Richard Sobel - International Public Opinion and the Bosnia Crisis
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Table 4.1 . June 1993
Source: Eurobarometer 39
Table 4.2 . February 711, 1994
(survey compares U.S. and French results)
| Question: NATO has just issued an ultimatum to the Serbs to lift the siege of Sarajevo within 10 days. If this ultimatum is not respected, would you favor or oppose an aerial military intervention by NATO in which France [the U.S.] would participate ... ? | ||
| France | U.S. | |
| Favor | 76% | 48% |
| Oppose | 20% | 43% |
| DK | 4% | 9% |
| Question: In your opinion would attacks against Serbian forces be effective or not in stopping the Serbian attacks on Sarajevo ... ? | ||
| France | U.S. | |
| Yes | 60% | 42% |
| No | 31% | 47% |
| DK | 9% | 11% |
| Question: Do you approve or disapprove of the way in which the crisis in ex-Yugoslavia has been handled by the President and the government ... ? | ||
| France | U.S. | |
| Approve | 41% | 37% |
| Disapprove | 52% | 37% |
| DK | 7% | 26% |
Source: IFOP/Gallup France for Le Journal du Dimanche; Gallup USA for CNN/USA Today
Table 4.3 . February, March, and June 1994
Source: Flash Eurobarometers 24, 25, and 29
Table 4.4 . September 1995
Questions:
Do you approve or disapprove of the current intervention of France within the UN in the former Yugoslavia? (asked in 1993, 1994, and 1995)
Do you approve or disapprove of the intervention of France within NATO in the former Yugoslavia? (asked in 1996)
Source : SIRPA, Baromtre: les franais et la dfense nationale (1993-1996)
(Also see Eurobarometer results above)
Question: Do you favor or oppose that, within the framework of the UN, France participate in a military intervention in Bosnia-Herzegovina (ex - Yugoslavia)?
| Favor | 61% |
| Oppose | 33% |
| DK | 6% |
Source: IFOP for VSD
Question: Since the UN is intervening militarily in Somalia, some think it should also do so in ex-Yugoslavia. Which of the following two opinions do you agree with more?
| France should participate in a military intervention because it is intolerable to let such a civil war take place in Europe without reacting | 67% |
| France should not participate in a military intervention because it would be too risky for our soldiers | 23% |
| DK | 10% |
| Question: If your child or someone in your family were called to serve in a military intervention in Sarajevo, what would be your reaction? | |
| You would be worried but you would understand the necessity of this operation | 62% |
| Your worries would be such that you would not want him to go | 30% |
| DK | 8% |
Source: CSA for La Vie
Question: Concerning the situation in the former Yugoslavia, are you personally in favor or opposed to the use of military force to ... (Is that strongly or somewhat?)
Question: Are you personally in favor or opposed to France using its military forces to ... (Is that strongly or somewhat?)
Source: IFOP for Le Parisien
Question: Do you personally approve or disapprove of the actions of Gnral Morillon in Bosnia?
| Approve | 73% |
| Disapprove | 11% |
| DK | 16% |
Question: Do you think that Gnral Morillon should continue his mission in Bosnia until the end of his mandate in June, or should he be called back to France right away?
| Continue until June | 68% |
| Be called back to France | 15% |
| DK | 17% |
Question: Concerning the actions of the French government in ex-Yugoslavia, would you say that ...
| It is doing everything in its power to stop the fighting in ex-Yugoslavia | 31% |
| It is not making enough efforts to stop the fighting in ex-Yugoslavia | 52% |
| This is not its role (spontaneous response) | 5% |
| DK | 12% |
Question: Do you think that the events in ex-Yugoslavia constitute a threat to peace in Europe?
| Yes | 75% |
| No | 20% |
| DK | 5% |
Source: IFOP for VSD
Question: In the upcoming months, do you think that the confrontations in Bosnia and Sarajevo will remain a localized conflict, or will they degenerate into a conflict in all of Europe?
| The confrontations in Bosnia and Sarajevo will remain a localized conflict | 56% |
| The confrontations in Bosnia and Sarajevo will degenerate into a conflict in all of Europe | 29% |
| DK | 15% |
Question: Would you personally want France to participate in a genuine military intervention in Bosnia?
| Yes | 53% |
| No | 38% |
| DK | 9% |
Question: Do you think that a genuine military intervention by the UN would result in ending the war or, on the contrary, make the conflict degenerate?
| It would result in ending the war | 48% |
| It would make the conflict degenerate | 33% |
| DK | 19% |
Source: SOFRES for France Tlvision
Question: Do you feel very concerned, somewhat concerned, somewhat unconcerned, or not at all concerned with the events taking place in the former Yugoslavia?
| Very concerned | 39% |
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