Stig Stenslie - Intelligence Analysis in the Digital Age

I am honored to provide an endorsement for Intelligence Analysis in the Digital Age. Sponsored by my close colleague and treasured friend, Kjell Grandhagen, this work is a masterful treatise on the subject of intelligence, and I consider it a must-read for either the interested citizen or expert practitioner whether Norwegian or American.

James R. Clapper, Former US Director of National Intelligence

This book examines intelligence analysis in the digital age and demonstrates how intelligence has entered a new era.

While intelligence is an ancient activity, the digital age is a relatively new phenomenon. This volume uses the concept of the digital age to highlight the increased change, complexity, and pace of information that is now circulated, as new technology has reduced the time it takes to spread news to almost nothing. These factors mean that decision-makers face an increasingly challenging threat environment, which in turn increases the demand for timely, relevant, and reliable intelligence to support policymaking. In this context, this book demonstrates that intelligence places greater demands on analysis work, as the traditional intelligence cycle is no longer adequate as a process description. In the digital age, it is not enough to accumulate as much information as possible to gain a better understanding of the world. To meet customers needs, the intelligence process must be centred around the analysis work which in turn has increased the demand for analysts. Assessments, not least predictions, are now just as important as revealing someone elses secrets.

This volume will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, security studies, and international relations.

Stig Stenslie is Professor at the Center for Intelligence Studies at the Norwegian Defence Intelligence School (NORDIS), Norway.

Lars Haugom is Senior Adviser at the Norwegian Defence Establishment.

Brigt Harr Vaage is Director of Operations in the Norwegian Intelligence Service (NIS). He was Director of the NIS Analysis and Assessment Division (20142020).

General Editors: Richard J. Aldrich and Christopher Andrew

Ethics and the Future of Spying

Technology, national security and intelligence collection

Edited by Jai Galliott and Warren Reed

Intelligence Governance and Democratisation

A comparative analysis of the limits of reform

Peter Gill

The CIA and the Congress for Cultural Freedom in the Early Cold War

The limits of making common cause

Sarah Miller Harris

Understanding Intelligence Failure

Warning, response and deterrence

James J. Wirtz

Intelligence Elites and Public Accountability

Relationships of Influence with Civil Society

Vian Bakir

Intelligence Oversight in the Twenty-First Century

Accountability in a changing world

Edited by Ian Leigh and Njord Wegge

Intelligence Leadership and Governance

Building Effective Intelligence Communities in the 21st Century

Patrick F. Walsh

Intelligence Analysis in the Digital Age

Edited by Stig Stenslie, Lars Haugom, and Brigt Harr Vaage

For more information about this series, please visit: www.routledge.com/Studies-in-Intelligence/book-series/SE0788

First published 2022

by Routledge

2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN

and by Routledge

605 Third Avenue, New York, NY 10158

Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business

2022 selection and editorial matter, Stig Stenslie, Lars Haugom, and Brigt Harr Vaage; individual chapters, the contributors

The right of Stig Stenslie, Lars Haugom, and Brigt Harr Vaage to be identified as the authors of the editorial material, and of the authors for their individual chapters, has been asserted in accordance with sections 77 and 78 of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988.

All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilised in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers.

Trademark notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe.

British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data

A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library

Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data

A catalog record for this book has been requested

ISBN: 978-0-367-76697-9 (hbk)

ISBN: 978-0-367-76699-3 (pbk)

ISBN: 978-1-003-16815-7 (ebk)

Typeset in Times New Roman

by Apex CoVantage, LLC