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Stable Nuclear Zero: The Vision and its Implications for Disarmament Policy
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Sverre Lodgaard editor
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Routledge
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2016
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This volume examines the conditions necessary for a stable nuclear-weapons-free world and the implications for nuclear disarmament policy.

The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) is a road map to nuclear zero, but it is a rudimentary one and it says nothing about the kind of zero to aim for. Preferably, this would be a world where the inhibitions against reversal are strong enough to make it stably non-nuclear. What then are the requirements of stable zero? The literature on nuclear disarmament has paid little attention to this question. By and large, the focus has been on the next steps, and discussions tend to stop where the NPT stops: with the elimination of the weapons. This book seeks to fill a lacuna by examining the requirements of stable zero and their implications for the road map to that goal, starting from the vision to the present day. The volume highlights that a clear conception of the goal not only is important in itself, but can shed light on what kind of disarmament process to promote.

This book will be of much interest to students of nuclear proliferation, global governance, security studies and IR.

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Stable Nuclear Zero

This volume examines the conditions necessary for a stable nuclear-weapons-free world and the implications for nuclear disarmament policy.

The Nuclear Non- Proliferation Treaty (NPT) is a road map to nuclear zero, but it is a rudimentary one and it says nothing about the kind of zero to aim for. Preferably, this would be a world where the inhibitions against reversal are strong enough to make it stably non-nuclear. What then are the requirements of stable zero? The literature on nuclear disarmament has paid little attention to this question. By and large, the focus has been on the next steps, and discussions tend to stop where the NPT stops: with the elimination of the weapons. This book seeks to fill lacunae by examining the requirements of stable zero and their implications for the road map to that goal, starting from the vision to the present day. The volume highlights that a clear conception of the goal not only is important in itself, but can shed light on what kind of disarmament process to promote.

This book will be of much interest to students of nuclear proliferation, global governance, security studies and IR.

Sverre Lodgaard is Senior Research fellow and former Director of the Norwegian Institute of International Affairs (NUPI). He is author of Nuclear Disarmament and Non-Proliferation (Routledge, 2011) and co- editor of Nuclear Proliferation and International Security (with Bremer Maerli, Routledge, 2007).

Routledge Global Security Studies

Series Editors: Aaron Karp and Regina Karp

Global Security Studies emphasizes broad forces reshaping global security and the dilemmas facing decision-makers the world over. The series stresses issues relevant in many countries and regions, accessible to broad professional and academic audiences as well as to students, and enduring through explicit theoretical foundations.

Precision Strike Warfare and International Intervention
Strategic, ethico-legal, and decisional implications
Edited by Mike Aaronson, Wali Aslam, Tom Dyson and Regina Rauxloh

Nuclear Proliferation and the Psychology of Political Leadership
Beliefs, motivations and perceptions
K.P. OReilly

Nuclear Weapons and International Security
Collected essays
Ramesh Thakur

International Relations Theory and European Security
We thought we knew
Edited by Lorenzo Cladi and Andrea Locatelli

The Evolution of Military Power in the West and Asia
Security policy in the post-Cold War era
Edited by Pauline Eadie and Wyn Rees

Regional Peacemaking and Conflict Management
A comparative approach
Edited by Carmela Lutmar and Benjamin Miller

Nonproliferation Policy and Nuclear Posture
Causes and consequences for the spread of nuclear weapons
Edited by Neil Narang, Erik Gartzke and Matthew Kroenig

Global Nuclear Disarmament
Strategic, political, and regional perspectives
Edited by Nik Hynek and Michal Smetana

Nuclear Terrorism
Countering the threat
Edited by Brecht Volders and Tom Sauer

Stable Nuclear Zero
The vision and its implications for disarmament policy
Edited by Sverre Lodgaard

First published 2017
by Routledge
2 Park Square, Milton Park, Abingdon, Oxon OX14 4RN

and by Routledge
711 Third Avenue, New York, NY 10017

Routledge is an imprint of the Taylor & Francis Group, an informa business

2017 selection and editorial matter, Sverre Lodgaard; individual chapters, the contributors

The right of the editor to be identified as the author of the editorial matter, and of the authors for their individual chapters, has been asserted in accordance with sections 77 and 78 of the Copyright, Designs and Patents Act 1988.

All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reprinted or reproduced or utilized in any form or by any electronic, mechanical, or other means, now known or hereafter invented, including photocopying and recording, or in any information storage or retrieval system, without permission in writing from the publishers.

Trademark notice: Product or corporate names may be trademarks or registered trademarks, and are used only for identification and explanation without intent to infringe.

British Library Cataloguing-in-Publication Data
A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library

Library of Congress Cataloging- in-Publication Data
Names: Lodgaard, Sverre, editor.
Title: Stable nuclear zero : the visions and its implications for
disarmament policy / edited by Sverre Lodgaard.
Description: Abingdon, Oxon ; New York, NY : Routledge, 2017. |
Series: Routledge global security studies | Includes bibliographical
references and index.
Identifiers: LCCN 2016012302| ISBN 9781138690608 (hardback) |
ISBN 9781315536651 (ebook)
Subjects: LCSH: Nuclear disarmament. | Nuclear disarmament
International cooperation. | Nuclear nonproliferation. | Nuclear
nonproliferationInternational cooperation. | Nuclear arms control. |
Nuclear arms controlInternational cooperation.
Classification: LCC JZ5675 .S74 2017 | DDC 327.1/747dc23
LC record available at https://lccn.loc.gov/2016012302

ISBN: 978-1-138-69060-8 (hbk)
ISBN: 978-1-315-53665-1 (ebk)

Typeset in Times New Roman
by Wearset Ltd, Boldon, Tyne and Wear

Contents

SVERRE LODGAARD AND SATOKO TAKAHASHI

THOMAS C. SCHELLING

MANPREET SETHI

HARALD MLLER

NIKOLAI SOKOV

HARALD MLLER

ANDREAS PERSBO

TOM SAUER

JINGDONG YUAN

PATRICIA LEWIS

SVERRE LODGAARD

Thomas C. Schelling was Professor at Yale University (19538), Harvard University (195890) and the University of Maryland (19902003). In 2005, he was awarded the Nobel Prize for Economics (with Robert J. Aumann). He is the author of The Strategy of Conflict (1960), Arms and Influence (1966), Micromotives and Macrobehavior (1978), Thinking Through the Energy Problem (1979), Incentives for Environmental Protection (1983), Choice and Consequence (1984) and Bargaining, Communication and Limited War (1993).

Manpreet Sethi , Senior Fellow at the Centre for Air Power Studies, New Delhi, leads the project on nuclear security and is the recipient of the K. Subrahmanyam award, conferred for excellence in strategic and security studies. Her recent books include Code of Conduct for Outer Space: Strategy for India (Knowledge World, 2015), Nuclear Power: In the Wake of Fukushima (Knowledge World, 2012) and Nuclear Strategy: Indias March towards Credible Deterrence (Knowledge World, 2009).

Harald Mller is Professor of International Relations at Goethe University Frankfurt. He has served on the UN Secretary-Generals Advisory Board on Disarmament Matters (19992005), the IAEA Group of Experts on Multilateral Nuclear Arrangements (2004/5), and German delegations to NPT Review Conferences from 1995 to 2015. Recent books include A New World Order (House Publishing, 2008), Norm Dynamics in Multilateral Arms Control (University of Georgia Press, 2013) and WMD Arms Control in the Middle East (Ashgate, 2015).

Nikolai Sokov has been Senior Fellow in the Monterey office of the Center for Nonproliferation Studies (CNS) since 1996. He is an expert on Russian nuclear weapons policy. From 1987 to 1992, he worked at the Ministry for Foreign Affairs of the Soviet Union and later Russia, and participated in the START I and START II negotiations as well as in a number of summit and ministerial meetings. Sokov is the author or co-author of a dozen books and numerous articles on nuclear policies and postures, arms control and international security.

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