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Verghese Koithara - Managing Indias Nuclear Forces

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Verghese Koithara Managing Indias Nuclear Forces
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    Managing Indias Nuclear Forces
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India is now enmeshed in the deterrence gameactively with its traditional adversary Pakistan, and potentially with China. At the same time it is finding easier access to fissile materials and strategic technologies. In order to deal with these developments safely and wisely, the nation needs a much more sophisticated and multidisciplinary understanding of the strategic, technological, operational, and cost issues involved in nuclear matters.
In this important book, Indian strategic analyst Verghese Koithara explains and evaluates India's nuclear force management, encouraging a broad public conversation that may act as a catalyst for positive change before the subcontinent experiences unthinkable carnage.
The defense management system of a nuclear power absolutely needs to be sound and thorough. In addition to the considerable demands of managing its nuclear forces, it also must control conventional forces in a manner that forestalls nuclear escalation of a conflict by either side. Expanding and upgrading nuclear forces without enhancing deterrence is dangerous and should be avoided. India's nuclear force management system is grafted onto a woefully inadequate overall system of defense management.
Koithara dissects all of these issues and suggests a way forward, drawing on recent developments in deterrence theory around the world.
Verghese Koithara is an independent strategic analyst whose previous books include Crafting Peace in Kashmir: Through a Realist Lens and Society, State and Security: The Indian Experience. He retired from the Indian Navy as a Vice Admiral in 1998.
This is excellent research by an outstanding practitioner in the intricate world of nuclear policies in South Asia. It becomes more important as it comes from the perspective of India, a new nuclear weapon power with all the challenges of learning anew about deterrence. It highlights the challenges and the structures needed to stabilise the balance. It exposes the issues that have been swept under the carpet in the initial euphoria of breaking the nuclear embargo, providing in the process a practical guide to wise decision making in an increasingly difficult trilateral strategic equation. A must-read for all strategic thinkers and professionals alike, not just in South Asia and China, but in the world.
Major General Dipankar Banerjee, Director,
Institute for Peace and Conflict Studies, New Delhi
This is an outstanding worksubstantively and analyticallyon India's idiosyncratic approach to managing its nuclear forces and deterrence posture. Verghese Koithara brings a practitioner's understanding of how nuclear forces dovetail with India's contemporary security requirements yet suffer from serious managerial and operational shortcomings. His book explains what needs to be done to integrate professional military expertise and operational responsibility with civilianled strategic policy-making to make nuclear deterrence operationally meaningful and maximally stable. It shows how the present system distorts strategic understanding at top policy levels and impedes operational functioning, leaving India ill-prepared for projecting deterrence efficiently. It offers well-crafted proposals to improve India's system, institutionally and organisationally.
Rodney W. Jones, President,
Policy Architects International, Washington, D.C.
Managing India's
Nuclear Forces
Verghese Koithara
BROOKINGS INSTITUTION PRESS
Washington, D.C.
ABOUT BROOKINGS
The Brookings Institution is a private nonprofit organization devoted to research, education, and publication on important issues of domestic and foreign policy. Its principal purpose is to bring the highest quality independent research and analysis to bear on current and emerging policy problems. Interpretations or conclusions in Brookings publications should be understood to be solely those of the authors.
Copyright 2012
Verghese Koithara
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without permission in writing from the Brookings Institution Press, except in the case of brief quotations embodied in news articles, critical articles, or reviews.
Managing India's Nuclear Forces may be ordered from:
Brookings Institution Press, 1775 Massachusetts Avenue, N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20036
Telephone: 1-800/537-5487 or 410/516-6956
E-mail:
www.brookings.edu
This edition is not for sale in India, Pakistan, Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh,
Sri Lanka, or the Maldives.
Simultaneously published in India by Routledge, 912 Tolstoy House,
15-17 Tolstoy Marg, Connaught Place, New Delhi 110 001
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication data is available
ISBN: 978-0-8157-2266-3 (cloth : alk. paper)
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Printed on acid-free paper
Printed by R. R. Donnelley
Harrisonburg, Virginia
To the precious memory of our beloved son Nikhil
List of Abbreviations
ABMAnti-Ballistic Missile
ACSAAcquisition and Cross Service Agreement
AECAtomic Energy Commission
AERBAtomic Energy Regulatory Board
ASWAnti-Submarine Warfare
ASWACAirborne Surveillance Warning and Control system
ATGMAnti-Tank Guided Missile
ATVAdvanced Technology Vessel
AWACSAirborne Warning and Control System
BARCBhabha Atomic Research Centre
BECABasic Exchange and Co-operation Agreement
BJPBharatiya Janata Party
BMDBallistic Missile Defence
C&Ccommand and control
C-in-CCommander in Chief
CASChief of Air Staff
CBMConfidence Building Measure
CCPACabinet Committee on Political Affairs
CCSCabinet Committee on Security
CDECommittee on Defence Expenditure
CDSChief of Defence Staff
CEPCircular Error Probable
CGSChief of General Staff
CISCChief of Integrated Defence Staff to the Chairman,
Chiefs of Staff Committee
CISMOACommunications and Information Security
Memorandum of Agreement
CJCSChairman Joint Chiefs of Staff
CMCCuban Missile Crisis
COASChief of Army Staff
COMINTCommunications Intelligence
COSCChiefs of Staff Committee
CTBTComprehensive Test Ban Treaty
DAEDepartment of Atomic Energy
DCCDefence Committee of the Cabinet
DDFDepartment of Defence Finance
DDPDepartment of Defence Production
DMCDefence Minister's Committee
DNDDraft Nuclear Doctrine
DODDepartment of Defence
DOEDepartment of Energy
DOSDepartment of Space
DPSDefence Planning Staff
DRDDepartment of Defence R&D
DRDODefence Research & Development Organisation
EADSEuropean Aeronautic Defence and Space company
ECCEmergency Committee of the Cabinet
EHF
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