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Victor Cha - The Impossible State: North Korea, Past and Future

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Victor Cha The Impossible State: North Korea, Past and Future
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Former White House official Victor Cha has written the definitive volume on North Korea, arguably the worlds most menacing and mysterious nation. In The Impossible State, Cha, a singular expert on the region, exposes North Koreas veiled past; sheds light on its culture, economy, and foreign policy; and explores the possibilities of its uncertain future in the post-Kim Jong-il era. A timely and engaging insiders look at a volatile, and isolationist Asian juggernaut, The Impossible State will carry readers far deeper into this frighteningly adversarial country than theyve ever traveled before.

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THE
IMPOSSIBLE
STATE

NORTH KOREA,
PAST AND FUTURE

VICTOR CHA

The Impossible State North Korea Past and Future - image 1

For my mother, Soon Ock, and my wife, Hyun Jung

Contents

Romanization of the Korean language has long suffered from a lack of a single, agreed-upon standard for spelling, which is why you will variously see Kim Jong Il, Kim Jong-Il, Kim Jong-il, and Kim Chng-il in the press and academic publications. The book at hand uses something of a mishmash of different standardized Romanization techniques. For names and places that will be familiar to many readers, such as Kim Il-sung, Kim Dae-jung, and Pyongyang, Revised Romanization is used. For names of people and places less familiar to the casual observer, McCune-Reischauer Romanization is used. And for those who arent acquainted with Korean, Chinese, or Japanese names, it bears pointing out that in nearly all cases (with the exception of a few, whose names are widely known and/or used in the reverse order, such as Syngman Rhee), Korean, Chinese, and Japanese names are written in their traditional order, with the surname first and the given name last.

BDABanco Delta Asia
BTWCBiological and Toxin Weapons Convention
CCPChinese Communist Party
CMEACouncil for Mutual Economic Assistance (Comecon)
CSISCenter for Strategic and International Studies
CWCChemical Weapons Convention
DMZDemilitarized Zone
DNIDirector of National Intelligence (U.S.)
DPJDemocratic Party of Japan
DPMODefense Prisoner of War/Missing Personnel Office
DPRKDemocratic Peoples Republic of Korea (North Korea)
EEZExclusive Economic Zone
EIUEconomist Intelligence Unit
FAOFood and Agriculture Organization (U.N.)
FDRFlight Data Recorder
FROGFree-Rocket-Over-Ground
GDRGerman Democratic Republic (East Germany)
HEUHighly Enriched Uranium
HFOHeavy Fuel Oil
IAEAInternational Atomic Energy Agency
ICAOInternational Civil Aviation Organization
ICBMIntercontinental Ballistic Missile
ICCInternational Criminal Court
IEDImprovised Explosive Device
IOCInternational Olympic Committee
JFAJoint Field Activity
JRAJapanese Red Army
JSPJapan Socialist Party
KALKorean Air Lines
KCIAKorean Central Intelligence Agency (South)
KCNAKorean Central News Agency (North)
KDIKorea Development Institute (South)
KEDOKorean Peninsula Energy Development Organization
KINUKorea Institute for National Unification (South)
KOTRAKorea Trade-Investment Promotion Agency (South)
KPAKorean Peoples Army (North)
KWPKorean Workers Party (North)
LDPLiberal Democratic Party (Japan)
LWRLight-Water Reactor
MACMilitary Armistice Commission
MTCRMissile Technology Control Regime
NAMNon-Aligned Movement
NBANational Basketball Association
NCAFPNational Committee on American Foreign Policy
NDCNational Defense Commission (North Korea)
NEACDNortheast Asian Cooperation Dialogue
NPTNuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty
NSANational Security Agency (North Korea)
NSCNational Security Council (U.S.)
NWFZNuclear WeaponsFree Zone
ODAOfficial Development Assistance
OECDOrganisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
POW/MIAPrisoners of War/Missing in Action
PUSTPyongyang University of Science and Technology
PRCPeoples Republic of China
PSIProliferation Security Initiative
ROKRepublic of Korea (South Korea)
SAMSurface-to-Air Missile
SDFSelf-Defense Forces (Japan)
SEZSpecial Economic Zone
STUSecure Telephone Unit
TD-ITaepodong-I
TD-IITaepodong-II
UNHCRUnited Nations High Commissioner for Refugees
UNSCRUnited Nations Security Council Resolution
USAIDUnited States Agency for International Development
WHOWorld Health Organization
WMDWeapons of Mass Destruction

Chapter One
Contradictions

W e passed over barren and gray fields as the gulfstream vi touched down on the empty runway of the airport. As the plane taxied on the tarmac, there was no flight traffic to be seen. No baggage carts or fuel trucks shuttling about. It looked as though we were the only arrival or departure of the day. We cruised past two passenger planes with propeller engines, the kind you would see in a 1940s Humphrey Bogart movie. Then the plane turned right and the main terminal came into view, a small 1960s-era building about one-tenth the size of todays international air terminals. Scrawled across the top of the edifice with large, red block letters was pyongyang, written in English and in Hangl (Korean characters). Hanging atop the center of the Sunan international air terminals faade was an oversize portrait of the first leader of the Democratic Peoples Republic of Korea (DPRK, North Korea), Kim Il-sung.

We prepared to deplane into the cool spring air, after the long flight from Elmendorf Air Base in Alaska. It was dusk with an orange glow to the sky, and it was eerily silent: no street sounds, no car horns, no birds. We disembarked one by one, following established security protocol, while two security officers, known as ravens, checked each of our names off the passenger manifest. The ravens then escorted us to a receiving party of North Korean airport staff and foreign ministry officials, who were standing on the tarmac in front of the Kim Il-sung portrait. It was at that point that our security detail turned around and headed back to the plane. I blurted out, Hey, arent you guys coming with us? The agent, looking puzzled at my naive question through his dark sunglasses, responded, No sir, we stay with the plane. Too much sensitive comms equipment aboard to stay overnight in enemy territory. We will transport southbound to Osan [air base in South Korea]. See you on the other side in a few days, sir. The Gulfstream VI was a military plane that the White House provided at the request of New Mexicos then-governor Bill Richardson who had pressed the George W. Bush administration to allow him to visit North Korea. The plane was capable of confidential communications (and probably a whole host of other things I was unaware of). I then remembered that the ravens, who were fully armed, always checked us on and off the plane at our various stops along the way, but the only time they ever separated from the plane was when we overnighted at Elmendorf Air Force Base, a secure facility. I thought to myself, U.S. military plane, invaluable; U.S. government officials, expendable.

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