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Robert Rapier - Power Plays: Energy Options in the Age of Peak Oil

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Robert Rapier Power Plays: Energy Options in the Age of Peak Oil
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Many people wonder: Are we really running out of oil, or is it all a ruse to drive prices up? Is nuclear power safe and economical? Is solar energy really the key to providing plenty of carbon-free energy? Do we have enough natural gas or coal to make any loss of oil production irrelevant?
In Power Plays: Energy Options in the Age of Peak Oil, energy expert Robert Rapier helps readers sort through energy hype, doom and gloom, and misinformation to understand what really matters in energy, and how it impacts individuals, investors, businesspeople, and policy makers worldwide. The book covers the overall global energy situation, the particular risks for the U.S. with its present energy mix, the energy outlook for the developed world and emerging economies like China and India, what peak oil really means, and the present and likely future of natural gas, coal, oil, nuclear power, and alternative energy sources.
The book also addresses common misconceptions. For instance, most readers are likely unaware that the U.S. is the third-largest oil producer in the world. Or that Canada leads the U.S. in per capita oil consumption. It will also highlight interesting factsfor example, China has solved part of its energy challenge by mandating solar hot water systems in all new construction. Most importantly, the book will provide specific energy insights unavailable elsewhere and help individuals and business planners chart future actions and decisions.
With the disaster at Fukushima, the discovery of the Marcellus shale natural gas deposits, the increasing efficiency of solar electricity installations, and the unsustainable supply of oil, the energy outlook has changed greatly over the last couple of years. Whats now required is just what this book delivers: a sober, even-handed account of our energy resources, present and future, that will help people plan for a world without cheap energy.

What youll learn
  • Why oil prices have increased so dramatically over the past decade, and the impact of depending on oil imports
  • What peak oil really means, and how it will affect you
  • The economics of various energy sources and the probable changes in supply, demand, and hence price
  • Why carbon emissions are likely to continue to rise
  • The implications of the shale gas revolution on U.S. energy supplies
  • The pros and cons of nuclear power and coal-fired generating plants
  • Why alternative energy sources arent yet ready to solve our energy challenges
  • How to make better energy-related decisions
Who this book is for

This book is for anyone who wants to enhance their basic understanding of energy and learn to separate facts from misinformation. The book will also help readers to understand the costs, benefits, and inherent trade-offs for each of our major energy options, making it particularly useful for business strategists, policy makers, public servants, and investors.

Table of ContentsChapter 1. All About Energy: Dependence and Disconnect
Chapter 2. Fossil Fuels and Nuclear Power: Powering Modern Civilization
Chapter 3. Renewable Energy: Energy of the Past and the Future
Chapter 4. Energy Production: From the Source to the Consumer
Chapter 5. Global Warming: How Do You Stop a Hurricane?
Chapter 6. Peak Oil: Myth or Threat to Civilization?
Chapter 7. Nuclear Power: Practical Solution or Environmental Disaster?
Chapter 8. Risk and Uncertainty: Energy Security Challenges
Chapter 9. Reducing the Risks: Policies to Enhance Energy Security
Chapter 10. Investing in Cleantech: A Guide to Technical Due Diligence
Chapter 11. The Race to Replace Oil: Alternative Transportation Fuels
Chapter 12. Oil-Free Transportation: Alternatives to the Internal Combustion Engine
Chapter 13. Corn Ethanol: Past, Present, and Future
Chapter 14. U.S. Energy Politics: The Elusive Goal of Energy Independence
Chapter 15. The Road Ahead: Planning and Preparation

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Power Plays Energy Options in the Age of Peak Oil Copyright 2012 by Robert - photo 1

Power Plays: Energy Options in the Age of Peak Oil

Copyright 2012 by Robert Rapier

All rights reserved. No part of this work may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, or by any information storage or retrieval system, without the prior written permission of the copyright owner and the publisher.

ISBN-13 (pbk): 978-1-4302-4086-0

ISBN-13 (electronic): 978-1-4302-4087-7

Trademarked names may appear in this book. Rather than use a trademark symbol with every occurrence of a trademarked name, we use the names only in an editorial fashion and to the benefit of the trademark owner, with no intention of infringement of the trademark.

President and Publisher: Paul Manning
Lead Editor: Jeff Olson
Editorial Board: Steve Anglin, Mark Beckner, Ewan Buckingham, Gary Cornell,
Louise Corrigan, Morgan Ertel, Jonathan Gennick, Jonathan Hassell, Robert
Hutchinson, Michelle Lowman, James Markham, Matthew Moodie, Jeff
Olson, Jeffrey Pepper, Douglas Pundick, Ben Renow-Clarke, Dominic
Shakeshaft, Gwenan Spearing, Matt Wade, Tom Welsh
Coordinating Editor: Rita Fernando
Copy Editor: William McManus
Production Editor: Christine Ricketts
Compositor: Mary Sudul
Indexer: SPi Global
Cover Designer: Anna Ishchenko

Distributed to the book trade worldwide by Springer-Verlag New York, Inc., 233 Spring Street, 6th Floor, New York, NY 10013. Phone 1-800-SPRINGER, fax 201-348-4505, e-mail orders-ny@springer-sbm.com, or visit http://www.springeronline.com.

For information on translations, please contact us by e-mail at info@apress.com, or visit http://www.apress.com.

Apress and friends of ED books may be purchased in bulk for academic, corporate, or promotional use. eBook versions and licenses are also available for most titles. For more information, reference our Special Bulk SaleseBook Licensing web page at http://www.apress.com/info/bulksales. To place an order, email your request to support@apress.com.

The information in this book is distributed on an as is basis, without warranty. Although every precaution has been taken in the preparation of this work, neither the author(s) nor Apress shall have any liability to any person or entity with respect to any loss or damage caused or alleged to be caused directly or indirectly by the information contained in this work.

For my family.
You are the reason I write.

Contents
About the Author

Robert Rapier works in the energy industry and writes and speaks about issues involving energy and the environment. He is Chief Technology Officer and Executive Vice President at Merica International, a forestry and renewable energy company involved in a variety of projects around the world. Robert has 20 years of international engineering experience in the chemicals, oil and gas, and renewable energy industries, and holds several patents related to his work. He has worked in the areas of oil refining, natural gas production, synthetic fuels, ethanol production, butanol production, and various biomass to energy projects. Robert is also the author of the R-Squared Energy Column at Consumer Energy Report, where he serves as Managing Editor. His articles on energy and sustainability have appeared in numerous media outlets, including the Washington Post, Christian Science Monitor, and Forbes.

Acknowledgments

Writing for an audience is rarely a solo event. It certainly was not for this book, and I would like to acknowledge some of the people whose help and support made this book possible.

I want to acknowledge the patience and support of my family as I wrote, isolated from them for long stretches at a time. To my wife Sandy, daughter Courtney, and sons Peyton and Lukenow we can go on a vacation.

I want to thank my publisher Apress, and my editor Jeff Olson, for believing in me enough to seek me out to write this book. I had long considered writing a book about energy, and Jeff's encouragement and confidence in me was a strong motivator in helping me to complete it. The valuable feedback that he and other editors at Apress provided on the text has made this a much stronger book, and has helped me become a better writer.

Nobody has helped improve my writing in recent years more than Sam Avro, the founder and editor in chief of Consumer Energy Report, where my regular energy columnR-Squared Energyis hosted. Besides offering critical feedback on my weekly column, Sam puts in long hours to make sure the site is running smoothly. In addition, Sam made many helpful suggestions on the topics and text covered by this book.

I am grateful to Greg Geyer for reaching out to his network of contacts on my behalf. I received valuable input from several people as a result of Greg's efforts, including Jeremy Gilbert on the Peak Oil and Energy Production chapters, and Steve Andrews, who jogged my memory on California's attempts to roll out methanol as a gasoline alternative.

Thank you to Alan Drake for the valuable contributions toward the chapter on oil-free transportation. His passion for electric rail inspires hope in a future that enables mobility with a fraction of today's fossil fuel consumption.

A special thanks to my good friend Jerry Unruh, who reviewed the chapter on global warming and made a number of helpful comments and suggestions. I know that Jerry would have preferred that I make a strong case for the need to urgently combat global warming, but the purpose of the chapter is really to help readers on both sides of the issue better understand the controversy.

____________

1www.consumerenergyreport.com/columns/rsquared/

The constructive feedback is what has kept me writing all of these years. I solicited feedback from both sets of readers at various points during the process of writing this book, and the comments were invaluable in ensuring that major topics weren't overlooked, and that many minor details were clear and technically accurate. But the feedback also made me realize that I could not cover all topics to everyone's satisfaction. My apologies if there is something that you strongly feel should have been covered but is not.

A big thank you goes to all my friends and family back in my hometown of Hugo, Oklahoma. So many of you have been very supportive throughout this process, and provided inspiration when I was feeling drained. Now that the book is published, I can break free for a visit back home.

Finally, thanks to all of my colleagues at Merica International for providing a sounding board, and for helping me with a specific word or phrase when I was struggling. I want to especially thank Michael and Jeannette Saalfeld for convincing me to come to Hawaii to work in 2009. You have done so much for my family and me, and this book would not have been possible without your support.

____________

2www.theoildrum.com/

Preface

At various times over the past five years, I have seriously considered writing a comprehensive book about energy. My primary motivation for writing about energy is a sincere belief that many of our current global energy policies entail unacceptable trade-offs and threaten future generations. As a result, I feel compelled to engage people on the topic of energy, with the hope that these discussions can gradually help influence energy policy in a positive way.

To be clear, this is not a book about peak oil. There are plenty of those that cover both sides of that issue. This book is about the many energy options we have, and the many trade-offs we make as a result of our energy choices. The topic of peak oil is certainly covered, but I think my take on peak oil is a bit different from that of most people.

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