John S. Dickerson - The Great Evangelical Recession: 6 Factors That Will Crash the American Church...and How to Prepare
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2013 by John S. Dickerson
Published by Baker Books
a division of Baker Publishing Group
P.O. Box 6287, Grand Rapids, MI 49516-6287
www.bakerbooks.com
Ebook edition created 2013
Ebook corrections 12.07.2016
All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any meansfor example, electronic, photocopy, recordingwithout the prior written permission of the publisher. The only exception is brief quotations in printed reviews.
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data is on file at the Library of Congress, Washington, DC.
ISBN 978-1-4412-4105-4
All emphasis, shown by italics, in Scripture is the authors.
Unless otherwise indicated, Scripture quotations are from the HOLY BIBLE, NEW INTERNATIONAL VERSION. Copyright 1973, 1978, 1984 Biblica. Used by permission of Zondervan. All rights reserved.
Scripture quotations identified GW are from G OD S W ORD . 1995 Gods Word to the Nations. Used by permission of Baker Publishing Group.
Cover design by Kathleen Lynch of Black Kat Design
Author is represented by Ambassador Literary Agency
We are all made better when we face the truth. John Dickerson delivers a clear, compelling case for why the church must reform or face the natural consequence of fading influence. He doesnt just urge us to wake up, he gives the church clear direction for the days ahead. A brilliant book. A must read for any Christian hoping to see their faith regain traction in a changing world.
Gabe Lyons, author of The Next Christians and Founder of Q Ideas
John Dickerson is that rarity among evangelicalsa journalist of the highest capacity, but more than that, an analyst of breadth, insight, and laser-sharp foresight. With persuasive force, his book portrays the future status and functioning of the church in a national culture that is alienated from Christianity. Few writers can gather, process, distill, and apply a host of facts with the precision of John Dickerson.
John McCandlish Phillips, veteran New York Times journalist and author
An important book that every believer should not only read but heed.
Cal Thomas, USA Today columnist and Fox News personality
John Dickerson has pulled together some sobering statistics and laid out a biblical game plan for dealing with the inevitable cultural changes that lie ahead. These arent changes that might occur. They are changes that have occurred (the horse-is-already-out-of-the-barn-type changes). I would encourage every Christian leader to read, ponder, and consider the facts and the strategies John presents in The Great Evangelical Recession . It will help prepare you for the future.
Larry Osborne, pastor and author, North Coast Church, Vista, CA
Nobody likes getting a bad diagnosiswhether its medical, financial, or spiritual. But once we get past the reality that things arent the way we thought they were, were actually in the best position to turn our circumstances around for the good. John Dickersons workup on the health and welfare of the evangelical cause may jolt your spiritual senses, but hes followed it up with a prescription that will work. Theres no gloom or doom in The Great Evangelical Recession just an honest assessment of where we are and solid hope for what we need to do to get to where we need to be.
Dr. Tim Kimmel, author of Grace-Based Parenting and In Praise of Plan B
The Great Evangelical Recession has gone a long way in contextualizing the plight of the church in todays culture. There is no question that the church has weakened over these last few decades, and before we can expect our Lord to bring healing and revitalization to its health, there must be a humble truthfulness to our condition. John Dickersons work has served us well in bringing sense to what brought us to this point and providing honest reflection upon it. I believe we could once again see a dynamic and powerful witness to our world from believers honoring their Lord and bringing glory to their heavenly Father.
Dr. Darryl DelHousaye, president of Phoenix Seminary
The Great Recession
Banks Ignored Signs of Trouble
New York Times headline,
October 13, 2010
Be sure you know the condition of your flocks,
give careful attention to your herds;
for riches do not endure forever,
and a crown is not secure for all generations.
Proverbs 27:2324
What if somebody had warned us ten years ago that a Great Recession would throw the worlds largest banks into bankruptcy? That the U.S. stock market would lose half its value? That one in six Americans would be on food stamps while 100,000 homes foreclose each month? In the glory years of the early 2000s, as homes were gaining tens of thousands in value each year, would anyone have believed such predictions?
What if, in the 1980s, after the launch of the wildly successful USA Today , somebody had predicted that leading newspapers and magazines would be insolvent within three presidencies? That the Chicago Tribune would file Chapter 11, the Rocky Mountain News would close its doors, or that Newsweek would sell its operations for $1?
The reality is that in each of these great collapses, there were isolated observers who did see the writing on the walland did attempt to warn the key players.
In 2005, when housing prices were climbing with apparent invincibility, I interviewed one such doomsday prophet for The Scottsdale Times . Michael Pollack, an Arizona real estate investor worth about $1 billion, told me that within years the real estate industry would flip upside down. Even as home values were increasing monthly, he said to sell soon, before the market turned.
The problem with the Great Recession wasnt that nobody saw it coming. The problem was that the people who needed to listen, to put on the brakes, to adjust course, never got the message. Or else they ignored it.
The American church stands today in a similar position, on the precipice of a great evangelical recession. While we focus on a few large churches and dynamic national leaders, the churchs overall numbers are shrinking. Its primary fueldonationsis drying up and disappearing. And its political fervor is dividing the movement from within. In addition to these internal crises, the outside host culture is quietly but quickly turning antagonistic and hostile toward evangelicals.
The signposts are obvious, but many of the leaders who most need to see and plan for these trends are too busy to notice the broad cultural shifts. Others are too deceived by current success to believe that industries and ministries, like governments, can topple almost overnight in the fast-paced 21st century.
Around the globe, cultures are changing faster and with more complexity than ever before. Just as the printing press accelerated cultural change during the Reformation and Renaissance, personal 24/7 web access is now accelerating cultural change beyond what even the cable television generation expects. Trends that would have taken years to evolve in the 20th century can now affect the culture and its industries in days or hours.
International revolutions during the Arab Spring of 2011 toppled decades-old governments. These revolts of thousands were organized via technologies that did not even exist six years earlierTwitter and Facebook, among others.
As George Friedman writes in his forecast, The Next 100 Years , It is simply that the things that appear to be so permanent and dominant at any given moment in history can change with stunning rapidity. Eras come and go.
Whether in ministry or in industry, those who observe and embrace this new, rapid speed of change become survivors and innovators. Those who ignore the changeand the speed of itbecome its victims.
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