Contents
Guide
ADVANCE PRAISE FORAdapt and Be Adept
In the flood of books and articles about what people should do, or how guilty people should feel, about global warming, this book stands out: it is all about what people will do as climate change, or even the threat of climate change, alters the incentives, challenges, and opportunities that people face. It is thus far more realistic, honest, and helpful than much of the discussion about climate change policy.
Matt Ridley, author of How Innovation Works and The Rational Optimist
With headlines of gloom and doom, its no surprise that a large portion of the developed world population sees climate change as an imminent and existential threat to humanity. This book provides the missing, grounded hope, based upon our species remarkable ability to adapt and flourish, driven in part by market forces, pricing, and reallocating risk. We do this every day, continually adjusting to supply and demand, risk and reward, in our normal behaviors, so why is it so novel to contemplate climate change with the same lens? This book tells us how we can adapt, are adapting, and will continue to adapt to the effects of climate change.
Lance Gilliland, managing director, Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co.
You dont have to agree with Anderson et al.s faith in the marketsand I often dontto know this book is important. Whatever we do politically, the planet will keep on warming and the money will keep on moving to higher ground, and these are the two inescapable truths of humankinds next centuries on Earth. Anyone who cares about the future should pay attention.
McKenzie Funk, author of Windfall and writer for Harpers, National Geographic, and Rolling Stone
Adapt and Be Adept brings solid economic thinking to the challenge of harnessing market forces in the service of adaptation to a changing and variable climate, a topic too long neglected by policy makers.
G. Tracy Mehan III, executive director for government affairs, American Water Works Association, and former assistant administrator for water, US Environmental Protection Agency
ADAPTAND BEADEPT
With its eminent scholars and world-renowned library and archives, the Hoover Institution seeks to improve the human condition by advancing ideas that promote economic opportunity and prosperity, while securing and safeguarding peace for America and all mankind. The views expressed in its publications are entirely those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the staff, officers, or Board of Overseers of the Hoover Institution.
hoover.org
Hoover Institution Press Publication No. 719
Hoover Institution at Leland Stanford Junior University, Stanford, California 94305-6003
Copyright 2021 by the Board of Trustees of the Leland Stanford Junior University
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without written permission of the publisher and copyright holders.
For permission to reuse material from Adapt and Be Adept: Market Responses to Climate Change, ISBN 978-0-8179-2455-3, please access copyright.com or contact the Copyright Clearance Center Inc. (CCC), 222 Rosewood Drive, Danvers, MA 01923, 978-750-8400. CCC is a not-for-profit organization that provides licenses and registration for a variety of uses.
First printing 2021
272625242322217654321
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Names: Anderson, Terry L. (Terry Lee), 1946- editor.
Title: Adapt and be adept : market responses to climate change / edited by Terry L. Anderson.
Other titles: Hoover Institution Press publication ; 719.
Description: Stanford, California : Hoover Institution Press, Stanford University 2021. | Series: Hoover Institution Press publication ; no. 719 | Includes bibliographical references and index. | Summary: This volume features seven essays exploring different ways market forces can help governments and populations adapt to the environmental and economic effects of climate changeProvided by publisher.
Identifiers: LCCN 2020051684 (print) | LCCN 2020051685 (ebook) | ISBN 9780817924553 (paperback) | ISBN 9780817924560 (epub) | ISBN 9780817924577 (mobi) | ISBN 9780817924584 (pdf)
Subjects: LCSH: Climatic changesGovernment policy. | Climatic changesEconomic aspects.
Classification: LCC QC903 .A2428 2021 (print) | LCC QC903 (ebook) | DDC 363.738/74561dc23
LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2020051684
LC ebook record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2020051685
Contents
- Terry L. Anderson
- Mark P. Mills
- Kenneth W. Costello
- Timothy Fitzgerald
- E. Barrett Ristroph
- Gregory W. Characklis, Benjamin T. Foster, and Matthew E. Kahn
- Ronald Bailey
- Bjorn Lomborg
Acknowledgments
The Hoover Institution is indebted to the Koret Foundation for its generous support of the Adaptation to Climate Change project over the past four years. Prior to developing this volume, the project convened several research workshops and generated numerous scholarly and popular press articles. These products have highlighted the importance of emphasizing science in climate change policy debates as well as the demonstrated human ability to adapt to environmental changes. In short, this project gives us all reasons to be optimistic, rather than apocalyptic, about our future.
Many scholars, too numerous to name, have contributed to this project and laid the foundation for the ideas in this volume. In particular, I must acknowledge the input from Gary Libecap and Alice Hill for their past leadership on the project. Both have honed my thinking about the prospect of adapting to climate change.
There are many at the Hoover Institution who deserve acknowledgment. I thank former Hoover directors John Raisian and Tom Gilligan for having confidence in me to direct the project, and Chris Dauer always gives me confidence and guidance. Other staff at Hoover have contributed untold hours behind the scenes, especially Denise Elson. At the Hoover Institution Press, Danica Michels Hodge and Alison Law have led their team in editing and producing this volume and especially help we airhead academics clarify our writing. The De Nault family has supported my Hoover senior fellowship, giving me time to think and write about the ideas defining a free society.
Finally, thanks to my wife, Monica, for proofreading evry sentance I writ (obviously not this one) and for putting up with my policy rants. She always hones my thinking, writing, and personality.
Terry L. Anderson
John and Jean De Nault Senior Fellow
Introduction
Terry L. Anderson
The globe is warming, ice caps are melting, and sea levels are creeping up. The most convincing evidence to an economist, however, is not measurement with thermometers or yardsticks but the fact that people are reacting to price changes, whether the result of government policies or the result of asset markets.