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James C Bresnahan - Refighting the Pacific War: An Alternative History of World War II

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Refighting the Pacific War looks at how World War II in the Pacific might have unfolded differently, giving historians, authors and veterans the opportunity to discuss what happened and what might have happened. Contributors to this alternative history include noted military historians William Bartsch, John Burton, Donald Goldstein, John Lundstrom, Robert Mrazek, Jon Parshall, Douglas Smith, Peter Smith, Barrett Tillman, Anthony Tully, and H. P. Willmott. In all more than thirty Pacific War experts will provide commentary, employing a roundtable panel discussion format. The reader will hear from the experts on how history could and could not have been altered during the course of the war in the Pacific. With multiple opinions, the reader will be provided with an interesting collection of divergent views about the outcome of the war. Refighting the Pacific War focuses largely on naval battles and campaigns, including Pearl Harbor, Coral Sea, Midway, Guadalcanal, Philippine Sea and Leyte Gulf. While the main concentration is on the major naval actions, the book also delves into key island battles, like Tarawa, Saipan, Iwo Jima, and Okinawa, as well as pre-war and post-war political issues The panelists debate questions like whether the Japanese could have inflicted even greater damage on the U. S. Pacific Fleet at Pearl Harbor and how Yamamoto might have won at Midway and how such a victory might have impacted the direction of the war. The book extensively studies the opening year of the war when the Japanese war machine seemed unstoppable. Also explored is whether the Pacific War was inevitable and whether the conflict could have ended without the use of the atomic bomb.Vice Admiral Yoji Koda, Japan Maritime Self Defense Force (Ret.), provides the books Introduction.

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Table of Contents Preface and Acknowledgments WORLD WAR II HISTORY has always - photo 1
Table of Contents Preface and Acknowledgments WORLD WAR II HISTORY has always - photo 2
Table of Contents

Preface and Acknowledgments
WORLD WAR II HISTORY has always fascinated me, especially the Pacific naval war. However, I have often wondered whether the war could have unfolded differently. Was it inevitable? Could Japan have ever won? What if the Japanese had triumphed at Midway or Guadalcanal? Was the atomic bomb necessary? These are just a few of the questions addressed in Refighting the Pacific Naval War, as historians, authors, and veterans refight the war while exposing us to a broad range of views.
Refighting the Pacific Naval War focuses largely on naval actions. While I included island battles like Tarawa, Saipan, Iwo Jima, and Okinawa, it is beyond the scope of this work to cover in detail both naval and ground warfare, let alone events involving the British, Dutch, and Chinese. I apologize for not being able to devote more space to all aspects of the Pacific War.
Without a doubt, the key to counterfactual history is maintaining a short-term focus. Its one thing to speculate how the Japanese could have won at Midway; its quite another to turn such a victory into a successful prosecution of the entire war. If used properly, the counterfactual approach can educate us about what happened and what could have happened.
I think most of us want to know if history could have turned out differently. While this book may start more arguments than it settles, if the panelists can get us thinking about how history might have gone down a different road, then Refighting the Pacific Naval War has accomplished its goal.
As editor, I recognized early on that this project could not succeed without the participation of some of the top Pacific War experts, the historians and authors that keep alive the memory of the conflict. I also need to thank Vice Admiral Yoji Koda, Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force (Ret.), for providing invaluable commentary in the books introduction. I also appreciate the handful of veterans who graciously made themselves available for interviews.
Let me add that some of the commentary came from written submissions and some through the transcription of interviews. I applaud all of the panelists for their willingness to speculate on how the Pacific War might have transpired.
Thanks to Ronald W. Russell and Jehanne Moharram for proofreading the manuscript, providing corrections and editing suggestions. A big thank you also goes out to the staff of the Naval Institute Press, including Tom Cutler and Emily Bakely, for their editing and organizational skills and for their decision to explore the realm of counterfactual history.
I also want to thank my wife Mercy and my family for their support, and I praise God who sustains me.
I dedicate this book to World War II veterans and to veterans everywhere, past, present, and future!

Jim Bresnahan
Lexington, Virginia
March 2011
Abbreviations
CAGcommander, air group
CAPcombat air patrol
CinCcommander in chief
CINCPACcommander in chief, Pacific Fleet
CINCUScommander in chief, U.S. Fleet
COMINCHcommander in chief, U.S. Navy
COMSOPACcommander, South Pacific Area
F4FGrumman Wildcat fighter
FDRFranklin Delano Roosevelt, U.S. president
FEAFFar East Air Force
GHQgeneral headquarters
GOJgovernment of Japan
HIJMSHis Imperial Japanese Majestys Ship
HQheadquarters
IJAImperial Japanese Army
IJAAFImperial Japanese Army Air Force
IJNImperial Japanese Navy
JCSJoint Chiefs of Staff
JMSDFJapan Maritime Self-Defense Force
LCVPlanding craft, vehicle and personnel
LOCslines of communication
LVTlanding vehicle, tracked
NGSNavy General Staff (Japan)
OTCofficer in tactical command
PACFLTPacific Fleet (U.S. Navy)
PBYpatrol bomber (known as Catalina; manufactured by Consolidated Aircraft)
POW(s)prisoner(s) of war
PT boatpatrol torpedo boat
RAAFRoyal Australian Air Force
SBDship-borne dive-bomber (Douglas Dauntless)
SCAPSupreme Commander of the Allied Powers
SEALssea, air, and land maritime Special Forces
SNLFSpecial Naval Landing Forces (Japanese)
SWPASouthwest Pacific Area
TBDtorpedo bomber Devastator (manufactured by Douglas)
TFTask Force
TGTask Group
USGU.S. government
USNU.S. Navy
USSBSUnited States Strategic Bombing Survey
VBbombing squadron
VFfighting squadron
VMSBMarine dive-bomber squadron
VSscouting squadron
VTtorpedo squadron
YE-ZBtracking/navigation system guiding planes back to their ships/fleet
Introduction
JAPAN FOUGHT A WAR AGAINST the United States and other allied nations in the Pacific, and the result was devastating and humiliating for Japan. Several key reasons for the Japanese decision to conduct that war, in unfavorable situations, have been repeatedly told and published. However, I think it is still worth re-examining several key points of the war.
This ambitious and excellent book challenges us to re-think these subjects from an American point of view. I think it is also important to tell the story from the Japanese side. As an excommander in chief (CinC) of Japans Self-Defense Fleet, which was functionally the same billet as Admiral Isoroku Yamamoto, I think I am in a position to present some views and tell stories of the Japanese side.
In 1940, there was a governmental research organization called the Soryoku-Sen Kenkyu-Syo (Total War [Soryoku-Sen] Research Institute [Kenkyu-Syo]), located in Tokyo. This institution was tasked with conducting precise research and analysis on what a total war would involve.
The government of Japan (GOJ) estimated that the prospect of a war with the United States was an immediate concern and might be unavoidable. So GOJ tried to prepare Japan for a total war. Based on this outlook, the Imperial Cabinet of Japan, led by the prime minister, Prince Fumimaro Konoe, established the Soryoku-Sen Kenkyu-Syo, and in spring and summer of 1941, war-gaming on a hypothetical war with the United States was conducted.
The results of the games were clear and striking. Japan would successfully gain victory and maintain its war momentum in the early phase of the war. However, as the war continued, it would inevitably become prolonged, and Japan, which lacked almost all the critical natural resources, would not be able to sustain combat operations. As a result, Japans war effort would start stalling, and eventually Japanese forces would be beaten on every front by U.S. forces. Additionally, in the last phase of the war, the Soviet Union would most likely join the United States and fight against Japan. Thus, the defeat of Japan was clear and inevitable.
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