de lInformation et de la Communication [The National Authority to Reform Communication and Information]
MB	Muslim Brotherhood
MENA	Middle East and North Africa
MOI	Ministry of Interior
NGO	Non-Governmental Organisation
NDP	National Democratic Party
RCD	Rassemblement Constitutionnel Dmocratique/Democratic Constitutional Rally
SSIS	State Security Investigations Service
UGTT	Union Gnrale des Travailleurs Tunisiens [General Union of Tunisian Workers]
UNDP	United Nations Development Programme
WFP	World Food Programme
WGI	World Governance Indicators

Research is for the most part a lonely pursuit, but many people gave willingly of their time and expertise to help this project in its various guises, and for that I am deeply thankful. First, I wish to thank my PhD supervisors Professors Iain McMenamin and Francesco Cavatorta for their support, encouragement and insight during my time at Dublin City University. Many of the lessons you taught me continue to resonate and hopefully found their way into this work.

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